Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METC) AI Stock Analysis
METC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchRamaco Resources, Inc. (METC) is an Appalachian metallurgical coal producer supplying blast furnace steel mills and coke plants. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $515.4M in revenue but posted an operating margin of -12.6% and a net loss of -$1.03 per share. The stock closed at $7.83 on October 16, 2026, down 84.2% over the prior year.
- Market cap
- $498.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $515.4M
- P/E
- — fwd 5.5x
- 1Y return
- -84.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $17.14 118.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Consensus estimates project next fiscal year revenue to rebound 21.0% to $695.3M with EPS turning positive to $0.29.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 5.5x, well below the 13.4x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers.
- The mean analyst price target of $17.14 represents an upside of 118.9% from the closing price of $7.83.
Bear case
- Free cash flow turned negative at -$60.8M in FY2025 as capital expenditures reached $62.8M against just $2.0M in operating cash flow.
- Trailing twelve-month profitability deteriorated to an operating margin of -12.6% and a net margin of -12.0%.
- Short interest stands high, with short percent of float recorded at 74.5%.
What Ramaco Resources does
Ramaco Resources, Inc. produces and supplies metallurgical coal primarily to blast furnace steel mills and coke plants in the United States and international markets. Founded in 2015 and headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky, the company operates several development properties in Appalachia. Its core holdings include the Elk Creek project covering approximately 20,200 acres with 16 coal seams in southern West Virginia, the Berwind property spanning about 41,300 acres along the West Virginia-Virginia border, the Knox Creek property covering approximately 62,100 acres in Virginia, and the 1,570-acre RAM Mine property in southwestern Pennsylvania.
Growth and profitability
Ramaco Resources grew revenue at a 26.0% CAGR from FY2020 through FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $283.4M in FY2021 to a peak of $693.5M in FY2023, before contracting to $666.3M in FY2024 and falling 19.5% to $536.6M in FY2025. Operating margin declined from 26.6% in FY2022 to -10.4% in FY2025, when the company recorded net income of -$51.4M and diluted EPS of -$0.99. In the trailing twelve months through June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $515.4M with a net margin of -12.0%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 5.3% year-over-year and quarterly earnings declined 89.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Ramaco Resources held $282.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $468.4M, resulting in net debt of $185.9M. Shareholders' equity was $376.1M, giving a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25, while the current ratio stood at 4.23. Total assets reached $1.02B. In FY2025, operating cash flow dropped to $2.0M, while capital expenditures of $62.8M led to free cash flow of -$60.8M. Cash outlays that year included $4.3M in dividends paid, and the company's share count increased 32.7% over five years.
Valuation and performance
At $7.83 per share, Ramaco Resources has a market capitalization of $498.6M and an enterprise value of $722.8M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 5.5x and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.0x, compared to the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers of 13.4x forward P/E and 1.8x price-to-sales. Its EV-to-revenue multiple is 1.4x. Over the past year, Ramaco's shares fell 84.2%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 38.6% compared to an 83.0% gain for SPY.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy and 3 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $17.14, which sits 118.9% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $7.83. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$0.93 on revenue of $574.6M. For the following fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $695.3M and an EPS of $0.29. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is October 26, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $468.4M against cash of $282.5M leaves net debt at $185.9M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25 as of June 30, 2026.
- The company has missed profit expectations frequently, beating EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
- Shareholder dilution has occurred over time, with the share count increasing 32.7% over the past 5 years.
- Stock price volatility is elevated, reflected by a beta of 1.54 and a 52-week decline of 84.2%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this METC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: METC income statement, METC balance sheet, METC key metrics, METC analyst forecast, METC chart. See the METC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
METC AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Ramaco Resources do?
Ramaco Resources, Inc. produces and supplies metallurgical coal from properties in West Virginia, Virginia, and Pennsylvania to blast furnace steel mills and coke plants.
What is METC's forward valuation compared to its peer group?
METC trades at a forward P/E of 5.5x and a price-to-sales multiple of 1.0x, compared to the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers of 13.4x forward P/E and 1.8x price-to-sales.
How much debt does Ramaco Resources carry?
As of June 30, 2026, the company had $468.4M in total debt and $282.5M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $185.9M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25.
When does Ramaco Resources report its next earnings?
The company's next earnings date is October 26, 2026.