Polaris Inc. (PII) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: PIIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

PII AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Polaris Inc. is a major designer and manufacturer of power sports vehicles across its Off-Road, On-Road, and Marine segments. While annual revenue declined from $8.93B in FY2023 to $7.15B in FY2025 alongside a net loss of -$465.5M, trailing twelve-month revenue improved to $7.52B. The company yields 5.22% in forward dividends and trades at a forward P/E of 13.1x.

Market cap
$2.97B
Revenue (TTM)
$7.52B
P/E
—
fwd 13.1x
1Y return
-17.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$71.00
36.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow recovered significantly in FY2025 to $558.1M, supported by $741.0M in operating cash flow.
  • Quarterly revenue grew 8.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, beating the sector peer median quarterly growth of 4.5%.
  • Polaris carries a forward dividend yield of 5.22% backed by 40 consecutive years of dividend payments.

Bear case

  • Trailing twelve-month results show net profitability under pressure with a net loss yielding an EPS of -$4.61.
  • Balance sheet leverage remains elevated with total debt of $1.95B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.33 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 89.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.

What Polaris does

Polaris Inc. is a global designer, engineer, manufacturer, and marketer of power sports vehicles operating across Off-Road, On-Road, and Marine segments. Its Off-Road business offers all-terrain vehicles (ATVs), side-by-side vehicles, snowmobiles, and snow bike conversion kit systems. The On-Road segment manufactures motorcycles, quadricycles, moto-roadsters, and light duty hauling and passenger vehicles, supported by accessories like winches, plows, lighting, and cargo solutions. The Marine segment provides pontoon and deck boats for recreational boating. Polaris also markets accessories, gear, and apparel such as helmets, jackets, boots, and marine-specific equipment through dealers, distributors, and online channels.

Growth and profitability

Polaris grew revenue from $7.44B in FY2021 to a peak of $8.93B in FY2023 before falling 19.7% to $7.18B in FY2024 and dipping 0.3% to $7.15B in FY2025. Gross margin contracted steadily from 22.8% in FY2021 to 18.5% in FY2025, while operating margin fell from 8.8% to -0.4%. Net income dropped from $493.9M in FY2021 to a loss of -$465.5M in FY2025, with EPS sinking from $9.14 to -$0.01. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $7.52B with a profit margin of -3.5% and EPS of -$4.61. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 8.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings dropped 89.6%.

PII income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Polaris held $302.1M in cash and short-term investments against $1.95B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.65B. Shareholders' equity was $836.5M against total assets of $5.20B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.33 and a current ratio of 1.20. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $741.0M and free cash flow reached $558.1M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $182.9M, share buybacks of $2.4M, and dividend distributions of $150.3M.

PII balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Polaris trades at a forward P/E of 13.1x, below the 14.1x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 0.4x compared to the peer median of 0.7x, while its EV-to-EBITDA stands elevated at 46.6x against the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, the stock fell 17.9% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500. Over a five-year period, the stock declined 52.6% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.

PII key metrics →

PII dividend

Polaris pays a quarterly dividend totaling $2.72 forward annually, which represents a 5.22% dividend yield at its recent close of $52.15. The payout ratio stands at 104.6%. The company has paid dividends for 40 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.

PII dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 13 Hold, and 1 Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $71.00, representing 36.1% upside over the last close of $52.15. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.14 on revenue of $7.44B. For FY2027, 16 analysts project EPS of $3.36 on $7.68B in revenue. Polaris beat EPS estimates in all 4 of its last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 27, 2026.

PII forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $1.95B outweighs cash holdings of $302.1M, leaving net debt at $1.65B.
  • The dividend payout ratio of 104.6% exceeds current earnings, which could pressure future payouts if profits do not rebound.
  • Short interest stands high at 14.1% of float, reflecting negative sentiment among market participants.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this PII AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Polaris Inc. (PII). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: PII income statement, PII balance sheet, PII key metrics, PII analyst forecast, PII chart. See the PII stock overview for the latest quote and news.

PII AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Polaris Inc.'s dividend yield?

Polaris offers a forward dividend yield of 5.22%, based on an annualized forward payout of $2.72 per share and 40 consecutive years of payments.

What do analysts expect for Polaris Inc.'s earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of $3.14 on revenue of $7.44B for FY2026, rising to EPS of $3.36 on revenue of $7.68B in FY2027.

How does Polaris Inc.'s valuation compare to its peers?

Polaris trades at a forward P/E of 13.1x and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.4x, lower than the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer medians of 14.1x and 0.7x, respectively.

When is the next earnings release for Polaris Inc.?

Polaris is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 27, 2026.

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