Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: KTOSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

KTOS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. is a government contractor providing unmanned systems, satellite communications, and defense technologies. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.52B in revenue with a profit margin of 2.0%. While quarterly revenue expanded 30.5% year-over-year as of June 30, 2026, the stock has dropped 54.4% over the past year.

Market cap
$7.59B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.52B
P/E
237.8x
fwd 45.2x
1Y return
-54.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$98.33
143.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue growth accelerated in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, rising 30.5% year-over-year.
  • The balance sheet maintains substantial liquidity with $1.24B in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06.
  • Consensus analyst projections expect EPS to expand 48.1% to $0.81 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

Bear case

  • Kratos trades at an elevated valuation with a forward P/E of 45.2x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 64.0x.
  • The company generated negative free cash flow of -$137.4M in FY2025 as operating cash flow declined to -$42.1M.
  • Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with the common share count increasing 52.2% over 5 years.

What Kratos Defense & Security Solutions does

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. develops advanced technological solutions primarily for the U.S. Department of Defense, intelligence agencies, and international government and commercial clients. The company operates through two segments: Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems. Its Government Solutions segment offers microwave electronic products, space and satellite communications, cybersecurity, combat training, modular C5ISR systems, turbine technologies, and rocket support services. Its Unmanned Systems segment produces unmanned aerial systems, as well as ground and seaborne platforms, providing surveillance, reconnaissance, and mission-critical capabilities for national security operations.

Growth and profitability

Kratos grew annual revenue from $811.5M in FY2021 to $1.35B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.5%. Net income turned positive in recent periods, rising from -$36.9M in FY2022 to $16.3M in FY2024 and $22.0M in FY2025. Gross margin contracted over this timeframe, decreasing from 27.7% in FY2021 to 22.1% in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, operating margin stood at -0.2% on $1.52B of revenue. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 30.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 7.4% year-over-year.

KTOS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Kratos held $1.44B in cash and short-term investments against $193.6M in total debt, yielding a net cash position of $1.24B. The company maintained a current ratio of 5.54 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 alongside $3.43B in shareholders equity. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$42.1M, and free cash flow stood at -$137.4M following $95.3M in capital expenditures. Share count expanded by 52.2% over a 5-year period.

KTOS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Kratos trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 237.8x and a forward P/E of 45.2x, compared to medians of 24.8x and 17.2x for its US-listed Industrials peer group. The stock's price-to-sales ratio is 5.0x versus the peer median of 1.5x, and its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 64.0x compared to the peer median of 13.9x. Over the past year, Kratos shares declined 54.4%, whereas the S&P 500 generated a gain of 16.8%. The stock also trades 39.8% below its 200-day moving average.

KTOS key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 17 Strong Buy ratings, 6 Buy ratings, and 1 Hold rating, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The consensus mean price target is $98.33, implying an upside of 143.3% from the last closing price of $40.42. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.79B and EPS of $0.81. Kratos exceeded EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

KTOS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margin was negative at -0.2% over the trailing twelve months, showing thin profitability.
  • The stock has exhibited high downside volatility, falling 54.4% over the past year and sitting 39.8% below its 200-day average.
  • Gross margins have steadily compressed from 27.7% in FY2021 down to 22.1% in FY2025.
  • Short interest represents 6.0% of the float as of October 16, 2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this KTOS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: KTOS income statement, KTOS balance sheet, KTOS key metrics, KTOS analyst forecast, KTOS chart. See the KTOS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

KTOS AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Kratos' current valuation compared to its industry peers?

Kratos trades at an EV-to-EBITDA of 64.0x and a forward P/E of 45.2x, both well above the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 13.9x and 17.2x, respectively.

Does Kratos pay a dividend?

No, Kratos does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.

What is the balance sheet position of Kratos?

As of June 30, 2026, Kratos held $1.44B in cash and short-term investments against $193.6M in debt, providing a net cash balance of $1.24B and a current ratio of 5.54.

What are analysts forecasting for Kratos in FY2026?

Analysts project full-year revenue of $1.79B and EPS of $0.81, representing an estimated 48.1% earnings increase for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

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