Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN) AI Stock Analysis
HRZN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHorizon Technology Finance Corporation is a business development company focusing on secured debt and venture lending to venture capital-backed firms. The company generated $96.1M in trailing twelve months revenue with an operating margin of 79.4%. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio is 5.9x, and it pays a forward dividend yield of 16.78%.
- Market cap
- $287.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $96.1M
- P/E
- 14.8x fwd 5.9x
- 1Y return
- -9.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $5.08 18.5% vs last close
Bull case
- The forward P/E ratio is 5.9x, which trades at a discount to the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.
- The stock delivers an annual forward dividend yield of 16.78% backed by 17 consecutive years of payments.
- Quarterly earnings for the period ending June 30, 2026, expanded 241.7% year-over-year.
Bear case
- The company recorded annual net losses in each of the past three fiscal years, including -$2.7M in FY2025.
- Long-term share performance has lagged the market, with a 5-year return of -51.7% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.
- Significant dilution has occurred, with the total share count increasing 215.1% over a 5-year span.
What Horizon Technology Finance does
Horizon Technology Finance Corporation operates as a business development company (BDC) with a strategic focus on providing financial support to development-stage companies. Established with an emphasis on lending and investing, it specializes in offering secured debt and venture lending solutions primarily to venture capital-backed firms. The company's investment portfolio targets dynamic sectors such as technology, life sciences, healthcare information and services, cleantech, and sustainability. As a BDC, it adheres to regulatory frameworks requiring the distribution of a significant portion of taxable income to shareholders as dividends.
Growth and profitability
Horizon Technology Finance grew its revenue from $33.3M in FY2021 to $40.0M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 31.1%. However, net income shifted from positive earnings of $27.8M in FY2021 and $21.2M in FY2022 to losses of -$17.2M in FY2023, -$5.6M in FY2024, and -$2.7M in FY2025. Operating margin was -4.0% in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $96.1M with a profit margin of 5.3% and EPS of $0.29. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 2.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 241.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Horizon Technology Finance held $135.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $402.4M, resulting in net debt of $267.4M. Shareholders' equity was $417.5M and total assets were $832.0M, with a current ratio of 1.97 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96. Operating cash flow and free cash flow were both $56.6M in FY2025. Cash uses included $53.1M in dividends paid in FY2025, alongside a 5-year share count increase of 215.1%.
Valuation and performance
Horizon Technology Finance trades at a trailing P/E of 14.8x compared to 12.1x for the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, though its forward P/E of 5.9x is lower than the peer median of 10.8x. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.7x, and price-to-sales is 3.0x versus the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned -9.6%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock returned -51.7% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
HRZN dividend
Horizon Technology Finance offers an annual forward dividend of $0.72 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 16.78%. The company has paid dividends for 17 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 1.1%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 30.5%, and the last ex-dividend date was November 17, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target is $5.08, representing an upside of 18.5% over the last close of $4.29. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.67 and revenue of $100.4M. For the next fiscal year, 6 analysts project an EPS of $0.74 and revenue of $115.1M. Horizon beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt reached $402.4M as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a net debt burden of $267.4M.
- EPS is estimated to fall 35.7% to $0.67 for the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
- The company has missed EPS expectations in 2 of the trailing 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HRZN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HRZN income statement, HRZN balance sheet, HRZN key metrics, HRZN analyst forecast, HRZN chart. See the HRZN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HRZN AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Horizon Technology Finance's dividend yield?
Horizon Technology Finance has an annual forward dividend of $0.72, representing a dividend yield of 16.78%.
What is the consensus analyst target price for HRZN stock?
The mean analyst price target is $5.08, which is 18.5% above its closing price of $4.29 on October 16, 2026.
What is Horizon Technology Finance's debt level?
As of June 30, 2026, the company reported $402.4M in total debt and $135.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $267.4M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96.
When is Horizon Technology Finance's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for October 27, 2026.