Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: BRSLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BRSL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) is a gambling technology provider delivering lottery solutions, transaction systems, and iLottery platforms globally. The company generated $2.47B in trailing twelve months revenue with an operating margin of 20.7%, supported by a forward dividend yield of 9.68%. However, the balance sheet carries $4.43B in total debt against $558.0M in cash, while free cash flow contracted to -$415.0M in FY2025.

Market cap
$1.74B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.47B
P/E
9.7x
fwd 11.1x
1Y return
-39.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$16.24
70.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • The stock offers an attractive forward dividend yield of 9.68%, backed by 24 consecutive years of dividend payments.
  • Wall Street analysts hold a mean price target of $16.24, implying upside potential of 70.9% from the last close of $9.50.
  • The company maintains strong operating profitability, posting an operating margin of 35.1% in FY2025 and 20.7% over the trailing twelve months.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow turned negative at -$415.0M in FY2025, compared to $881.0M in FY2024.
  • The balance sheet carries substantial leverage with total debt of $4.43B and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.23 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock has struggled with momentum, falling 39.3% over the past year and trading at $9.50, barely above its 52-week low of $9.49.

What Brightstar Lottery does

Brightstar Lottery PLC, formerly known as International Game Technology PLC, provides lottery solutions across the United States, Italy, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company designs, operates, and leases point-of-sale machines that reconcile lottery funds, alongside lottery transaction processing systems and instant ticket game production. Its portfolio includes printing services, lottery management services, and the iLottery digital platform for eInstant and draw games. Brightstar also processes commercial transactions, such as prepaid cellular recharges, bill payments, and money transfers, while offering software licensing, maintenance, and retail optimization campaigns.

Growth and profitability

Brightstar saw annual revenue decline from $4.09B in FY2021 to $2.60B in FY2022, before stabilizing at $2.53B in FY2023, $2.51B in FY2024, and $2.51B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -4.2%. Operating margin expanded from 22.1% in FY2021 to 35.1% in FY2025, though net income dropped from $482.0M to $147.0M over the same period, bringing EPS down from $1.07 to $0.93. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 7.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 48.8%, supporting trailing twelve months revenue of $2.47B and an operating margin of 20.7%.

BRSL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Brightstar held $558.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $4.43B, resulting in net debt of $3.87B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.23. The company maintained a current ratio of 1.10 on shareholders' equity of $846.0M. In FY2025, cash deployment included capital expenditures of $316.0M, share buybacks of $271.0M, and dividends paid of $770.0M. Operating cash flow fell to -$99.0M and free cash flow turned negative at -$415.0M in FY2025.

BRSL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Brightstar trades at a trailing P/E of 9.7x and a forward P/E of 11.1x, both below the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $4.74B implies an EV/EBITDA of 4.1x, compared to 11.1x for the peer group median. Over the past year, the stock fell 39.3%, trailing the S&P 500 SPY gain of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, the stock declined 51.6%, while the S&P 500 SPY advanced 83.0%.

BRSL key metrics →

BRSL dividend

Brightstar pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.92 per share, yielding 9.68% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 24 consecutive years and generated a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 80.4%. Its payout ratio stands at 93.8%, and the last ex-dividend date was August 18, 2026.

BRSL dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 6 Strong Buy ratings and 3 Hold ratings, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $16.24 represents a 70.9% premium over the last close of $9.50. Brightstar has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.49B and an EPS of $0.52. Next earnings are scheduled for November 3, 2026.

BRSL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High debt obligations could strain financial flexibility, given net debt of $3.87B against just $558.0M in cash and short-term investments.
  • The dividend commitment may face pressure if cash flow remains negative, as FY2025 dividends paid of $770.0M exceeded operating cash flow of -$99.0M.
  • Earnings face near-term contraction, with consensus estimates projecting current fiscal year EPS to fall 42.8% to $0.52.
  • Top-line momentum remains subdued following a 5-year revenue CAGR of -4.2% and a quarterly revenue decline of 7.4%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BRSL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BRSL income statement, BRSL balance sheet, BRSL key metrics, BRSL analyst forecast, BRSL chart. See the BRSL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BRSL AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Brightstar Lottery PLC do?

Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery systems, instant ticket games, point-of-sale terminals, and iLottery solutions globally. Formerly known as International Game Technology PLC, the company also processes commercial transactions such as bill payments and prepaid cellular recharges.

Does Brightstar Lottery PLC pay a dividend?

Yes, Brightstar pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward rate of $0.92 per share, representing a dividend yield of 9.68%. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 24 years, with a payout ratio of 93.8%.

How much debt does Brightstar Lottery PLC have?

As of June 30, 2026, Brightstar held $4.43B in total debt and $558.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $3.87B. This reflects a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.23 against shareholders' equity of $846.0M.

What are analysts forecasting for BRSL stock?

Analysts maintain a mean price target of $16.24, which is 70.9% above the last closing price of $9.50. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.49B and EPS of $0.52.

When is Brightstar Lottery PLC's next earnings report?

Brightstar Lottery PLC is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 3, 2026. Over the prior 4 quarters, the company exceeded EPS expectations 3 times.

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