Kemper Corporation (KMPR) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: KMPRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

KMPR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Kemper Corporation is a US insurance holding company focused on specialty property and casualty, preferred personal lines, and life and health products. The company generated $4.59B in trailing twelve months revenue with an operating margin of 3.0%, but delivered a net profit margin of -10.8%. KMPR stock closed at $29.27, underperforming the broader market over the past year.

Market cap
$1.72B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.59B
P/E
—
fwd 8.5x
1Y return
-35.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$36.33
24.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.5x and a price-to-book of 0.7x, both well below the broader US-listed Financial Services peer medians.
  • FY2025 free cash flow reached $553.9M, supporting $301.9M in share buybacks and a 5-year share count reduction of 7.5%.
  • Analyst projections indicate a 106.4% rebound in EPS for the next fiscal year to $4.23.

Bear case

  • Revenue fell 9.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter, contributing to a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.5%.
  • Kemper generated an EPS of -$8.36 and a return on equity of -19.7% over the trailing twelve months.
  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 103.2%, while Kemper has exceeded quarterly earnings expectations only once in the past four quarters.

What Kemper does

Kemper Corporation, headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, provides insurance products across the United States. Founded in 1990 and formerly known as Unitrin, Inc., it conducts operations through three segments: Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance, Preferred Property & Casualty Insurance, and Life & Health Insurance. Its offerings include automobile, homeowners, renters, umbrella, and general liability insurance. The company also writes permanent and term life insurance as well as supplemental accident and health policies, including Medicare supplement plans. Kemper serves personal and commercial clients through independent agents and brokers across rural, suburban, and urban markets.

Growth and profitability

Kemper recorded FY2025 revenue of $4.80B, up 3.6% after dropping 6.3% to $4.63B in FY2024 and 9.3% to $4.94B in FY2023. From FY2020 to FY2025, revenue contracted at a compound annual rate of -1.5%. Profitability rebounded in FY2024 with net income of $317.8M before moderating to $143.3M in FY2025, corresponding to an operating margin of 3.3% and EPS of $3.35. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $4.59B with EPS of -$8.36. In the latest quarter, revenue declined 9.1% year-over-year while earnings decreased 3.4%.

KMPR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Kemper held $352 in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $944.5M, resulting in net debt of $944.5M. Shareholders' equity was $2.19B against total assets of $11.93B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43 and a current ratio of 556939.12. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $584.5M and free cash flow was $553.9M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $30.6M in capital expenditures, $79.6M in dividends paid, and $301.9M directed toward share buybacks.

KMPR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $29.27, Kemper trades at a forward P/E of 8.5x, below the 10.8x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.4x is lower than the peer median of 3.2x, and its price-to-book ratio is 0.7x. Kemper carries an enterprise value of $2.41B and a PEG ratio of 0.75. Over the trailing 12 months, the stock dropped 35.6%, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock has dropped 49.5% versus an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

KMPR key metrics →

KMPR dividend

Kemper provides a forward annual dividend of $1.28 per share, representing a dividend yield of 4.37%. Distributions are made quarterly, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 1.3% and a 37-year payment record. The current payout ratio is 103.2%, and the last ex-dividend date was August 21, 2026.

KMPR dividend history →

What analysts expect

Consensus coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 2 Hold, and 2 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $36.33, implying 24.1% upside from the last close of $29.27. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $4.37B and EPS of $2.05, representing an EPS decline of 43.1%. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts project revenue of $4.27B and EPS of $4.23. The company has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

KMPR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Trailing twelve months profit margin of -10.8% highlights earnings vulnerability in underwriting and operating lines.
  • Kemper carries $944.5M in net debt with cash and short-term investments of $352 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Short interest represents 9.7% of the float, reflecting market skepticism alongside a 35.6% 1-year stock decline.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this KMPR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Kemper Corporation (KMPR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: KMPR income statement, KMPR balance sheet, KMPR key metrics, KMPR analyst forecast, KMPR chart. See the KMPR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

KMPR AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Kemper's forward dividend yield and payout ratio?

Kemper pays an annual forward dividend of $1.28 per share, which equals a 4.37% yield. The payout ratio currently stands at 103.2%.

What are analysts forecasting for Kemper's earnings?

Analysts project EPS of $2.05 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, followed by $4.23 in the subsequent fiscal year. The mean price target is $36.33.

How has Kemper stock performed relative to the market?

Kemper stock fell 35.6% over the past year and 49.5% over the past five years. Over the same periods, the S&P 500 gained 16.8% and 83.0%, respectively.

When is Kemper's next earnings report scheduled?

Kemper Corporation is scheduled to report its next earnings results on November 4, 2026.

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