Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) AI Stock Analysis
MARA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMarathon Digital Holdings, Inc. is a US-based digital asset company specializing in cryptocurrency mining and blockchain technology. The company generated $804.2M in trailing twelve-month revenue, but operating margin stood at -265.2% with a trailing twelve-month net loss reflected in an EPS of -$9.40. Its balance sheet shows $2.47B in total debt alongside $421.3M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $2.91B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $804.2M
- P/E
- — fwd 39.5x
- 1Y return
- -62.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $18.61 147.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue increased from $159.2M in FY2021 to $907.1M in FY2025, demonstrating strong top-line scale over a multi-year period.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $18.61, which is 147.1% above the last close of $7.53.
- The forward PEG ratio stands at 0.10, paired with an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 6.7x that sits below the peer median of 11.7x.
Bear case
- Net income dropped to -$1.31B in FY2025, and trailing twelve-month operating margin was -265.2%.
- Total debt reached $2.47B against cash and short-term investments of $421.3M, leaving a net debt position of $2.04B.
- The 1-year stock return of -62.9% lagged the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, and short interest represents 29.8% of the float.
What Marathon Digital does
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. is a digital asset company that specializes in cryptocurrency mining and blockchain technology. Based in Las Vegas, Nevada, the company leverages the blockchain ecosystem to mine cryptocurrencies and produce digital assets. Founded in 2010 as Marathon Patent Group, Inc., the company shifted its strategic direction from patent monetization to cryptocurrency mining and rebranded in February 2021. By the end of 2021, the company held approximately 8,115 bitcoins, including holdings in its investment fund. The company focuses on expanding its mining footprint, advancing technological innovation, and improving operational efficiency across its infrastructure.
Growth and profitability
Revenue expanded from $159.2M in FY2021 to $907.1M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 190.9%. However, profitability has been volatile. Operating margin went from 46.6% in FY2024 to -90.6% in FY2025, and net income declined from $541.3M to -$1.31B. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $804.2M, with an operating margin of -265.2% and EPS of -$9.40. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 26.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 86.7%. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $707.1M and an EPS of -$3.54.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Marathon Digital held $421.3M in cash and short-term investments against $2.47B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $2.04B. Shareholders' equity was $1.66B, and total assets stood at $4.35B. The company reported a current ratio of 0.89 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.49. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $94.7M, but free cash flow was -$312.3M after capital expenditures of $407.1M. Share buybacks totaled $46.9M in FY2025, while the share count expanded 271.7% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Marathon Digital trades at a forward P/E of 39.5x, well above the 10.8x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 3.6x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, while its EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 6.7x sits below the peer median of 11.7x. The company holds an enterprise value of $7.20B and a market cap of $2.91B. Over the past year, the stock fell 62.9%, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 benchmark. Over five years, the stock dropped 84.6%, while the S&P 500 advanced 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 7 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 4 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $18.61, representing an upside of 147.1% over the last close of $7.53 on October 16, 2026. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the trailing 4 quarters. For the next fiscal year, two analysts project revenue of $805.3M and an EPS of -$0.34. The next earnings date is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A current ratio of 0.89 indicates potential short-term liquidity constraints against upcoming obligations.
- High market sensitivity is reflected in a beta of 5.35, creating elevated share price volatility.
- Ongoing capital intensity is evident from $407.1M in FY2025 capital expenditures and negative free cash flow of -$312.3M.
- Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with the share count increasing 271.7% over the past 5 years.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MARA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MARA income statement, MARA balance sheet, MARA key metrics, MARA analyst forecast, MARA chart. See the MARA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MARA AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Marathon Digital's primary line of business?
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. operates in digital finance, focusing on cryptocurrency mining and blockchain technology infrastructure to generate digital assets.
Does Marathon Digital pay a dividend?
No, Marathon Digital does not pay a dividend to shareholders.
What is the consensus analyst target for MARA stock?
The mean analyst price target is $18.61, which represents a 147.1% premium over the October 16, 2026 closing price of $7.53.
What is Marathon Digital's debt level?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $2.47B in total debt and $421.3M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $2.04B.
When does Marathon Digital report its next quarterly earnings?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 3, 2026.