Energy Transfer LP (ET) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: ETAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ET AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Energy Transfer LP (ET) is a major North American energy midstream company operating natural gas, NGL, and crude oil pipelines. Trailing twelve months revenue reached $107.38B with an operating margin of 10.4%. The company offers a forward dividend yield of 6.71% while carrying net debt of $69.22B.

Market cap
$69.76B
Revenue (TTM)
$107.38B
P/E
13.9x
fwd 12.0x
1Y return
30.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$24.74
22.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve months quarterly revenue grew 78.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings jumped 85.3%.
  • The stock delivers an annual forward dividend yield of 6.71% backed by 21 consecutive years of payments.
  • Valuation multiples remain discounted to peers, with a trailing P/E of 13.9x and a forward P/E of 12.0x against US-listed Energy medians of 15.0x and 12.7x.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries $70.24B in total debt against just $1.02B in cash, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.99.
  • Capital allocation is strained by a high dividend payout ratio of 86.8%, while free cash flow contracted from $7.34B in FY2024 to $3.85B in FY2025.
  • Share count has grown 22.3% over the past 5 years, including $973.0M in share issuance during FY2025.

What Energy Transfer does

Energy Transfer LP provides midstream energy services across the United States. Its assets include approximately 11,600 miles of natural gas transportation pipelines and storage facilities, as well as 19,830 miles of interstate natural gas pipelines serving utilities, power plants, and industrial users. The partnership also operates gathering, processing, and distribution networks, alongside roughly 5,215 miles of natural gas liquids (NGL) pipelines, fractionation plants, and storage facilities. Additionally, Energy Transfer engages in crude oil transportation and marketing, refined petroleum product distribution, natural gas compression, treating services, and coal and natural resource management.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, Energy Transfer generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 16.2%. Annual revenue peaked at $89.88B in FY2022 before dropping 12.6% in FY2023 to $78.59B. In FY2025, revenue was flat at $82.63B compared to $82.67B in FY2024, but gross margin widened to 21.8% and net income grew to $4.90B. Free cash flow decreased to $3.85B in FY2025 from $7.34B in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 78.4% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 85.3%, lifting trailing twelve months revenue to $107.38B with EPS of $1.46.

ET income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Energy Transfer held $1.02B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $70.24B, resulting in net debt of $69.22B. The partnership's debt-to-equity ratio stood at 1.99, and its current ratio was 1.16 alongside total assets of $148.17B. In FY2025, operating cash flow of $10.15B supported capital expenditures of $6.30B and dividend distributions of $4.72B. In addition, share issuance totaled $973.0M, and share count expanded 22.3% over five years.

ET balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $20.26, Energy Transfer trades at a trailing P/E of 13.9x and a forward P/E of 12.0x, below the US-listed Energy median of 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.6x compared to 1.8x for the peer group, while EV/EBITDA matches the peer median at 8.0x. Over the past year, ET shares returned 30.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 201.0% compared to 83.0% for the index.

ET key metrics →

ET dividend

Energy Transfer pays a quarterly distribution with an annual forward dividend of $1.36 per unit, representing a dividend yield of 6.71%. The payout ratio is 86.8%, and dividends have been paid for 21 consecutive years. Over the trailing five years, dividend growth annualized at 4.3%. The most recent ex-dividend date was August 7, 2026.

ET dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 15 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $24.74 suggests 22.1% upside over the last close of $20.26. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $123.88B and EPS of $1.74, reflecting 43.5% EPS growth. The company has beaten EPS expectations in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 4, 2026.

ET forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margin of 10.4% TTM trails the US-listed Energy peer median of 28.5%.
  • High leverage with net debt of $69.22B leaves limited headroom if energy volumes or cash generation soften.
  • Analyst estimates forecast a slight drop in the next fiscal year, with revenue declining 0.2% and EPS falling 2.1%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ET AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Energy Transfer LP (ET). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ET income statement, ET balance sheet, ET key metrics, ET analyst forecast, ET chart. See the ET stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ET AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Energy Transfer's dividend yield and payment schedule?

Energy Transfer pays a quarterly distribution with a forward annual dividend of $1.36 per unit, yielding 6.71%. The partnership has maintained dividend payouts for 21 consecutive years.

How much debt does Energy Transfer carry?

As of June 30, 2026, Energy Transfer had $70.24B in total debt and $1.02B in cash and short-term investments, leading to net debt of $69.22B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.99.

How does Energy Transfer's valuation compare to its energy sector peers?

With a trailing P/E of 13.9x and forward P/E of 12.0x, Energy Transfer trades below the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 15.0x and 12.7x, while matching the peer EV/EBITDA median of 8.0x.

When does Energy Transfer report its next earnings?

Energy Transfer is scheduled to report its next financial results on November 4, 2026.

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