Meridian Holdings Inc (MRDN) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MRDNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MRDN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Meridian Holdings Inc (MRDN) is a gaming technology company offering sportsbook, casino, and competition platforms across Latin America, Europe, and Africa. In FY2025, revenue increased 21.0% to $182.9M, though net income declined to -$89.9M. As of June 30, 2026, the company held $17.3M in cash and short-term investments against $16.4M in total debt.

Market cap
$140.6M
Revenue (TTM)
$197.2M
P/E
—
fwd 20.9x
1Y return
-4.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$19.73
77.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 103.6% from FY2020 through FY2025, reaching $182.9M.
  • The company produced $25.4M in operating cash flow and $11.7M in free cash flow in FY2025.
  • The analyst mean price target of $19.73 indicates potential upside of 77.9% over the $11.09 close.

Bear case

  • Net income dropped to -$89.9M in FY2025, producing an annual net margin of -49.2% and EPS of -$8.12.
  • Short-term liquidity is constrained, evidenced by a current ratio of 0.59 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The company's share count grew 328.2% over 5 years, coinciding with a 5-year share price return of -89.9%.

What Meridian does

Meridian Holdings Inc. is a business-to-business and business-to-consumer gaming technology company based in Las Vegas, Nevada. It develops and licenses gaming platforms while providing casino, sportsbook, and competition products in Central and South America, Europe, and Africa. The company conducts online sports betting and gaming operations under various brands, including Meridianbet, Expanse Studios, MexPlay, R Kings Competitions, Classics For A Cause, and GMAG. Meridian Holdings Inc. employs 1,200 people.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew from $60.4M in FY2021 to $182.9M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 103.6% from FY2020. Annual revenue fluctuated, falling 40.3% to $36.0M in FY2022 before rising 158.1% to $93.0M in FY2023, 62.5% to $151.1M in FY2024, and 21.0% in FY2025. Gross margin contracted from 75.8% in FY2021 to 56.6% in FY2025, while operating margin shifted from 23.7% to -2.0%. Net income swung from $12.9M in FY2021 to -$89.9M in FY2025, with EPS dropping to -$8.12. In the trailing twelve months through June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $197.2M, with quarterly revenue rising 16.1% year-over-year.

MRDN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Meridian Holdings reported $17.3M in cash and short-term investments and $16.4M in total debt, leaving net cash of $957,189. Total assets were $115.1M, shareholders' equity was $49.7M, and the current ratio was 0.59. Debt-to-equity stood at 0.33. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $25.4M, funding capital expenditures of $13.6M and resulting in free cash flow of $11.7M. Cash outlays that year included $122,778 for share buybacks and $144,782 in dividends paid, while the 5-year share count increased 328.2%.

MRDN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $11.09 per share on October 16, 2026, Meridian Holdings has a market capitalization of $140.6M and an enterprise value of $168.5M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 20.9x, compared to the 14.1x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV to EBITDA multiple is 6.1x, below the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 0.7x matches the peer median of 0.7x. Over the trailing 1-year period, the stock returned -4.3% versus 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY), and its 5-year return of -89.9% lagged the index return of 83.0%.

MRDN key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and no Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings on the stock. The mean price target is $19.73, which is 77.9% above the last close of $11.09. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $204.9M and EPS of $0.73, representing estimated EPS growth of 109.4%. For the following fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $227.3M and EPS of $1.15. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

MRDN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.59 as of June 30, 2026, highlights potential pressure in meeting short-term obligations.
  • Gross margin compressed from 75.8% in FY2021 to 56.6% in FY2025, signaling higher direct operating costs.
  • Trailing twelve months return on equity is -95.2%, reflecting significant ongoing accounting losses.
  • A beta of 1.57 indicates that the stock experiences substantially greater price volatility than the broader market.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MRDN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Meridian Holdings Inc (MRDN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MRDN income statement, MRDN balance sheet, MRDN key metrics, MRDN analyst forecast, MRDN chart. See the MRDN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MRDN AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Meridian Holdings' revenue in FY2025?

Meridian Holdings generated $182.9M in revenue during FY2025, an increase of 21.0% compared to $151.1M in FY2024.

What is the net cash position of MRDN?

As of June 30, 2026, the company had $17.3M in cash and short-term investments and $16.4M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $957,189.

What is the consensus analyst price target for MRDN?

The mean analyst price target is $19.73, which represents a 77.9% premium compared to the last close of $11.09 on October 16, 2026.

How does MRDN's valuation compare to its peer group?

MRDN trades at a forward P/E of 20.9x, which is above the 14.1x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers, while its EV to EBITDA of 6.1x is below the peer median of 11.1x.

When does Meridian Holdings report earnings next?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 29, 2026.

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