Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: PAAAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

PAA AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA) provides pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering services for crude oil and natural gas liquids across the United States and Canada. The partnership generated $44.26B in FY2025 revenue and $2.29B in free cash flow, while offering an annual dividend yield of 6.61%. Over the past year, PAA units gained 71.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

Market cap
$17.82B
Revenue (TTM)
$52.30B
P/E
21.8x
fwd 13.1x
1Y return
71.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$26.35
4.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow expanded to $2.94B in FY2025, supporting $2.29B in free cash flow.
  • For the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue surged 66.3% and quarterly earnings grew 1076.7% year-over-year.
  • The partnership delivers a 6.61% forward dividend yield with a 28-year track record of continuous distributions.

Bear case

  • The partnership's dividend payout ratio stands at 105.0%, exceeding current earnings.
  • Total debt stood at $8.63B as of June 30, 2026, creating net debt of $7.58B.
  • Revenue fell 11.6% in FY2025 to $44.26B, down from $57.34B reached in FY2022.

What Plains All American Pipeline does

Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. operates through two principal segments: Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids (NGL). The Crude Oil segment gathers and transports crude oil using pipelines, gathering systems, trucks, barges, and railcars, alongside terminalling, commercial storage, and merchant activities. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and leased 18,300 miles of active crude oil pipelines and gathering systems, with 74 million barrels of commercial storage and 38 million barrels of above-ground tank capacity. The NGL segment handles processing, fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminalling, owning four natural gas processing plants and nine fractionation plants.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 13.7% from FY2020 to FY2025, moving from $42.08B in FY2021 to a peak of $57.34B in FY2022 before declining to $44.26B in FY2025. Despite an 11.6% revenue drop in FY2025, net income rose to $1.44B with a net margin of 3.2% and EPS of $1.54. Operating margin stood at 3.2% in FY2025 and 2.8% over the trailing twelve months. For the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 66.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings jumped 1076.7% compared to the prior-year period.

PAA income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Plains All American held $1.06B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $8.63B, resulting in net debt of $7.58B. Total assets stood at $29.22B, supported by $11.08B in shareholders' equity, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78 and a current ratio of 1.12. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $2.94B, funding $643.0M in capital expenditures to generate $2.29B in free cash flow. Cash was returned to unitholders through $1.29B in dividends paid and $341.0M in share buybacks.

PAA balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

PAA trades at a trailing P/E of 21.8x, above the 15.0x median of its US-listed Energy peers, but its forward P/E of 13.1x is closer to the peer median of 12.7x. The partnership's enterprise value of $25.51B reflects an EV to EBITDA ratio of 8.3x, compared to the peer median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 0.3x sits below the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, PAA posted a 71.7% return, outpacing the 16.8% return for the S&P 500, and has delivered a 5-year return of 234.0% versus 83.0% for the index.

PAA key metrics →

PAA dividend

Plains All American pays a quarterly distribution with a forward annual dividend of $1.67 per unit, translating to a dividend yield of 6.61%. The payout ratio stands at 105.0%, and distributions have been paid for 28 consecutive years. Over the last five years, the dividend has achieved an annualized growth rate of 7.1%. The last ex-dividend date was October 30, 2026.

PAA dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment includes 7 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 7 Hold, and 2 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $26.35, representing 4.4% upside from the last close of $25.25 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $59.83B and EPS of $1.73, indicating 12.2% EPS growth. Plains beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is scheduled for November 6, 2026.

PAA forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin is thin at 2.8%, well below the 28.5% median of US-listed Energy peers.
  • A dividend payout ratio of 105.0% leaves little margin for error if free cash flow declines from the $2.29B generated in FY2025.
  • The partnership has matched or beat earnings targets inconsistently, exceeding EPS consensus in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this PAA AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: PAA income statement, PAA balance sheet, PAA key metrics, PAA analyst forecast, PAA chart. See the PAA stock overview for the latest quote and news.

PAA AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Plains All American Pipeline's dividend yield and payout schedule?

PAA pays a quarterly distribution totaling $1.67 annually, which represents a dividend yield of 6.61%. The partnership has maintained dividend payments for 28 consecutive years.

What are Wall Street analysts forecasting for PAA's earnings and revenue?

For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $59.83B and EPS of $1.73, reflecting 12.2% EPS growth. In the following fiscal year, 11 analysts project EPS of $1.95 on $62.57B in revenue.

How much debt does Plains All American have?

As of June 30, 2026, Plains All American had $8.63B in total debt and $1.06B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $7.58B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.78.

How did PAA perform compared to the broader market?

PAA delivered a 1-year return of 71.7% and a 5-year return of 234.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 returns of 16.8% and 83.0% over the same periods.

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