Ibotta, Inc. (IBTA) AI Stock Analysis
IBTA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchIbotta, Inc. (IBTA) provides digital promotion services for consumer packaged goods brands across its Ibotta Performance Network. The company generated $342.4M in FY2025 revenue, reflecting a 3-year revenue CAGR of 17.6% from FY2022 to FY2025. It maintains a net cash position of $123.0M as of June 30, 2026, though trailing twelve-month net profit margin was -3.2%.
- Market cap
- $1.11B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $343.2M
- P/E
- — fwd 24.7x
- 1Y return
- 52.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $36.57 -23.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow generation reached $75.0M in FY2025, supported by $95.3M in operating cash flow.
- The balance sheet holds $148.2M in cash and short-term investments alongside a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10.
- The stock gained 110.5% year-to-date and trades 51.6% above its 200-day moving average.
Bear case
- Revenue fell 6.8% in FY2025 to $342.4M, accompanied by a drop in operating margin to 0.5%.
- Trailing twelve-month results produced an eps of -$0.47 and a return on equity of -3.7%.
- The consensus analyst mean price target of $36.57 represents a 23.6% discount to the last close of $47.84.
What Ibotta does
Ibotta, Inc. is a technology company that provides digital promotion services to clients in the United States, primarily consumer packaged goods brands. The company sources digital promotions and distributes them to consumers through its network of publishers enabled by the Ibotta Performance Network (IPN) platform. Promotional services offered through IPN include direct-to-consumer mobile, web, and browser extension properties, alongside third-party publisher properties. In addition, Ibotta provides display ads, tiles, sponsored offers, newsletters, feature placements, and LiveLift, a set of capabilities designed to help brand clients drive sales.
Growth and profitability
Ibotta increased revenue from $210.7M in FY2022 to $320.0M in FY2023 and $367.3M in FY2024, before revenue fell 6.8% to $342.4M in FY2025. Gross margin shifted from 76.6% in FY2022 to 86.4% in FY2024, then dropped to 78.1% in FY2025. Operating margin narrowed from 17.5% in FY2023 to 0.5% in FY2025. Net income was $3.6M in FY2025, down from $68.7M in FY2024, resulting in diluted eps of $1.70. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $343.2M with an operating margin of -2.1% and eps of -$0.47. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 3.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 90.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Ibotta held $148.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $25.1M, yielding net cash of $123.0M. Total assets stood at $485.4M and shareholders' equity was $241.6M, with a current ratio of 1.71 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $95.3M and free cash flow was $75.0M. Capital expenditures totaled $20.3M, while share buybacks absorbed $233.0M.
Valuation and performance
At a closing price of $47.84 on October 16, 2026, Ibotta has a market cap of $1.11B and an enterprise value of $834.1M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 24.7x, compared to the median of 18.8x for its US-listed Technology peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.2x versus the peer median of 2.8x, and its EV-to-revenue ratio is 2.4x. Over the past year, IBTA returned 52.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, and gained 110.5% year-to-date.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Buy, 6 Holds, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell rating. The mean price target of $36.57 sits 23.6% below the last close of $47.84. Over the last four quarters, the company beat earnings estimates 1 time. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $353.3M and eps of $1.59. For FY2027, 3 analysts estimate revenue of $384.7M and eps of $1.88. The next earnings date is November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short interest represents 30.4% of float, reflecting elevated short positioning in the stock.
- Quarterly earnings declined 90.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, showing near-term profit pressure.
- The forward P/E ratio of 24.7x trades at a premium to the US-listed Technology peer median of 18.8x.
- Ibotta beat earnings estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters, indicating vulnerability to forecast misses.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this IBTA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Ibotta, Inc. (IBTA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: IBTA income statement, IBTA balance sheet, IBTA key metrics, IBTA analyst forecast, IBTA chart. See the IBTA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
IBTA AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Ibotta do?
Ibotta, Inc. operates a digital promotion platform that connects consumer packaged goods brands with consumers through its Ibotta Performance Network, direct-to-consumer properties, and marketing placements.
What was Ibotta's revenue and net income in FY2025?
In FY2025, Ibotta reported revenue of $342.4M, net income of $3.6M, and diluted eps of $1.70.
Does Ibotta pay a dividend?
No, Ibotta does not pay a dividend. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $20.3M in capital expenditures and $233.0M in share buybacks.
What is the consensus analyst price target for IBTA?
The analyst mean price target is $36.57, which is 23.6% below the closing price of $47.84 on October 16, 2026.
What are analysts forecasting for FY2026?
Consensus analyst estimates project FY2026 revenue of $353.3M and eps of $1.59.