TC Energy Corporation (TRP) AI Stock Analysis
TRP AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTC Energy Corporation is a North American energy infrastructure company managing extensive natural gas pipelines, liquids pipelines, and power generation assets. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $15.69B in revenue with an operating margin of 44.2%. However, the balance sheet carries significant leverage, with net debt standing at $61.70B as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $64.32B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $15.69B
- P/E
- 24.3x fwd 21.2x
- 1Y return
- 25.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $67.19 8.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Operating profitability is stable, with an operating margin of 44.2% over the trailing twelve months and quarterly earnings up 18.3% year-over-year.
- Free cash flow turned strongly positive, rising to $2.06B in FY2025 from negative figures in FY2022 and FY2023.
- The company offers an established income profile with 43 consecutive years of dividend payments and a 4.01% yield.
Bear case
- Leverage remains elevated with $63.77B in total debt, a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.30, and a current ratio of 0.61 as of June 30, 2026.
- Valuation is rich relative to the sector, with a forward P/E of 21.2x versus the US-listed Energy peer median of 12.7x.
- Long-term revenue expansion has been modest, reflected in a 5-year revenue CAGR of 3.2% from FY2020 to FY2025.
What TC Energy does
TC Energy Corporation is an energy infrastructure provider headquartered in Calgary, Canada. It operates across five segments: Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines, U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines, Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines, Liquids Pipelines, and Power and Storage. Its infrastructure includes 93,300 km of natural gas pipelines, 535 billion cubic feet of regulated natural gas storage capacity, and 4,900 km of crude oil liquids pipelines connecting Alberta to major U.S. refining markets. The company also owns or co-owns seven power generation facilities totaling approximately 4,300 megawatts across Alberta, Ontario, Quebec, and New Brunswick, fueled by natural gas and nuclear sources.
Growth and profitability
TC Energy grew annual revenue from $13.39B in FY2021 to $15.19B in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 3.2%. Revenue declined 8.1% in FY2022 before rebounding with 7.8% growth in FY2023, 3.8% in FY2024, and 10.3% in FY2025. Operating margin remained consistent, finishing at 44.2% in FY2025 alongside net income of $3.52B and EPS of $3.52. Free cash flow improved from -$881.0M in FY2023 to $2.06B in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue reached $15.69B, supported by quarterly year-over-year revenue growth of 5.7% and quarterly earnings growth of 18.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, TC Energy held $2.07B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $63.77B, leaving net debt at $61.70B. Shareholders' equity was $27.77B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.30 and a current ratio of 0.61. Operating cash flow reached $7.35B in FY2025. During that year, cash deployment focused heavily on capital expenditures of $5.29B and dividends paid of $3.62B, while share buybacks totaled $250.0M. Share count increased 6.2% over the prior five years.
Valuation and performance
TC Energy trades at a trailing P/E of 24.3x and a forward P/E of 21.2x, higher than the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively. The company's EV-to-EBITDA stands at 13.2x compared to the peer median of 8.0x, and its price-to-sales of 4.1x exceeds the peer median of 1.8x. TRP shares returned 25.0% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 54.7% trailed the broader index return of 83.0%.
TRP dividend
TC Energy pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $2.47 per share, yielding 4.01% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 43 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 73.0%. Over the past 5 years, dividend growth annualized at 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was September 29, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 10 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, and 6 Hold recommendations, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $67.19 implies 8.8% upside compared to the last close of $61.74. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $16.02B and EPS of $3.75, representing 6.9% earnings growth. Over the trailing four quarters, the company topped EPS expectations 3 times. The next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Heavy debt service obligations exist due to $61.70B in net debt against $2.07B in cash and short-term investments.
- High capital requirements persist, illustrated by $5.29B in capital expenditures in FY2025 alongside $3.62B paid out in dividends.
- Quarterly revenue growth of 5.7% trails the US-listed Energy peer median of 23.1%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TRP AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of TC Energy Corporation (TRP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TRP income statement, TRP balance sheet, TRP key metrics, TRP analyst forecast, TRP chart. See the TRP stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TRP AI stock analysis FAQ
What is TC Energy's dividend yield and payout schedule?
TC Energy pays dividends on a quarterly schedule. As of October 16, 2026, the annual forward dividend is $2.47 per share, representing a 4.01% dividend yield with a 73.0% payout ratio.
How much debt does TC Energy have?
As of June 30, 2026, TC Energy held $63.77B in total debt and $2.07B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $61.70B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.30.
What are analysts predicting for TC Energy's full-year earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.75, which reflects a 6.9% increase, and full-year revenue of $16.02B.
When does TC Energy report its next quarterly results?
TC Energy is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026.