Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA) AI Stock Analysis
GVA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGranite Construction Incorporated (GVA) is an infrastructure contractor and construction materials producer with trailing twelve month revenue of $4.97B. In FY2025, revenue grew 10.4% to $4.42B with net income reaching $193.0M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 13.9x and has generated a 5-year return of 194.0%.
- Market cap
- $4.88B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.97B
- P/E
- — fwd 13.9x
- 1Y return
- 4.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $171.67 56.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue expanded 29.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, accompanied by 25.1% quarterly earnings growth.
- Annual free cash flow expanded significantly over recent years, climbing from -$72.9M in FY2021 to $330.6M in FY2025.
- The consensus mean price target of $171.67 represents an upside of 56.3% from the last close of $109.82.
Bear case
- Trailing twelve month profitability remains in negative territory, with a net profit margin of -3.3% and EPS of -$4.32.
- The company carries total debt of $1.73B and net debt of $687.4M, resulting in an elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 2.30.
- The stock's enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 30.5x trades well above the 13.9x median of its US-listed Industrials peers.
What Granite Construction does
Granite Construction Incorporated operates as an infrastructure contractor and producer of construction materials in the United States across two main segments: Construction and Materials. The Construction segment handles projects including road construction, pavement preservation, bridges, rail lines, airports, marine ports, dams, reservoirs, and water-related infrastructure for municipal, industrial, and energy clients. It also builds mining facilities, public safety structures, tunnels, solar installations, and power facilities. The Materials segment supplies aggregates and asphalt to internal projects and external customers, supporting site preparation, mining, and residential developments. In addition, the company provides construction management services.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, annual revenue increased from $3.50B to $4.42B, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.4%. Over the same timeframe, gross margin expanded from 10.4% to 16.1%, operating margin rose from 0.7% to 5.9%, and net income grew from $10.1M to $193.0M. Free cash flow improved from -$72.9M in FY2021 to $330.6M in FY2025. In the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $4.97B, though net margin was -3.3% and EPS was -$4.32. For the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 29.3% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 25.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Granite Construction held $1.05B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.73B, resulting in net debt of $687.4M. Shareholders' equity was $752.7M and total assets stood at $4.78B. The company reported a current ratio of 1.01 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.30. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $468.9M, which funded $138.3M in capital expenditures, $48.2M in share buybacks, and $22.7M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Granite Construction trades at a market cap of $4.88B and an enterprise value of $5.77B. Its forward P/E of 13.9x is below the 17.2x median of its US-listed Industrials peers, while its price-to-sales of 1.0x compares to the peer median of 1.5x. However, its EV to EBITDA ratio of 30.5x is higher than the peer median of 13.9x. The stock recorded a 1-year return of 4.5%, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 194.0% outpaced the benchmark return of 83.0%.
GVA dividend
Granite Construction pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.52 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.47%. The company has paid dividends for 37 consecutive years, maintaining a payout ratio of 8.1%. Its 5-year annualized dividend growth stands at 0.0%, and its last ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 4 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Strong Sell rating. The mean price target of $171.67 sits 56.3% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $109.82. Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $5.40B and EPS of $7.11, representing 17.1% earnings growth. For FY2027, consensus anticipates revenue of $5.91B and EPS of $8.06. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short interest sits at 14.2% of float, reflecting notable market skepticism.
- The current ratio of 1.01 leaves narrow working capital headroom alongside total debt of $1.73B.
- The stock closed at $109.82, which is 13.3% below its 200-day average and down 4.5% year-to-date.
- Return on equity over the trailing twelve months stands at -14.5%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GVA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GVA income statement, GVA balance sheet, GVA key metrics, GVA analyst forecast, GVA chart. See the GVA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GVA AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Granite Construction's dividend yield and payment schedule?
Granite Construction pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $0.52 per share, yielding 0.47%. The company has paid dividends for 37 consecutive years, and the most recent ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.
What are analysts' price targets for GVA stock?
The consensus mean price target is $171.67, which is 56.3% higher than the last close of $109.82. Analyst ratings consist of 4 Strong Buy recommendations and 1 Strong Sell recommendation.
How much debt does Granite Construction have?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held total debt of $1.73B and net debt of $687.4M against $1.05B in cash and short-term investments. This results in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.30.
When is Granite Construction's next earnings report?
Granite Construction's next earnings date is scheduled for October 29, 2026. For the full year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $7.11 and revenue of $5.40B.