Moog Inc. (MOG-A) AI Stock Analysis
MOG-A AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMoog Inc. (MOG-A) is a global manufacturer of precision motion control and fluid technology systems for aerospace, defense, and industrial markets. In the trailing twelve months, the company generated $4.32B in revenue with an operating margin of 14.5% and diluted EPS of $11.84. Over the past year, the stock returned 82.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- Market cap
- $11.67B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.32B
- P/E
- 31.1x fwd 31.7x
- 1Y return
- 82.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $445.00 20.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings jumped 159.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, driven by top-line expansion to $4.32B in trailing twelve months revenue.
- The company's trailing operating margin of 14.5% outperforms the US-listed Industrials peer median of 11.7%.
- Moog has beaten analyst EPS estimates across all of the last 4 quarters, with consensus projecting current fiscal year EPS growth of 35.4% to $11.77.
Bear case
- Moog's forward P/E of 31.7x sits well above the US-listed Industrials peer median forward P/E of 17.2x.
- The balance sheet carries $1.08B in net debt with only $67.8M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Projected EPS growth decelerates sharply from 35.4% in the current fiscal year to 4.0% in the next fiscal year.
What Moog does
Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion control and fluid technology systems. Its Aerospace Controls segment provides primary and secondary flight controls for commercial and military aircraft, alongside aftermarket support and ground-based navigation aids. The Space and Defense Controls segment produces specialized controls for spacecraft, launch vehicles, and armored combat vehicles, including gun aiming, stabilization systems, and automatic ammunition loading. Moog's Industrial Systems segment delivers components for machinery used in injection molding, metal forming, and metal production, as well as electromechanical motion simulation bases for flight training.
Growth and profitability
Moog increased annual revenue from $2.85B in FY2021 to $3.86B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.0%. Net income expanded from $157.2M in FY2021 to $235.0M in FY2025, lifting net margin from 5.5% to 6.1%. Over that timeframe, EPS rose from $4.87 to $8.63. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, Moog delivered quarterly revenue growth of 15.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 159.0%. Over the trailing twelve months, Moog achieved $4.32B in revenue and an operating margin of 14.5%, up from its FY2025 operating margin of 10.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Moog held $67.8M in cash and short-term investments against $1.15B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.08B. Shareholders' equity stood at $2.22B, supported by total assets of $4.77B. The company maintained a current ratio of 2.09 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52. During FY2025, Moog generated $273.1M in operating cash flow and $128.4M in free cash flow, while deploying $144.7M to capital expenditures, $171.7M to share buybacks, and $36.4M to dividends.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $368.60, Moog trades at a trailing P/E of 31.1x and a forward P/E of 31.7x, both above the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 17.2x. Its enterprise value of $12.52B reflects an EV/EBITDA of 20.5x, compared to the peer median of 13.9x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 2.7x versus the peer median of 1.5x. Over the 1-year period, Moog returned 82.0% versus 16.8% for the S&P 500, and its 5-year return reached 380.5% compared to 83.0% for the index.
MOG-A dividend
Moog pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.20 per share, yielding 0.33%. The dividend has been paid for 9 consecutive years and grew at an annualized rate of 9.1% over the past 5 years. Supported by an EPS of $11.84 over the trailing twelve months, the dividend payout ratio is 10.3%. The most recent ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with no Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $445.00 represents 20.7% upside relative to the last closing price of $368.60. For the current fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $11.77, a 35.4% increase, on revenue of $4.41B. Moog has exceeded EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- With $1.15B in total debt versus $67.8M in cash, Moog relies on sustained operating cash flow to service obligations and fund capex.
- Valuation multiples are elevated, with an EV/EBITDA of 20.5x compared to the peer median of 13.9x.
- Free cash flow has shown variability in recent years, falling to negative $37.4M in FY2023 before recovering to $128.4M in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MOG-A AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Moog Inc. (MOG-A). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MOG-A income statement, MOG-A balance sheet, MOG-A key metrics, MOG-A analyst forecast, MOG-A chart. See the MOG-A stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MOG-A AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Moog Inc. pay?
Moog pays an annualized forward dividend of $1.20 per share on a quarterly schedule, which equals a dividend yield of 0.33%. The payout ratio is 10.3%, and the dividend has been paid for 9 consecutive years.
What are analysts forecasting for Moog's earnings?
Analysts estimate EPS of $11.77 on revenue of $4.41B for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026. For the following fiscal year, 4 analysts project EPS of $12.24 on revenue of $4.73B.
How much debt does Moog have?
As of June 30, 2026, Moog had $1.15B in total debt and $67.8M in cash and short-term investments, leaving net debt at $1.08B. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.52 and the current ratio was 2.09.
How has Moog stock performed relative to the broader market?
Moog gained 82.0% over the trailing 1-year period and 380.5% over 5 years as of October 16, 2026. By comparison, the S&P 500 returned 16.8% and 83.0% over the same respective periods.