Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: LUMNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LUMN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) is a telecommunications and networking provider serving Business and Mass Markets segments. The company faces persistent revenue contraction, demonstrated by a 5-year revenue CAGR of -9.7% and trailing twelve month revenue of $11.83B. Lumen also maintains a leveraged balance sheet, with total debt of $13.49B against negative shareholders equity of -$1.49B.

Market cap
$4.80B
Revenue (TTM)
$11.83B
P/E
—
fwd 98.0x
1Y return
-33.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$7.49
61.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • The consensus analyst price target of $7.49 represents a 61.1% potential upside from the October 16, 2026 closing price of $4.65.
  • Lumen generated positive free cash flow of $371.0M and operating cash flow of $4.74B in FY2025.
  • The company trades at a price to sales ratio of 0.4x and EV to EBITDA of 7.8x, both below the median of its US-listed Communication Services peers of 0.8x and 10.0x.

Bear case

  • Revenue has contracted steadily at a 5-year CAGR of -9.7%, dropping from $19.69B in FY2021 to $12.40B in FY2025.
  • The balance sheet carries $13.49B in total debt and negative shareholders equity of -$1.49B as of June 30, 2026.
  • Lumen generated a net loss of -$1.74B in FY2025, and consensus estimates expect an EPS loss of -$0.83 for FY2026.

What Lumen Technologies does

Lumen Technologies, Inc. provides integrated networking products and services to business and mass customers across the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Business and Mass Markets. Offerings include dark fiber and conduit, edge cloud, internet protocol (IP), voice over IP, managed security, software-defined wide area networks, unified communications and collaboration, optical services, ethernet, and VPN data network services. The company also offers legacy services such as time division multiplexing voice, private line, SONET-based ethernet, conferencing, and legacy data hosting. For residential and small business customers, Lumen provides broadband and voice services under the Lumen, CenturyLink, Black Lotus Labs, and Quantum Fiber brands.

Growth and profitability

Lumen has experienced sustained top-line contraction, with revenue decreasing from $19.69B in FY2021 to $17.48B in FY2022, $14.56B in FY2023, $13.11B in FY2024, and $12.40B in FY2025, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of -9.7%. Operating margin turned negative, moving from 21.8% in FY2021 to -6.5% in FY2025 as gross margin compressed from 56.9% to 46.5%. Annual net income dropped from $2.03B in FY2021 to -$1.74B in FY2025, after a net loss of -$10.30B in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $11.83B with an operating margin of -2.9% and EPS of -$1.02. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 9.3% year-over-year while earnings fell 88.9%.

LUMN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Lumen held $1.88B in cash and short-term investments against $13.49B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $11.62B. Shareholders equity stood at -$1.49B alongside $30.78B in total assets, and the current ratio was 0.96. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $4.74B and free cash flow was $371.0M after capital expenditures of $4.37B. Cash uses included dividends paid of $1.0M in FY2025, while the 5-year share count change was -1.1%.

LUMN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

With a market capitalization of $4.80B and an enterprise value of $17.94B, Lumen trades at a forward P/E of 98.0x, above the 14.1x median of its US-listed Communication Services peers. The stock trades at an EV to EBITDA ratio of 7.8x, lower than the peer median of 10.0x, and a price to sales ratio of 0.4x versus the peer median of 0.8x. Over the past 12 months, Lumen shares fell 33.8%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock declined 58.1%, while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.

LUMN key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 0 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 8 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings on the stock. The mean price target of $7.49 reflects a 61.1% upside from the last closing price of $4.65 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates call for revenue of $11.13B and EPS of -$0.83, an EPS decline of 541.4%. Lumen beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

LUMN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.96 combined with net debt of $11.62B creates ongoing liquidity and debt refinancing challenges given $4.37B in annual capex.
  • Quarterly revenue fell 9.3% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, reflecting continued top-line contraction.
  • A high beta of 1.86 and a 37.4% discount to its 200-day moving average reflect elevated share price volatility.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LUMN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LUMN income statement, LUMN balance sheet, LUMN key metrics, LUMN analyst forecast, LUMN chart. See the LUMN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LUMN AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Lumen Technologies' debt and cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, Lumen reported cash and short-term investments of $1.88B and total debt of $13.49B, resulting in net debt of $11.62B. Total shareholders equity was negative at -$1.49B.

What are Wall Street analysts' price targets for LUMN stock?

Analysts have a consensus mean price target of $7.49, which is 61.1% above the last closing price of $4.65. The ratings distribution consists of 1 Buy, 8 Holds, and 1 Sell.

Does Lumen Technologies pay a dividend?

Lumen paid $1.0M in dividends during FY2025, but the stock does not currently report an ongoing regular dividend program.

What are analysts' earnings projections for Lumen in FY2026?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $11.13B and EPS of -$0.83. That estimate represents an EPS decline of 541.4%.

When does Lumen report quarterly earnings?

Lumen Technologies is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026. The company beat EPS consensus estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

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