Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: LOWAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LOW AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) is a major home improvement retailer operating across the United States. In FY2026, the company generated $86.29B in revenue with diluted earnings per share of $12.29 and free cash flow of $7.65B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 16.7x with a forward dividend yield of 2.53%.

Market cap
$110.74B
Revenue (TTM)
$90.43B
P/E
16.7x
fwd 15.6x
1Y return
-17.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$252.42
27.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Lowe's has beaten consensus earnings per share estimates in all of the last 4 quarters and generated $7.65B in free cash flow during FY2026.
  • The stock trades at a discount to the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers across trailing earnings of 16.7x versus 20.1x and EV-to-EBITDA of 11.5x versus 13.8x.
  • The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 15.9% and a payout ratio of 39.3%.

Bear case

  • Lowe's holds $42.02B in total debt and carries negative shareholders' equity of -$7.44B as of July 31, 2026.
  • Over the 5-year period from FY2021 to FY2026, revenue produced a compound annual growth rate of -0.8%, falling from $96.25B in FY2022 to $86.29B in FY2026.
  • Share price performance has lagged the broader market, delivering a 1-year return of -17.1% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.

What Lowe's does

Lowe's Companies, Inc. is a home improvement retailer serving homeowners, renters, and professional contractors. The company offers a wide inventory for construction, maintenance, repair, remodeling, and decorating, including appliances, outdoor living supplies, lumber, fixtures, tools, paint, plumbing, and electrical products. Lowe's sells both national brand names and private label products, and it provides installation services through independent contractors, along with extended protection plans and repair services. As of January 28, 2022, the company operated a network of 1,971 home improvement and hardware stores. In addition to physical stores, Lowe's serves customers through online platforms such as Lowes.com and Lowesforpros.com and mobile applications.

Growth and profitability

Lowe's reported revenue of $86.29B in FY2026, up 3.1% after declining 11.0% in FY2024 and 3.1% in FY2025. Gross margin was 33.5% in FY2026, while operating margin was 11.8%, compared to an operating margin of 12.5% in FY2025 and 13.4% in FY2024. Net income reached $6.65B in FY2026 with diluted earnings per share of $12.29, down from net income of $6.96B in FY2025 and $7.73B in FY2024. Over the 5-year period from FY2021 to FY2026, revenue recorded a compound annual growth rate of -0.8%. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 8.3% year-over-year, bringing trailing twelve-month revenue to $90.43B and profit margin to 7.3%.

LOW income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of July 31, 2026, Lowe's held $3.41B in cash and short-term investments against $42.02B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $38.62B. The company recorded negative shareholders' equity of -$7.44B and a current ratio of 1.10. In FY2026, operating cash flow was $9.86B, supporting capital expenditures of $2.21B and delivering $7.65B in free cash flow. Lowe's returned capital to shareholders through $2.64B in dividends paid and $211.0M in share buybacks in FY2026, helping reduce its 5-year share count by 18.8%.

LOW balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $197.38 as of October 16, 2026, Lowe's has a market capitalization of $110.74B and an enterprise value of $147.80B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 16.7x and a forward multiple of 15.6x, compared to medians of 20.1x and 15.7x for its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 11.5x and price-to-sales ratio of 1.2x also sit below peer medians of 13.8x and 2.0x. Over the past year, Lowe's returned -17.1%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of -0.8% lagged the broader market return of 83.0%.

LOW key metrics →

LOW dividend

Lowe's pays an annual forward dividend of $5.00 per share, representing a 2.53% dividend yield and a payout ratio of 39.3%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years and generated a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 15.9%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency, with the last ex-dividend date on October 21, 2026.

LOW dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 20 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 9 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings, with 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $252.42, which is 27.9% above the last close of $197.38. For the current fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, analysts project revenue of $92.14B and earnings per share of $12.31. For the following fiscal year, 32 analysts estimate revenue of $94.39B and earnings per share of $13.00. Lowe's has beaten earnings estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 18, 2026.

LOW forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt stood at $38.62B as of July 31, 2026, creating ongoing interest and refinancing exposure.
  • Operating margin narrowed from 13.4% in FY2024 to 11.8% in FY2026.
  • The stock trades 13.1% below its 200-day average and remains well beneath its 52-week high of $293.06.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LOW AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LOW income statement, LOW balance sheet, LOW key metrics, LOW analyst forecast, LOW chart. See the LOW stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LOW AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Lowe's dividend yield and payout policy?

Lowe's pays an annual forward dividend of $5.00 per share, yielding 2.53% as of October 16, 2026. The dividend has been paid for 42 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 39.3%.

How much debt does Lowe's carry on its balance sheet?

As of July 31, 2026, Lowe's had $42.02B in total debt and $3.41B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $38.62B. Shareholders' equity was -$7.44B.

What are analysts forecasting for Lowe's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, analysts project earnings per share of $12.31 on revenue of $92.14B. For the subsequent fiscal year, analysts expect earnings per share of $13.00 on revenue of $94.39B.

How does Lowe's valuation compare to its peers?

Lowe's trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 16.7x and an enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 11.5x, below the S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peer medians of 20.1x and 13.8x.

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