Hanover Bancorp, Inc. (HNVR) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: HNVRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HNVR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. (HNVR) is a bank holding company operating Hanover Community Bank across the New York metropolitan area. In FY2025, revenue stood at $143.3M with net income of $7.5M. The bank holds $141.2M in cash and short-term investments against $101.7M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$170.2M
Revenue (TTM)
$66.8M
P/E
19.0x
1Y return
17.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$27.33
13.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings growth rebounded sharply, rising 68.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Hanover Bancorp holds a positive net cash position of $39.6M with $141.2M in cash and short-term investments against $101.7M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a price-to-book multiple of 0.9x, valuing the bank below its $202.7M in shareholders' equity.

Bear case

  • Net income dropped from $23.6M in FY2022 to $7.5M in FY2025, reducing net margin from 33.3% to 5.2%.
  • The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 19.0x, representing a premium over the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x.
  • Return on equity over the trailing twelve months was 4.7%, alongside a low return on assets of 0.4%.

What Hanover Bancorp does

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company overseeing Hanover Community Bank, serving small to medium-sized businesses, municipalities, and individuals across the New York metropolitan area. Headquartered in Mineola, New York, the bank offers deposit products including checking, savings, money market, NOW, individual retirement accounts, and certificates of deposit. Its lending portfolio encompasses residential and commercial real estate mortgages, commercial and industrial loans, SBA loans, lines of credit, multi-family mortgages, and bridge loans. The company also provides cash management, online and mobile banking, and merchant services across branch locations in Kings, Nassau, and Queens Counties, New York, as well as Monmouth County, New Jersey.

Growth and profitability

Hanover Bancorp grew revenue from $52.0M in FY2021 to $70.7M in FY2022, followed by $63.3M in FY2023. Revenue expanded to $148.4M in FY2024 before decreasing 3.4% to $143.3M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 28.1% from FY2020 to FY2025. Net income declined from $23.6M in FY2022 to $12.3M in FY2024 and $7.5M in FY2025, with net margin narrowing from 33.3% in FY2022 to 5.2% in FY2025. Operating margin also compressed from 53.3% in FY2022 to 6.9% in FY2025. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 19.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 68.5% year-over-year.

HNVR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Hanover Bancorp maintained $141.2M in cash and short-term investments and $101.7M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $39.6M. Total assets stood at $2.34B and shareholders' equity was $202.7M, corresponding to a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50. During FY2025, operating cash flow was $13.1M and free cash flow was $12.2M. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $869,000 for capital expenditures, $1.8M for share buybacks, and $3.0M paid in dividends.

HNVR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

With a market cap of $170.2M and enterprise value of $135.9M, Hanover Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 19.0x, above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 2.5x sits below the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book is 0.9x. Operating margin over the trailing twelve months is 30.3%, compared to the peer median of 37.7%. Over the past year, HNVR delivered a 17.8% return, slightly outpacing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY).

HNVR key metrics →

HNVR dividend

Hanover Bancorp pays an annual forward dividend of $0.40 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 1.65%. The bank maintains a payout ratio of 25.1% with distributions made on a quarterly schedule. It has paid consecutive dividends for 5 years, with the last ex-dividend date recorded on August 6, 2026.

HNVR dividend history →

What analysts expect

Analyst coverage on Hanover Bancorp includes 1 Buy rating and 3 Hold ratings, with 0 Strong Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $27.33, representing 13.3% upside compared to the last close of $24.13. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.37, implying 75.2% growth, alongside revenue of $79.7M. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 29, 2026.

HNVR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margin decreased from 53.3% in FY2022 to 6.9% in FY2025, reflecting compressed annual profitability.
  • Annual revenue slipped 3.4% to $143.3M in FY2025 after expanding significantly in FY2024.
  • With an enterprise value of $135.9M and market capitalization of $170.2M, the bank's smaller asset size could limit flexibility relative to larger financial peers.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HNVR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Hanover Bancorp, Inc. (HNVR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HNVR income statement, HNVR balance sheet, HNVR key metrics, HNVR analyst forecast, HNVR chart. See the HNVR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HNVR AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Hanover Bancorp's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Hanover Bancorp provides a dividend yield of 1.65% with an annual forward dividend of $0.40 per share paid quarterly. The company maintains a 25.1% payout ratio and has paid dividends for 5 consecutive years.

How did Hanover Bancorp perform in its latest reported quarter?

For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 19.2% year-over-year. Quarterly earnings rose 68.5% year-over-year over the same period.

What are analysts' price targets for HNVR?

Wall Street analysts have set a mean price target of $27.33 for HNVR, indicating a 13.3% upside from its last close of $24.13. Coverage consists of 1 Buy and 3 Hold ratings.

How strong is Hanover Bancorp's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $141.2M in cash and short-term investments against $101.7M in total debt, giving it net cash of $39.6M. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.50 with total shareholders' equity of $202.7M.

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