LiveWire Group, Inc. (LVWR) AI Stock Analysis
LVWR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchLiveWire Group, Inc. manufactures and distributes electric motorcycles across North America, Europe/Middle East/Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. For FY2025, the company generated revenue of $25.7M but reported a net income of -$75.1M and free cash flow of -$57.4M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $31.3M alongside an operating margin of -194.4%.
- Market cap
- $318.4M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $31.3M
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -67.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $7.25 367.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue increased 55.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Wall Street analysts hold a mean price target of $7.25, implying 367.7% upside over the recent close of $1.55.
- Free cash flow burn narrowed significantly to -$57.4M in FY2025 from -$101.9M in FY2024.
Bear case
- LiveWire generated a net loss of -$75.1M in FY2025 alongside a negative operating margin of -294.0%.
- The stock fell 67.6% over the past 1-year period compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500.
- The company trades at an elevated price-to-sales multiple of 10.2x, significantly higher than the 0.7x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
What LiveWire does
LiveWire Group, Inc. produces and distributes electric motorcycles across global markets including North America, Europe/Middle East/Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The Milwaukee, Wisconsin-based company was founded in 2010 and operates under the LiveWire brand, focusing on electric vehicle engineering and sustainability. To advance its technological reach and expand its market presence, LiveWire maintains strategic partnerships with industry participants Harley-Davidson, Inc. and the KYMCO Group, serving environmentally conscious riders and enthusiasts.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue peaked at $46.8M in FY2022 before dropping to $38.0M in FY2023, $26.6M in FY2024, and $25.7M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of -3.6%. Gross margin was -17.3% in FY2025, improving from -48.0% in FY2024 and -205.0% in FY2023. Operating margin was -294.0% in FY2025 compared to -414.4% in FY2024, while net loss finished at -$75.1M with diluted EPS of -$0.37. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 55.2% year-over-year, bringing trailing twelve-month revenue to $31.3M with a net profit margin of -234.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, LiveWire held $52.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $77.3M, leaving net debt at $24.4M. Total assets stood at $117.9M and shareholders' equity was $11.9M, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.49 and a current ratio of 4.16. Free cash flow was -$57.4M in FY2025, recovering from -$101.9M in FY2024. In FY2025, capital expenditures consumed $3.8M, while share buybacks totaled $1.0M.
Valuation and performance
At a closing share price of $1.55 on October 16, 2026, LiveWire trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 10.2x and an enterprise-value-to-revenue multiple of 9.7x. By comparison, the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.7x. The company's price-to-book ratio stands at 23.4x. Over the past year, the stock fell 67.6%, underperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the shares declined 84.2% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.
What analysts expect
LiveWire carries a mean price target of $7.25, which sits 367.7% above the last closing price of $1.55. Over the trailing four quarters, the company delivered 2 EPS beats against consensus estimates. In FY2025, LiveWire posted an EPS of -$0.37, matching its trailing twelve-month EPS of -$0.37. The company's next scheduled earnings announcement is set for November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- With cash and short-term investments of $52.9M and FY2025 operating cash flow of -$53.5M, ongoing cash burn poses a liquidity risk.
- A high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.49 against $77.3M in total debt leaves the company with a limited equity cushion of $11.9M.
- Elevated short interest, with short percent of float at 10.6% and a beta of 1.62, signals potential for heightened volatility.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this LVWR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of LiveWire Group, Inc. (LVWR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: LVWR income statement, LVWR balance sheet, LVWR key metrics, LVWR chart. See the LVWR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
LVWR AI stock analysis FAQ
What does LiveWire Group do?
LiveWire Group, Inc. manufactures and distributes electric motorcycles under the LiveWire brand across North America, Europe/Middle East/Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions, maintaining strategic partnerships with Harley-Davidson, Inc. and KYMCO Group.
Is LiveWire Group profitable?
No, LiveWire is not profitable, recording a net loss of -$75.1M in FY2025 and a trailing twelve-month profit margin of -234.5%.
Does LiveWire Group pay a dividend?
No, LiveWire does not pay a dividend, as the company operates at a net loss of -$75.1M and negative free cash flow of -$57.4M in FY2025.
When is LiveWire Group's next earnings date?
LiveWire's next earnings release is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
How much debt does LiveWire Group have?
As of June 30, 2026, LiveWire had $77.3M in total debt and $52.9M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $24.4M.