Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) AI Stock Analysis
HGBL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHeritage Global Inc. (HGBL) is a specialized asset services provider focused on financial and industrial asset transactions. The company achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 14.3% through FY2025, but trailing twelve month operating margin dropped to -22.3% and EPS sits at -$0.41. As of June 30, 2026, the company maintains a net cash position of $7.8M.
- Market cap
- $45.0M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $48.2M
- P/E
- — fwd 18.0x
- 1Y return
- -17.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $2.62 101.9% vs last close
Bull case
- The balance sheet carries $7.8M in net cash with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 as of June 30, 2026.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $2.62, which is 101.9% above the last closing price of $1.30.
- Heritage Global generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 14.3% from FY2020 to FY2025.
Bear case
- Trailing twelve month performance shows an operating margin of -22.3% and EPS of -$0.41.
- Free cash flow turned negative at -$2.3M in FY2025 due to capital expenditures of $8.5M.
- The stock has lagged the market over 1 year with a return of -17.7% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.
What Heritage Global does
Heritage Global, Inc. operates as a specialized asset services company facilitating financial and industrial asset transactions worldwide. It provides market making, acquisitions, dispositions, valuations, and secured lending services. The firm operates both as an adviser and as a principal in transactions covering manufacturing facilities, surplus industrial machinery and equipment, industrial inventories, accounts receivable portfolios, intellectual property, and entire business enterprises. Established in 1983 and headquartered in San Diego, California, the company was formerly known as Counsel RB Capital Inc. before rebranding in August 2013.
Growth and profitability
Revenue increased from $25.8M in FY2021 to a peak of $60.5M in FY2023, before declining to $45.4M in FY2024 and rebounding 12.4% to $51.0M in FY2025. Net income was $3.6M in FY2025, down from $15.5M in FY2022 and $12.5M in FY2023. Operating margin contracted to 11.0% in FY2025 from 23.7% in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $48.2M with an operating margin of -22.3% and net margin of -29.6%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 14.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 33.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Heritage Global held $13.2M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $5.3M, leaving net cash of $7.8M. Total assets stood at $70.4M and shareholders' equity was $51.9M. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.69 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $6.1M, capital expenditures were $8.5M, and free cash flow was -$2.3M. The company spent $2.6M on share buybacks in FY2025, with its share count falling 6.6% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Heritage Global trades at a forward P/E of 18.0x, above the 10.8x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 30.7x also stands above the peer group median of 11.7x, while its price-to-sales of 0.9x is lower than the peer median of 3.2x. The enterprise value is $38.1M against a market capitalization of $45.0M. Over the past year, the stock fell 17.7%, lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 32.3% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 3 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Buy rating, with no Hold or Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $2.62, representing a 101.9% premium over the last close of $1.30. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$0.37 and revenue of $53.2M. For next fiscal year, 2 analysts project EPS of $0.15 on revenue of $56.5M. The company has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly revenue fell 14.3% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, signaling near-term top-line pressure.
- Earnings visibility is volatile, with the company beating EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
- Valuation multiples are elevated relative to peers, including an EV/EBITDA of 30.7x versus the peer median of 11.7x.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HGBL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HGBL income statement, HGBL balance sheet, HGBL key metrics, HGBL analyst forecast, HGBL chart. See the HGBL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HGBL AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Heritage Global's net cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, Heritage Global had $13.2M in cash and short-term investments and $5.3M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $7.8M.
What do analysts forecast for HGBL earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect an EPS of -$0.37 on revenue of $53.2M. For the following fiscal year, analysts project EPS of $0.15 on revenue of $56.5M.
Does Heritage Global pay a dividend?
Heritage Global does not currently pay a dividend. Capital returns have instead included $2.6M of share buybacks in FY2025.
How has HGBL stock performed compared to the S&P 500?
Over the past year, HGBL returned -17.7% while the S&P 500 returned 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock declined 32.3% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.