Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: PATKAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

PATK AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK) manufactures and distributes components and building products for recreational vehicles, marine vessels, and manufactured housing. The company generated $3.94B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a net profit margin of 3.7% and trailing diluted earnings per share of $4.20. While PATK carries net debt of $1.62B, it trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.8x and offers a forward dividend yield of 2.76%.

Market cap
$2.19B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.94B
P/E
16.2x
fwd 13.3x
1Y return
-30.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$100.82
48.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Wall Street analysts maintain a mean price target of $100.82, representing 48.2% upside from the recent close of $68.04.
  • PATK trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.8x and a forward P/E of 13.3x, both below the peer medians of 11.1x and 14.1x for US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
  • The company delivered quarterly earnings growth of 33.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 19.5%.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries $1.65B in total debt against just $29.2M in cash, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46.
  • Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with the 5-year share count expanding by 50.2%.
  • Short interest stands at 26.3% of the float, coinciding with a 1-year stock decline of 30.0%.

What Patrick Industries does

Patrick Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes components, building products, and materials for recreational vehicles, marine vessels, manufactured housing, and industrial markets across the United States, China, and Canada. Operating through Manufacturing and Distribution segments, the company produces furniture, shelving, countertops, cabinets, solid surface fabrication, fiberglass, and plastic components. It also provides polymer-based flooring, specialty dash panels, wiring harnesses, aluminum products, CNC molds, composite parts, and marine hardware. Its Distribution segment delivers pre-finished wall and ceiling panels, drywall products, and related electrical and building materials to its customer base.

Growth and profitability

Patrick Industries achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 9.7% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue grew from $4.08B in FY2021 to a peak of $4.88B in FY2022, before dropping 29.0% to $3.47B in FY2023. Revenue subsequently rebounded to $3.72B in FY2024 and $3.95B in FY2025, when gross margin reached 23.1% and operating margin was 7.0%. Net income was $135.1M in FY2025, generating EPS of $4.46. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $3.94B with an operating margin of 7.4%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 0.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 33.3%.

PATK income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Patrick Industries held $29.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.65B, resulting in net debt of $1.62B. Total assets stood at $3.21B and shareholders' equity was $1.13B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46 and a current ratio of 2.67. Free cash flow reached $241.9M in FY2025 from $329.4M in operating cash flow. In FY2025, capital expenditures consumed $87.5M, while capital returns included $55.3M in dividends paid and $32.0M in share buybacks.

PATK balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $68.04 per share, Patrick Industries trades at a trailing P/E of 16.2x and a forward P/E of 13.3x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.8x sits below the peer median of 11.1x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 0.6x versus the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, PATK declined 30.0%, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, PATK has gained 39.3% compared to 83.0% for the index.

PATK key metrics →

PATK dividend

Patrick Industries pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.88 per share, representing a 2.76% dividend yield at the last close of $68.04. The payout ratio stands at 44.3%, and the company has paid dividends for 8 consecutive years. Its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is 19.5%, with the most recent ex-dividend date on August 24, 2026.

PATK dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 6 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $100.82 implies 48.2% upside over the last close of $68.04. Analysts project FY2026 revenue of $3.87B and EPS of $4.20, followed by expected FY2027 revenue of $4.07B and EPS of $5.18. Patrick Industries beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 29, 2026.

PATK forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $1.65B and net debt of $1.62B leave the company exposed to leverage risks against cash of $29.2M.
  • Short interest is elevated at 26.3% of the float, indicating significant market skepticism.
  • Net profit margin is slim at 3.7% over the trailing twelve months, making bottom-line results sensitive to cyclical revenue swings.
  • Full-year FY2026 consensus projections anticipate EPS falling 5.3% to $4.20 on revenue of $3.87B.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this PATK AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: PATK income statement, PATK balance sheet, PATK key metrics, PATK analyst forecast, PATK chart. See the PATK stock overview for the latest quote and news.

PATK AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Patrick Industries' dividend yield and payout schedule?

Patrick Industries pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.88 annually, which yields 2.76% based on a share price of $68.04. The payout ratio is 44.3%, and the company has paid dividends for 8 consecutive years.

How much debt does Patrick Industries have?

As of June 30, 2026, Patrick Industries reported $1.65B in total debt and $29.2M in cash and short-term investments, yielding net debt of $1.62B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 1.46 and its current ratio is 2.67.

How do analysts rate PATK stock?

Of the 11 analyst ratings, 6 rate PATK as Strong Buy, 2 as Buy, 2 as Hold, and 1 as Sell. The mean price target is $100.82, which is 48.2% above the last closing price of $68.04.

When does Patrick Industries report its next earnings?

Patrick Industries is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on October 29, 2026. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.

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