Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) AI Stock Analysis
HLI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHoulihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) is an established global investment bank specializing in corporate finance, financial restructuring, and valuation advisory. The firm generated $2.52B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a healthy balance sheet featuring $304.0M in net cash. However, recent performance has softened, with quarterly revenue contracting 15.5% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $9.05B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.52B
- P/E
- 21.7x fwd 15.0x
- 1Y return
- -30.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $155.44 20.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts forecast a strong FY2028 rebound with EPS expected to grow 22.5% to $8.59 on revenue of $3.10B.
- The balance sheet remains solid with $304.0M in net cash, an enterprise value of $8.82B, and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22.
- Shareholder returns are supported by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 13.1% alongside $681.8M in FY2026 free cash flow.
Bear case
- Recent operating trends show weakness, with latest quarter revenue down 15.5% and quarterly earnings down 19.0% year-over-year.
- Valuation multiples remain elevated, with a trailing P/E of 21.7x compared to the median of 12.1x for its US-listed Financial Services peers.
- Earnings for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, are projected to decrease 7.2% to $7.02 per share.
What Houlihan Lokey does
Established in 1972 and headquartered in Los Angeles, California, Houlihan Lokey, Inc. operates across three core segments: Corporate Finance, Financial Restructuring, and Financial and Valuation Advisory. The Corporate Finance segment offers advisory services covering mergers and acquisitions, capital raising in equity and debt markets, initial public offerings, and private placements for public and private institutions. The Financial Restructuring segment assists clients through financial distress, advising debtors, creditors, and stakeholders on recapitalizations, debt restructurings, and bankruptcy proceedings. The Financial and Valuation Advisory segment provides asset valuation, fairness opinions for transactions, solvency opinions, and dispute resolution services.
Growth and profitability
Houlihan Lokey expanded revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 11.4% from FY2021 through FY2026, reaching $2.62B in FY2026 alongside net income of $425.7M and EPS of $7.55. Operating margin reached 23.6% in FY2026, up from 21.0% in FY2025 and 19.0% in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $2.52B with an operating margin of 18.4% and net profit margin of 16.1%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, top-line performance decelerated, showing quarterly revenue growth down 15.5% and quarterly earnings growth down 19.0% compared to the prior year period.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Houlihan Lokey held $797.0M in cash and short-term investments against $493.0M in total debt, yielding a net cash position of $304.0M. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.44 and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, with shareholders' equity of $2.25B and total assets of $3.72B. During FY2026, the business produced $704.1M in operating cash flow and $681.8M in free cash flow while spending $22.3M on capital expenditures. Capital returns in FY2026 included $175.4M in share buybacks and $174.0M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At $129.55, Houlihan Lokey carries a market capitalization of $9.05B and an enterprise value of $8.82B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 21.7x and a forward P/E of 15.0x, representing a premium over the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its EV/EBITDA of 14.3x also sits above the peer median of 11.7x. Over the past year, HLI dropped 30.1%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%, and currently sits 11.2% below its 200-day moving average.
HLI dividend
Houlihan Lokey offers a forward annual dividend of $2.80 per share, yielding 2.16% with a payout ratio of 38.5%. The company distributes dividends quarterly and has paid dividends for 12 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 13.1%. Its most recent ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 3 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings on HLI, with 0 Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $155.44 represents upside of 20.0% against the closing price of $129.55. For the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.61B and EPS of $7.02, reflecting an EPS drop of 7.2%. The firm has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the past 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 28, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Near-term earnings volatility is highlighted by the company meeting or beating EPS expectations in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
- Trailing operating margin of 18.4% trails the peer median of 37.7% among US-listed Financial Services firms.
- Share price performance reflects downward momentum, trailing the S&P 500 by a wide margin after a 1-year decline of 30.1%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HLI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HLI income statement, HLI balance sheet, HLI key metrics, HLI analyst forecast, HLI chart. See the HLI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HLI AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Houlihan Lokey pay?
Houlihan Lokey pays an annualized dividend of $2.80 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 2.16% and a payout ratio of 38.5%.
How leveraged is Houlihan Lokey's balance sheet?
The balance sheet is conservative, holding $797.0M in cash against $493.0M in total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $304.0M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22.
When does Houlihan Lokey report earnings next?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for release on October 28, 2026.
What are analysts' price targets for HLI?
The average analyst price target for HLI is $155.44, representing a 20.0% upside compared to its last closing price of $129.55.