Hess Midstream LP (HESM) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: HESMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HESM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Hess Midstream LP is an energy infrastructure provider managing natural gas, crude oil, and produced water midstream assets. In FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $1.62B with a net margin of 21.8% and generated $728.2M in free cash flow. As of October 16, 2026, the stock offers a dividend yield of 10.07% while carrying net debt of $3.67B.

Market cap
$6.32B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.61B
P/E
10.6x
fwd 9.9x
1Y return
1.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$33.67
9.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow expanded to $728.2M in FY2025, supporting $400.0M in share repurchases and $350.2M in dividends paid.
  • Hess Midstream trades at a trailing P/E of 10.6x and an EV/EBITDA of 7.0x, both below the US-listed Energy peer medians of 15.0x and 8.0x.
  • The company's trailing-twelve-month operating margin of 63.5% significantly exceeds the US-listed Energy peer median of 28.5%.

Bear case

  • Total debt stood at $3.68B against $5.0M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026, creating a debt-to-equity ratio of 7.15.
  • Quarterly revenue fell 3.7% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, and analysts forecast next fiscal year revenue to decline 9.8% to $1.45B.
  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 106.4%, exceeding net earnings while supporting a forward dividend yield of 10.07%.

What Hess Midstream does

Hess Midstream LP owns, develops, operates, and acquires midstream assets across three segments: Gathering, Processing and Storage, and Terminaling and Export. Its Gathering segment oversees more than 1,350 miles of natural gas and natural gas liquids pipelines capable of handling approximately 450 million cubic feet per day, alongside 550 miles of crude oil gathering pipelines and produced water disposal systems. The Processing and Storage segment operates the Tioga Gas Plant, holds a 50% stake in the Little Missouri 4 gas processing plant, and manages the Mentor Storage Terminal. The Terminaling and Export segment controls the Ramberg terminal facility, Tioga rail terminal, crude oil rail cars, and the Johnson's Corner Header System.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue grew from $1.20B to $1.62B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue growth reached 10.3% in FY2021, 5.8% in FY2022, 5.7% in FY2023, 10.8% in FY2024, and 8.4% in FY2025. Operating margin remained consistent, posting 60.4% in FY2021 and 62.3% in FY2025. Net income increased from $46.4M in FY2021 to $352.9M in FY2025, which raised the net margin from 3.9% to 21.8% and expanded EPS from $1.76 to $2.86. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 1.4%.

HESM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Hess Midstream had $5.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.68B, bringing net debt to $3.67B. Shareholders' equity was $514.6M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 7.15 and a current ratio of 0.77. Operating cash flow reached $983.8M in FY2025, with free cash flow of $728.2M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $255.6M in capital expenditures, $400.0M for share buybacks, and $350.2M in dividends paid.

HESM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At the last close of $30.66, Hess Midstream had a market cap of $6.32B and an enterprise value of $8.65B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 10.6x and a forward P/E of 9.9x, compared to medians of 15.0x and 12.7x for its US-listed Energy peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 7.0x is below the peer median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales of 3.9x is above the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, HESM gained 1.8% versus a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 benchmark, and its 5-year return of 64.7% trailed the benchmark return of 83.0%.

HESM key metrics →

HESM dividend

Hess Midstream distributes a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $3.09, resulting in a dividend yield of 10.07%. The partnership has paid dividends for 10 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.8%. Its payout ratio stands at 106.4%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was August 6, 2026.

HESM dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage shows 0 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 4 Hold, 1 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $33.67 represents a 9.8% premium over the last close of $30.66. Consensus estimates for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, project EPS of $3.14 on revenue of $1.61B. For the subsequent fiscal year, 4 analysts estimate EPS of $2.80 and revenue of $1.45B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date on November 2, 2026.

HESM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.77 and cash reserves of $5.0M provide limited short-term liquidity against total debt of $3.68B.
  • Consensus projections forecast an EPS contraction of 10.8% to $2.80 for the next fiscal year.
  • Wall Street analyst sentiment is cautious, with 0 Buy ratings alongside 3 combined Sell or Strong Sell ratings.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HESM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Hess Midstream LP (HESM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HESM income statement, HESM balance sheet, HESM key metrics, HESM analyst forecast, HESM chart. See the HESM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HESM AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Hess Midstream's dividend yield and payment schedule?

Hess Midstream pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $3.09, resulting in a dividend yield of 10.07%. It has made consecutive annual dividend payments for 10 years.

How much debt does Hess Midstream have?

As of June 30, 2026, Hess Midstream held total debt of $3.68B and $5.0M in cash and short-term investments, leaving net debt at $3.67B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 7.15.

What are analysts' price targets for HESM stock?

The mean analyst price target is $33.67, which sits 9.8% above the last closing price of $30.66. Across 7 ratings, there are 4 Hold, 1 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell recommendations.

When is Hess Midstream's next earnings report?

Hess Midstream is scheduled to report earnings on November 2, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.14 on revenue of $1.61B.

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