Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: KRMNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

KRMN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) designs and manufactures mission-critical systems for missile defense and space markets. The company delivered a 3-year revenue CAGR of 27.7% through FY2025, reaching $589.6M in trailing twelve months revenue. However, operating cash flow turned to -$22.1M in FY2025 alongside total debt of $875.3M.

Market cap
$4.60B
Revenue (TTM)
$589.6M
P/E
119.6x
fwd 41.3x
1Y return
-54.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$81.75
135.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue growth YoY reached 58.2% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, accompanied by quarterly earnings growth YoY of 111.8%.
  • Gross margin expanded from 35.8% in FY2022 to 40.3% in FY2025 as annual revenue achieved a 3-year CAGR of 27.7%.
  • Wall Street coverage reflects positive sentiment with 9 Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $81.75.

Bear case

  • The stock fell 54.9% over the past year and trades 48.0% below its 200-day average.
  • Free cash flow dropped to -$42.5M in FY2025 alongside operating cash flow of -$22.1M.
  • KRMN trades at a trailing P/E of 119.6x, well above the US-listed Industrials peer median of 24.8x.

What Karman does

Karman Holdings Inc., through its subsidiary, engages in designing, testing, manufacturing, and sale of mission-critical systems in the United States. The company offers payload protection and deployment systems, aerodynamic interstage systems, and propulsion systems. It serves its products to hypersonics and strategic missile defense, tactical missile and integrated defense systems, and space and launch markets. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Huntington Beach, California. Karman Holdings Inc. operates as a subsidiary of TCFIII Spaceco SPV LP and has 1,400 employees.

Growth and profitability

Karman Holdings grew annual revenue from $226.3M in FY2022 to $280.7M in FY2023, $345.3M in FY2024, and $471.5M in FY2025, representing a 3-year revenue CAGR of 27.7%. Gross margin expanded over this period from 35.8% to 40.3%. Net income improved from -$14.1M in FY2022 to $17.4M in FY2025, with FY2025 EPS reaching $0.36. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth YoY was 58.2% and quarterly earnings growth YoY was 111.8%. Trailing twelve months revenue stands at $589.6M with an operating margin of 20.2% and EPS of $0.29.

KRMN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Karman Holdings held $51.7M in cash and short-term investments and $875.3M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $823.5M. Shareholders' equity was $421.1M against total assets of $1.44B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08. The company maintained a current ratio of 3.56. During FY2025, operating cash flow was -$22.1M and capital expenditures were $20.3M, resulting in free cash flow of -$42.5M.

KRMN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

KRMN trades at a trailing P/E of 119.6x and a forward P/E of 41.3x, compared to medians of 24.8x and 17.2x for its US-listed Industrials peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 7.8x versus the peer median of 1.5x, and its EV-to-EBITDA ratio is 33.0x compared to 13.9x for peers. Over the past year, the stock fell 54.9%, trailing the S&P 500 benchmark SPY return of 16.8%. At its last close of $34.68 on October 16, 2026, the stock traded 48.0% below its 200-day average.

KRMN key metrics →

What analysts expect

Karman Holdings carries 9 Strong Buy and 4 Buy ratings from Wall Street analysts, with 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $81.75, which is 135.7% above the last close of $34.68. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $741.5M and EPS of $0.59, representing an estimated EPS growth of 58.4%. The company recorded 1 EPS beat over the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

KRMN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt reached $823.5M as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08.
  • The company registered only 1 EPS beat over the last 4 quarters.
  • Short interest stands at 12.7% of the float.
  • Cash and short-term investments of $51.7M are low relative to total debt of $875.3M.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this KRMN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: KRMN income statement, KRMN balance sheet, KRMN key metrics, KRMN analyst forecast, KRMN chart. See the KRMN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

KRMN AI stock analysis FAQ

What is the next earnings date for Karman Holdings?

Karman Holdings is scheduled to report earnings on November 5, 2026.

Does Karman Holdings pay a dividend?

Karman Holdings does not pay a dividend.

What is the Wall Street analyst price target for KRMN?

The mean price target for KRMN is $81.75, which stands 135.7% above the last close of $34.68.

What is Karman Holdings' projected revenue for FY2026 and FY2027?

Analysts estimate revenue of $741.5M for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and $951.1M for the following fiscal year.

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