Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MCHPAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MCHP AI stock analysis summary

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Microchip Technology Incorporated develops and manufactures embedded control solutions, including microcontrollers and analog products. In FY2026, revenue increased 7.1% to $4.71B after a 42.3% contraction in FY2025, while net income recovered to $202.2M. The company carries $5.40B in total debt and maintains a forward dividend yield of 2.46%.

Market cap
$40.10B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.12B
P/E
108.6x
fwd 20.5x
1Y return
16.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$107.84
46.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue expanded 38.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, signaling demand recovery.
  • Analysts project EPS to grow 122.7% to $3.65 for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027.
  • Microchip has paid dividends for 25 consecutive years while achieving a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 19.9%.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings fell 81.6% year-over-year in the quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • Net debt of $5.13B remains elevated relative to $272.3M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • The dividend payout ratio is high at 92.4%, with FY2026 dividends paid of $1.09B exceeding annual free cash flow of $871.0M.

What Microchip does

Microchip Technology Incorporated is a global developer, manufacturer, and distributor of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions. Headquartered in Chandler, Arizona, the company serves industries including automotive, industrial, computing, and communications. Its product portfolio features general purpose 8-bit, 16-bit, and 32-bit microcontrollers, as well as 32-bit embedded microprocessors and development tools for programming embedded applications. In addition, Microchip offers analog, interface, mixed-signal, and timing products such as power management solutions, RF components, USB controllers, and Ethernet interfaces, alongside flash memory and SRAM products.

Growth and profitability

Microchip's revenue rose from $6.82B in FY2022 to $8.44B in FY2023, before falling 9.5% to $7.63B in FY2024 and 42.3% to $4.40B in FY2025. In FY2026, revenue increased 7.1% to $4.71B, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of -2.8%. Gross margin was 57.7% in FY2026, down from 67.5% in FY2023, while operating margin was 10.4%. Net income rebounded to $202.2M with an EPS of $1.53 in FY2026, following net income of -$500,000 in FY2025. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 38.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 81.6% year-over-year.

MCHP income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Microchip held $272.3M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $5.40B, resulting in net debt of $5.13B. Shareholders' equity stood at $6.45B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84 and a current ratio of 1.92. In FY2026, the company generated $962.1M in operating cash flow and $871.0M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2026 included $91.1M for capital expenditures, $182.1M for share buybacks, and $1.09B in dividends paid.

MCHP balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $73.85, Microchip has a market cap of $40.10B and an enterprise value of $46.30B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 108.6x, above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers of 42.1x. However, its forward P/E of 20.5x sits below the peer median of 25.7x, and its price-to-sales ratio of 7.8x is lower than the peer median of 12.4x. Its EV/EBITDA stands at 31.7x, equal to the peer median. Microchip returned 16.0% over the past year and 13.2% over five years, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) returns of 16.8% and 83.0%.

MCHP key metrics →

MCHP dividend

Microchip provides an annual forward dividend of $1.82 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.46% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 25 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 19.9%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 92.4%, and dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency, with the last ex-dividend date on August 24, 2026.

MCHP dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts maintain 18 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 6 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $107.84, representing a 46.0% upside compared to the last close of $73.85. For the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates forecast EPS of $3.65 on revenue of $6.40B. For the following fiscal year, 25 analysts expect revenue of $7.44B and EPS of $4.60. Microchip beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 5, 2026.

MCHP forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A beta of 1.76 indicates that Microchip stock exhibits substantially higher price volatility than the broader equity market.
  • Total debt reached $5.40B as of June 30, 2026, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84.
  • Short interest stands at 8.2% of float, reflecting negative sentiment among some market participants.
  • Operating margin narrowed from 36.9% in FY2023 to 10.4% in FY2026, illustrating cyclical margin compression.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MCHP AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MCHP income statement, MCHP balance sheet, MCHP key metrics, MCHP analyst forecast, MCHP chart. See the MCHP stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MCHP AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Microchip Technology do?

Microchip Technology Incorporated develops, manufactures, and sells smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions. Its portfolio spans microcontrollers, 32-bit microprocessors, analog and interface solutions, and memory components used across automotive, industrial, and computing markets.

Does Microchip pay a dividend?

Yes, Microchip pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.82 per share, equal to a 2.46% dividend yield as of October 16, 2026. The company has made consecutive dividend payments for 25 years with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 19.9%.

What are analysts forecasting for Microchip's revenue and earnings?

For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $6.40B and EPS of $3.65. For the subsequent fiscal year, 25 analysts forecast revenue to rise 16.3% to $7.44B and EPS to reach $4.60.

How does Microchip's valuation compare to its sector peers?

Microchip trades at a forward P/E of 20.5x and a price-to-sales ratio of 7.8x, both below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers of 25.7x and 12.4x. Conversely, its trailing P/E of 108.6x is higher than the peer median of 42.1x.

When does Microchip report earnings next?

Microchip's next earnings release date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

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