Holley Inc. (HLLY) AI Stock Analysis
HLLY AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHolley Inc. manufactures automotive aftermarket performance products for car and truck enthusiasts. In FY2025, revenue rose 1.9% to $613.5M with net income of $19.2M, while trailing twelve-month revenue reached $613.1M. The stock closed at $2.49, down 39.7% year-to-date, and trades at a forward P/E of 5.5x against total debt of $533.3M.
- Market cap
- $301.9M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $613.1M
- P/E
- 31.1x fwd 5.5x
- 1Y return
- -15.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $4.58 83.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Holley trades at a forward P/E of 5.5x, well below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 14.1x.
- In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 200.0% year-over-year while operating margin reached 18.5% on a trailing twelve-month basis.
- Wall Street analysts maintain a mean price target of $4.58, representing an 83.9% premium above the last closing price of $2.49.
Bear case
- Total debt of $533.3M significantly exceeds cash and short-term investments of $69.0M, resulting in net debt of $464.3M.
- The stock has dropped 78.3% over the past 5 years, trailing the S&P 500 gain of 83.0%.
- Holley beat consensus EPS estimates only 1 time over the last 4 reported quarters.
What Holley does
Holley Inc. is a designer, manufacturer, and marketer of automotive aftermarket products for car and truck enthusiasts across the United States, Canada, Europe, and China. Headquartered in Bowling Green, Kentucky, its portfolio includes carburetors, fuel injection systems, superchargers, exhaust headers, mufflers, ignition components, and engine tuners. The company also provides automotive software solutions, transmission kits, wheels, suspension products, helmets, and safety gear. Holley markets its performance components under established brands including Holley, Holley EFI, APR, MSD, Flowmaster, Powerteq, Accel, and Simpson through direct retail channels, distributors, and online platforms.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Holley delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.0%, though performance fluctuated. Revenue was $692.8M in FY2021 before dropping 8.7% in FY2024 to $602.2M, then rebounding 1.9% to $613.5M in FY2025. Operating margin recovered from 2.4% in FY2024 to 14.3% in FY2025, generating net income of $19.2M compared to a net loss of $23.2M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 3.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings jumped 200.0%. Trailing twelve-month revenue stood at $613.1M with an operating margin of 18.5% and a net profit margin of 1.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Holley held $69.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $533.3M, yielding net debt of $464.3M. Total assets stood at $1.16B and shareholders' equity was $449.7M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19. Liquidity remains supported by a current ratio of 3.06. In FY2025, the company generated $46.2M in operating cash flow and $13.7M in free cash flow, while deploying $32.6M into capital expenditures. Its 5-year share count increased by 3.9%.
Valuation and performance
Holley trades at a trailing P/E of 31.1x, higher than the 18.0x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. However, its forward P/E of 5.5x and EV/EBITDA of 8.8x sit below the peer medians of 14.1x and 11.1x, respectively. The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.5x and price-to-book of 0.7x. Over the past year, Holley shares fell 15.9%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, the stock dropped 78.3%, underperforming the benchmark return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage comprises 5 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 3 Hold recommendations. The mean price target is $4.58, representing 83.9% upside from the last close of $2.49. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $624.8M and EPS of $0.41, indicating 127.1% EPS growth. Over the last 4 quarters, Holley beat EPS estimates once. The company's next earnings date is November 6, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Balance sheet leverage remains elevated with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19 and net debt of $464.3M.
- Analyst consensus expects next fiscal year EPS to fall 5.2% to $0.39 from the $0.41 estimate in the current fiscal year.
- Trailing twelve-month net profit margin is thin at 1.7%, leaving little cushion against operational headwinds.
- Stock price volatility is high with a beta of 1.39 and shares trading 19.2% below the 200-day moving average.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HLLY AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Holley Inc. (HLLY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HLLY income statement, HLLY balance sheet, HLLY key metrics, HLLY analyst forecast, HLLY chart. See the HLLY stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HLLY AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Holley's stock ticker and exchange?
Holley trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol HLLY.
Does Holley pay a dividend?
Holley does not currently pay a dividend on its common stock.
What are analysts forecasting for Holley's FY2026 financial performance?
Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $624.8M and EPS of $0.41, representing projected EPS growth of 127.1%.
What is Holley's debt load?
As of June 30, 2026, Holley had $533.3M in total debt and $69.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $464.3M.