Lottomatica Group SpA (LOTMY) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: LOTMYAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LOTMY AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Lottomatica Group SpA operates gaming and betting franchises and digital platforms across Italy. Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue expanded at a four-year CAGR of 29.1% to reach $2.25B, with FY2025 net income reaching $174.3M. The company carries $2.34B in total debt against $366.5M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$6.25B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.29B
P/E
25.8x
fwd 20.4x
1Y return
8.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
—

Bull case

  • Free cash flow expanded to $406.1M in FY2025, up from $80.6M in FY2021, supported by $635.0M in operating cash flow.
  • Lottomatica generated a 29.1% revenue CAGR between FY2021 and FY2025, bringing annual revenue to $2.25B.
  • The company achieved a trailing twelve months return on equity of 54.6% and an operating margin of 21.3%.

Bear case

  • Total debt reached $2.34B as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of 10.36.
  • The trailing P/E ratio of 25.8x stands higher than the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 18.0x.
  • Liquidity remains constrained with a current ratio of 0.81 as of June 30, 2026.

What Lottomatica Group SpA does

Lottomatica Group S.p.A. operates in the gaming market in Italy through three segments: Online, Sports Franchise, and Gaming Franchise. The Online segment provides sports betting, virtual betting, horse betting, casino games, bingo, poker, betting exchange, and skill games across platforms including GoldBet.it, Better.it, Lottomatica.it, Betflag.it, Totosì.it, and Planetwin365.it. The Sports Franchise segment offers retail sports and horserace betting under brands such as GoldBet, Intralot, Better, and Planetwin365. The Gaming Franchise segment manages gaming halls and concession activities for video lottery terminals and amusement with prize machines. Headquartered in Rome, Italy, the company employs 2,258 people.

Growth and profitability

Revenue rose from $808.1M in FY2021 to $2.25B in FY2025, delivering a four-year CAGR of 29.1%. Annual revenue growth was 72.6% in FY2022 to $1.39B, 17.0% in FY2023 to $1.63B, 22.8% in FY2024 to $2.00B, and 12.1% in FY2025. Profitability improved from a net income of -$57.6M in FY2021 to $174.3M in FY2025, with net margin improving to 7.8%. Operating margin also expanded from 4.8% in FY2021 to 20.1% in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $2.29B with an operating margin of 21.3%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 4.3% and quarterly earnings grew 228.3% year-over-year.

LOTMY income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Lottomatica held $366.5M in cash and short-term investments and $2.34B in total debt, leading to net debt of $1.97B. Shareholders' equity was $225.9M against total assets of $3.63B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 10.36 and a current ratio of 0.81. In FY2025, the company generated $635.0M in operating cash flow and $406.1M in free cash flow, deploying $228.9M into capital expenditures, $127.3M to share buybacks, and $78.2M to dividends.

LOTMY balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Lottomatica trades at a trailing P/E of 25.8x and a forward P/E of 20.4x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. The stock carries a price-to-sales multiple of 2.7x, above the peer median of 0.7x, while its EV/EBITDA of 11.0x compares to the peer median of 11.1x. The company has an enterprise value of $9.62B and a market cap of $6.25B. Over the past year, the stock returned 8.2%, below the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

LOTMY key metrics →

LOTMY dividend

Lottomatica pays an annual forward dividend of $0.51 per share, reflecting a dividend yield of 1.89%. The company maintains a payout ratio of 48.6% and has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years. During FY2025, the company distributed $78.2M in dividends, with its most recent ex-dividend date on May 19, 2026.

LOTMY dividend history →

What analysts expect

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.40B. For the following fiscal year, revenue is estimated to reach $2.57B, representing projected revenue growth of 7.2%. The company reported trailing twelve months EPS of $1.05 as of June 30, 2026, supported by 228.3% year-over-year earnings growth in the most recent quarter.

LOTMY forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $1.97B against $366.5M in cash exposes the company to debt servicing requirements.
  • Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 4.3% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, down from 12.1% annual growth in FY2025.
  • The stock has lagged broader market performance, returning 8.2% over the past year compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LOTMY AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Lottomatica Group SpA (LOTMY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LOTMY income statement, LOTMY balance sheet, LOTMY key metrics, LOTMY analyst forecast, LOTMY chart. See the LOTMY stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LOTMY AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Lottomatica's dividend yield and payout?

Lottomatica pays an annual dividend of $0.51 per share, representing a 1.89% dividend yield. Its payout ratio is 48.6%, and the company has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years.

How much debt does Lottomatica have?

As of June 30, 2026, Lottomatica had $2.34B in total debt and $366.5M in cash and short-term investments, leaving net debt at $1.97B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 10.36.

What are analysts estimating for Lottomatica's revenue?

Analysts forecast revenue of $2.40B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the next fiscal year, revenue is projected at $2.57B, an increase of 7.2%.

How do Lottomatica's valuation multiples compare to peers?

Lottomatica trades at a trailing P/E of 25.8x and a price-to-sales of 2.7x, both above the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer medians of 18.0x and 0.7x. Its EV/EBITDA of 11.0x is slightly below the peer median of 11.1x.

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