T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: TMUSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TMUS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

T-Mobile US, Inc. is a major provider of mobile communications services and wireless devices across the United States. In FY2025, the company generated $88.31B in revenue and produced $18.00B in free cash flow. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $92.19B with an operating margin of 25.2%.

Market cap
$170.66B
Revenue (TTM)
$92.19B
P/E
16.6x
fwd 11.7x
1Y return
-28.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$236.84
48.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow expanded substantially to $18.00B in FY2025, supported by $27.95B in operating cash flow.
  • Forward valuation multiples remain low relative to peers, with a forward P/E of 11.7x and a PEG ratio of 0.59.
  • Analysts project EPS growth of 27.2% for the next fiscal year with an estimated EPS of $13.93.

Bear case

  • The company carries substantial leverage, with total debt of $116.00B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.06.
  • Gross margin experienced a sharp drop in FY2025, falling to 47.6% from 63.6% in FY2024.
  • Share price momentum has lagged broader markets, declining 28.3% over the trailing one-year period.

What T-Mobile does

T-Mobile US, Inc. provides mobile communications services across the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Bellevue, Washington, the company serves postpaid and prepaid markets with voice, messaging, and data services, alongside wholesale wireless connectivity for businesses and carriers. T-Mobile also markets wireless devices such as smartphones, wearables, and tablets through its flagship T-Mobile brand and Metro by T-Mobile. Distribution occurs through company-owned retail stores, customer care channels, third-party retail outlets, and online platforms.

Growth and profitability

T-Mobile grew revenue from $80.12B in FY2021 to $88.31B in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.2%. Net income increased from $3.02B in FY2021 to $10.99B in FY2025, while EPS climbed from $2.57 to $10.14. Operating margin expanded from 8.6% in FY2021 to 21.2% in FY2025, though gross margin fell to 47.6% in FY2025 from 63.6% in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 7.9% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 5.3%. Trailing twelve months revenue stands at $92.19B with net profit margin at 11.5%.

TMUS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, T-Mobile held $2.83B in cash and short-term investments against $116.00B in total debt, yielding net debt of $113.17B. Shareholders' equity was $56.27B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.06 and a current ratio of 0.92. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $27.95B, funding capital expenditures of $9.96B, share buybacks of $9.97B, and dividends paid of $4.12B. Over five years, the company's share count was reduced by 13.7%.

TMUS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

T-Mobile trades at a trailing P/E of 16.6x and a forward P/E of 11.7x, both below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Communication Services peers at 20.5x and 21.9x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $294.31B translates to an EV/EBITDA of 9.1x, compared to the peer median of 14.9x. The stock has dropped 28.3% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 42.3% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

TMUS key metrics →

TMUS dividend

T-Mobile pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $4.68, reflecting a dividend yield of 2.94%. The payout ratio is 40.6%, and the company has paid dividends for 4 consecutive years. Its last ex-dividend date is November 25, 2026.

TMUS dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 14 Strong Buy, 9 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings on TMUS, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $236.84, representing a 48.9% premium over the last close of $159.10. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $94.33B and EPS of $10.95. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 28, 2026.

TMUS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.92 indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets as of June 30, 2026.
  • Net debt stands elevated at $113.17B against cash and short-term investments of $2.83B.
  • Quarterly revenue growth of 7.9% trails the Nasdaq-100 Communication Services peer median of 24.2%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TMUS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TMUS income statement, TMUS balance sheet, TMUS key metrics, TMUS analyst forecast, TMUS chart. See the TMUS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TMUS AI stock analysis FAQ

What is T-Mobile's dividend yield and payout schedule?

T-Mobile offers an annual forward dividend of $4.68, which equals a dividend yield of 2.94%. Payments are distributed quarterly, supported by a payout ratio of 40.6%.

How much debt does T-Mobile have on its balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, T-Mobile held $116.00B in total debt and $2.83B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $113.17B.

When is T-Mobile's next earnings report?

T-Mobile's next earnings date is scheduled for October 28, 2026. Analysts project full-year FY2026 EPS of $10.95 on revenue of $94.33B.

How do analysts view T-Mobile stock?

Wall Street sentiment is positive, with 14 Strong Buy, 9 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $236.84 sits 48.9% above its October 16, 2026 close of $159.10.

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