Independent Bank Corp. (INDB) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: INDBAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

INDB AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Independent Bank Corp. is a bank holding company operating Rockland Trust Company across Eastern Massachusetts. In FY2025, revenue reached $1.17B with net income of $205.1M, reflecting an 18.1% 5-year revenue CAGR. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 11.8x and provides a forward dividend yield of 3.20%.

Market cap
$3.78B
Revenue (TTM)
$998.9M
P/E
11.8x
fwd 9.5x
1Y return
28.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$93.86
17.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue rose 24.5% year-over-year in the quarter ending September 30, 2026, alongside 176.9% quarterly earnings growth.
  • The balance sheet holds $4.16B in cash and short-term investments against $627.2M in total debt, creating a net cash position of $3.54B.
  • The forward dividend yield of 3.20% is supported by 33 consecutive years of payments and a conservative payout ratio of 29.4%.

Bear case

  • Operating margin deteriorated from 46.4% in FY2022 to 22.9% in FY2025.
  • The stock's 5-year return of 17.9% lagged the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 83.0%.
  • Liquidity metrics show a low current ratio of 0.20 as of September 30, 2026.

What Independent Bank does

Independent Bank Corp. operates as a bank holding company overseeing Rockland Trust Company, providing commercial banking solutions throughout Massachusetts. Founded in 1907 and headquartered in Rockland, Massachusetts, the institution serves individuals and small-to-medium sized businesses. Its core offerings include interest checking, money market, savings, demand deposit, and time certificate accounts. The lending portfolio spans commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate and construction financing, small business lending, consumer real estate loans, and personal loans. The bank also offers wealth management, trust services, financial planning, tax services, and estate settlement across 119 retail branches, two limited-service branches, and a mobile branch in Eastern Massachusetts.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew from $516.0M in FY2021 to $1.17B in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 18.1%. Net income increased from $121.0M in FY2021 to $205.1M in FY2025, though net margin dropped from 23.4% to 17.6%. Operating margin contracted from 30.4% in FY2021 to 22.9% in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $998.9M with a profit margin of 32.7% and an operating margin of 50.1%. In the latest quarter ending September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue expanded 24.5% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 176.9% year-over-year.

INDB income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of September 30, 2026, cash and short-term investments totaled $4.16B, while total debt stood at $627.2M, resulting in net cash of $3.54B. Shareholders' equity was $3.45B and total assets reached $25.01B. The debt-to-equity ratio was 0.18, alongside a current ratio of 0.20. In FY2025, the company generated $251.2M in operating cash flow and $239.5M in free cash flow. Capital deployment included $12.1M for capital expenditures, $62.3M for share buybacks, and $103.9M in dividends paid.

INDB balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $79.88, Independent Bank Corp. carries a market capitalization of $3.78B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 11.8x, below the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward P/E of 9.5x is also below the peer median of 10.8x. Price-to-sales stands at 3.8x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book is 1.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 28.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, its 17.9% return lagged the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 83.0%.

INDB key metrics →

INDB dividend

Independent Bank Corp. pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $2.56 per share, yielding 3.20%. The dividend payout ratio is 29.4%. The company has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 5.1%. The last ex-dividend date was September 28, 2026.

INDB dividend history →

What analysts expect

Analyst ratings consist of 4 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 1 Hold, and 1 Sell. The mean price target of $93.86 stands 17.5% above the last close of $79.88. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $7.21 on revenue of $1.03B. For the subsequent fiscal year, 7 analysts project EPS of $8.31 on revenue of $1.09B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

INDB forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Annual net margin narrowed from 30.1% in FY2023 to 17.6% in FY2025.
  • Shareholder dilution has occurred, with the share count increasing 17.0% over the 5-year period through FY2025.
  • Short interest represents 6.0% of the float, pointing to elevated skepticism from short sellers.
  • Revenue growth is projected to slow to 5.0% next fiscal year based on analyst estimates of $1.09B.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this INDB AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Independent Bank Corp. (INDB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: INDB income statement, INDB balance sheet, INDB key metrics, INDB analyst forecast, INDB chart. See the INDB stock overview for the latest quote and news.

INDB AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Independent Bank Corp.'s dividend yield and payment history?

Independent Bank Corp. offers an annual forward dividend of $2.56, which equates to a 3.20% yield. The company has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 29.4%.

How is Independent Bank Corp. valued relative to sector peers?

Independent Bank Corp. trades at a trailing P/E of 11.8x and a forward P/E of 9.5x, both below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.8x is above the peer median of 3.2x.

What are analysts projecting for Independent Bank Corp.'s earnings?

Analysts estimate EPS of $7.21 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the next fiscal year, 7 analysts project EPS of $8.31, reflecting 15.3% growth.

How has INDB stock performed against the broader market?

Over the past year, INDB generated a 28.1% return, beating the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, its 17.9% return trailed the 83.0% return of the S&P 500 (SPY).

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