Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC) AI Stock Analysis
GSBC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGreat Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC) is a bank holding company operating Great Southern Bank across six Midwestern states. The company generated $226.8M in trailing twelve-month revenue with a profit margin of 29.7% and diluted EPS of $6.00. While its 1-year return of 43.7% outpaced the S&P 500, its latest quarterly revenue declined 4.1% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $850.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $226.8M
- P/E
- 13.0x fwd 12.1x
- 1Y return
- 43.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $76.50 -2.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Great Southern Bancorp demonstrated consistent earnings execution by exceeding analyst EPS estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters.
- The bank has paid dividends for 37 consecutive years, supported by a sustainable payout ratio of 27.9% and a forward dividend yield of 2.20%.
- Shareholder value has been supported by share repurchases, including $44.5M spent on buybacks in FY2025 and a 17.6% share count reduction over 5 years.
Bear case
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 16.9% year-over-year while revenue contracted by 4.1%.
- Analyst consensus projects earnings per share to decrease by 3.4% in FY2026 to $5.90 and by an additional 4.2% in FY2027 to $5.65.
- The stock trades above the analyst mean price target of $76.50, and its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is -6.8%.
What Great Southern Bancorp does
Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. is the bank holding company for Great Southern Bank, founded in 1923 and headquartered in Springfield, Missouri. It delivers financial services through a network of 93 retail banking centers and around 200 ATMs across Missouri, Iowa, Minnesota, Kansas, Nebraska, and Arkansas, as well as loan production offices in metropolitan areas. Deposit products include savings, checking, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts. Its lending portfolio encompasses residential and commercial real estate loans, construction loans, commercial business loans, and asset-backed consumer loans. It also provides insurance products and merchant banking services.
Growth and profitability
Great Southern Bancorp grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 6.3% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue reached $355.3M in FY2024 before declining 3.4% to $343.3M in FY2025, when net income totaled $71.0M with a net margin of 20.7% and EPS of $6.12. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue stood at $226.8M with an operating margin of 34.8% and a profit margin of 29.7%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 4.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings dropped 16.9% compared to the prior-year period.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Great Southern Bancorp held $97.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $511.2M, resulting in net debt of $414.0M. Total assets stood at $5.52B and shareholders' equity was $641.6M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80 and a current ratio of 0.24. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $77.7M and free cash flow reached $66.2M. Capital outlays included $11.5M in capital expenditures, alongside capital returns of $44.5M in share buybacks and $18.7M in dividends paid, contributing to a 17.6% reduction in share count over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $78.05, Great Southern Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 13.0x and a forward P/E of 12.1x, above the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.7x also exceeds the peer group median of 3.2x, while price-to-book is 1.3x and enterprise value to revenue is 5.9x. The stock has delivered a 1-year return of 43.7% and a year-to-date return of 29.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) 1-year return of 16.8%.
GSBC dividend
Great Southern Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.72 per share, representing a 2.20% dividend yield and a 27.9% payout ratio. The bank has paid dividends for 37 consecutive years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is -6.8%. The latest ex-dividend date was September 28, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst coverage consists of 2 Hold ratings, with 0 Buy and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $76.50, which sits 2.0% below the last close of $78.05. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $224.2M and EPS of $5.90, representing an expected EPS decline of 3.4%. Great Southern Bancorp beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 21, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The bank carries $511.2M in total debt against $97.2M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $414.0M as of June 30, 2026.
- Short interest represents 8.2% of the float, reflecting elevated short positioning on the stock.
- The company's trailing price-to-sales multiple of 3.7x trades at a premium to the US-listed Financial Services peer group median of 3.2x amidst negative quarterly revenue growth.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GSBC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GSBC income statement, GSBC balance sheet, GSBC key metrics, GSBC analyst forecast, GSBC chart. See the GSBC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GSBC AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Great Southern Bancorp's dividend yield and payment history?
Great Southern Bancorp offers a forward dividend yield of 2.20% based on an annualized dividend of $1.72 per share. The company has paid dividends for 37 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 27.9%.
When does Great Southern Bancorp report earnings next?
Great Southern Bancorp's next earnings date is October 21, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $5.90 on revenue of $224.2M.
What do Wall Street analysts forecast for GSBC stock?
Analysts maintain 2 Hold ratings on GSBC, with 0 Buy and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $76.50, which is 2.0% below the last close of $78.05.
Who owns Great Southern Bancorp?
Insiders own 28.5% of Great Southern Bancorp, while institutional investors hold 52.7%. Short interest accounts for 8.2% of the float.