Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI) AI Stock Analysis
MSBI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMidland States Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: MSBI) is a financial holding company providing banking, wealth management, and lending products. The company generated $286.1M in trailing twelve-month revenue with a profit margin of 15.0%. Over the past year, the stock returned 118.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- Market cap
- $668.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $286.1M
- P/E
- 20.7x fwd 8.2x
- 1Y return
- 118.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $33.25 3.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 18.0% and quarterly earnings increased 86.0% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
- The stock offers an annual forward dividend yield of 4.10% supported by 11 consecutive years of dividend payments.
- The company maintained a net cash balance of $1.61B as of June 30, 2026, backed by $1.96B in cash and short-term investments.
Bear case
- The company posted a net loss of -$124.3M and an operating margin of -22.1% in FY2025.
- Free cash flow dropped from $331.7M in FY2021 to $120.3M in FY2025.
- All 5 covering analysts maintain a Hold rating, offering a mean price target that reflects modest upside of 3.2%.
What Midland States Bancorp does
Established in 1881 and headquartered in Effingham, Illinois, Midland States Bancorp, Inc. oversees Midland States Bank, delivering banking products and services to individuals, businesses, and municipalities. Operating through Banking, Wealth Management, and Other segments, the bank offers deposit solutions including checking, savings, money market, and sweep accounts. Its lending solutions encompass commercial real estate, farmland, capital equipment term loans, operational lines of credit, residential mortgages, and home equity lines of credit. It also provides consumer installment loans for vehicles, boats, and home improvement. Additionally, the company delivers trust and wealth management products such as estate planning, investment management, and retail brokerage.
Growth and profitability
For the trailing twelve months, Midland States Bancorp generated revenue of $286.1M, an operating margin of 35.6%, and EPS of $1.56. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 18.0% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 86.0%. Across recent fiscal periods, annual revenue shifted from $313.2M in FY2021 to $436.5M in FY2022, $66.6M in FY2023, and $546.1M in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue fell 14.4% to $467.6M, accompanied by an operating margin of -22.1% and net income of -$124.3M, compared to net income of $38.0M in FY2024. Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue expanded at a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 8.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Midland States Bancorp held $1.96B in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $344.9M, resulting in net cash of $1.61B. Total assets stood at $6.70B against shareholders' equity of $569.7M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61 and a current ratio of 0.35. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $125.7M and free cash flow was $120.3M. The company deployed cash toward $5.3M in capital expenditures, $36.6M in dividends paid, and $9.7M in share buybacks, helping lower its five-year share count by 6.7%.
Valuation and performance
Midland States Bancorp trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 20.7x, which sits above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward price-to-earnings multiple of 8.2x is below the peer median of 10.8x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 2.3x compares to 3.2x for peers. The company has a price-to-book ratio of 1.5x and an enterprise value of $832.3M. Over the past year, MSBI shares delivered a return of 118.3%, substantially outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, although its 5-year return of 66.4% trails the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
MSBI dividend
Midland States Bancorp offers an annual forward dividend of $1.32 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 4.10%. The company has paid dividends for 11 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 3.3%. Its payout ratio is 54.2%, and its last ex-dividend date occurred on August 14, 2026.
What analysts expect
Consensus coverage shows 5 Hold ratings, with 0 Buy, Strong Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $33.25, representing an upside of 3.2% from the last close of $32.22. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect revenue of $331.3M and EPS of $3.37. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Annual revenue has displayed extreme volatility, swinging from $66.6M in FY2023 to $546.1M in FY2024 before falling 14.4% in FY2025.
- The bank's current ratio of 0.35 reflects low short-term liquidity relative to its obligations.
- The trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 20.7x stands above the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MSBI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MSBI income statement, MSBI balance sheet, MSBI key metrics, MSBI analyst forecast, MSBI chart. See the MSBI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MSBI AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Midland States Bancorp's dividend yield and payout schedule?
Midland States Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $1.32 per share, representing a 4.10% dividend yield. The bank has paid dividends for 11 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 54.2%.
When is Midland States Bancorp's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for October 22, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts forecast revenue of $331.3M and EPS of $3.37.
How did Midland States Bancorp perform in its latest quarter?
In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, Midland States Bancorp generated year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 18.0% and quarterly earnings growth of 86.0%. Trailing twelve-month revenue totaled $286.1M with an EPS of $1.56.
What do Wall Street analysts forecast for MSBI stock?
Covering analysts hold 5 Hold ratings on MSBI with no Buy or Sell recommendations. Their mean price target of $33.25 implies a 3.2% premium over the stock's last close of $32.22.