Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd (MATH) AI Stock Analysis
MATH AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMetalpha Technology Holding Ltd (MATH) provides supply chain management platform services and customized cryptocurrency derivative products. The company generated $37.1M in revenue for FY2026, though revenue fell 16.7% from FY2025. It holds $465.1M in cash and short-term investments against $536,563 in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $49.9M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $37.1M
- P/E
- 52.5x
- 1Y return
- -64.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- —
Bull case
- Metalpha holds $465.1M in cash and short-term investments against just $536,563 in total debt, providing a net cash balance of $464.6M.
- The company generated $75.7M in operating cash flow and free cash flow in FY2026.
- Revenue experienced a 5-year CAGR of 177.5% from FY2021 to FY2026, growing from $122,711 in FY2022 to $37.1M in FY2026.
Bear case
- The stock has lost 64.8% over the past year and trades at $1.05, down 50.0% year-to-date.
- Operating profitability turned sharply negative in FY2026 with an operating margin of -96.4% and a gross margin of -59.2%.
- Quarterly earnings fell 63.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
What Metalpha Technology does
Metalpha Technology Holding Limited operates in the supply chain management platform services sector in the People's Republic of China and specializes in providing customized cryptocurrency derivative products for digital finance markets. Founded in 2015 and headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong, the company was formerly known as Dragon Victory International Limited before rebranding in November 2022. It employs 31 people and focuses on expanding technology-driven solutions to streamline supply chain operations alongside innovative financial products tailored for businesses in China and international markets.
Growth and profitability
Metalpha achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 177.5% from FY2021 to FY2026. Annual revenue expanded from $122,711 in FY2022 to $5.7M in FY2023, $16.8M in FY2024, and reached a peak of $44.6M in FY2025 with net income of $15.9M. In FY2026, revenue fell 16.7% to $37.1M, with a gross margin of -59.2% and an operating margin of -96.4%, though net income remained positive at $1.3M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $37.1M with an operating margin of 17.0% and EPS of $0.02. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 1.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 63.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Metalpha held $465.1M in cash and short-term investments and $536,563 in total debt, resulting in net cash of $464.6M. Total assets stood at $485.6M against shareholders' equity of $53.0M, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 and a current ratio of 1.12. In FY2026, operating cash flow and free cash flow were both $75.7M. Capital expenditures were $5, and the company allocated $18,340 to share buybacks, while share count increased 161.6% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At its last close of $1.05 on October 16, 2026, Metalpha had a market capitalization of $49.9M and an enterprise value of -$37.1M. Its trailing P/E ratio of 52.5x stands well above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 1.3x and EV to EBITDA of 1.1x trade below peer medians of 3.2x and 11.7x, respectively. The stock has posted a 1-year return of -64.8% and a 5-year return of -32.7%, significantly lagging the S&P 500 benchmark returns of 16.8% and 83.0% over the same periods.
What analysts expect
Metalpha registered 2 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. The company has no published analyst price targets or formal rating counts on file. The next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Investors continue to monitor its quarterly earnings performance following a 63.3% year-over-year drop in earnings reported for the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside trailing twelve months EPS of $0.02.
Key risks and what to watch
- Gross margin dropped to -59.2% in FY2026 from 47.8% in FY2025, signaling severe margin volatility in its operational lines.
- Share dilution has been significant, with share count increasing 161.6% over the past 5 years.
- Institutional ownership stands at just 1.2%, while insiders control 35.8% of the company.
- The stock carries a trailing P/E of 52.5x, significantly higher than the peer median of 12.1x for US-listed Financial Services.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MATH AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd (MATH). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MATH income statement, MATH balance sheet, MATH key metrics, MATH chart. See the MATH stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MATH AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd do?
Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd operates within supply chain management platform services in China and provides customized cryptocurrency derivative products. The company was founded in 2015, is based in Hong Kong, and previously operated under the name Dragon Victory International Limited.
Does MATH pay a dividend?
No, Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd does not pay a dividend.
How much cash and debt does Metalpha have?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $465.1M in cash and short-term investments and $536,563 in total debt, yielding net cash of $464.6M. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.01.
What is Metalpha's valuation compared to peers?
Metalpha trades at a trailing P/E of 52.5x compared to the median of 12.1x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 1.3x and price-to-book ratio is 0.9x, supported by an enterprise value of -$37.1M.
When is Metalpha's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026. It reported 2 EPS beats out of the last 4 quarters.