Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GRDNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GRDN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) provides technology-enabled pharmacy services to residents in lower acuity long-term care facilities across the United States. In FY2025, revenue grew 17.9% to $1.45B, alongside a net income recovery to $49.2M and operating cash flow of $100.3M. The company maintains a net cash position of $54.6M as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$2.50B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.46B
P/E
38.3x
fwd 30.2x
1Y return
62.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$49.86
26.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow climbed to $80.7M in FY2025, supported by operating cash flow of $100.3M.
  • The balance sheet carries net cash of $54.6M with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 as of June 30, 2026.
  • All 7 covering analysts rate the stock a Buy or Strong Buy, with a mean price target of $49.86 representing 26.3% upside to the last close.

Bear case

  • GRDN trades at a forward P/E of 30.2x, well above the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 17.3x.
  • Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 2.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, compared to 17.9% in FY2025.
  • The trailing twelve month operating margin of 3.5% trails the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 14.0%.

What Guardian Pharmacy Services does

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. provides a suite of technology-enabled services to assist residents of long-term health care facilities (LTCFs) across the United States. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, the company serves lower acuity LTCFs, including assisted living facilities, behavioral health facilities, and group homes, with individualized clinical, drug dispensing, and administration capabilities. Its proprietary technology includes Guardian Compass dashboards for local pharmacy planning, GuardianShield Programs for LTCFs, the Order Entry QA Analyzer rules-engine for prescription error detection, and the Medication Spend Analyzer for LTCF monthly drug expenditure tracking.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded from $792.1M in FY2021 to $1.45B in FY2025, posting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 14.5% through FY2025. Annual revenue growth accelerated from 7.6% in FY2021 to 14.8% in FY2022, 15.1% in FY2023, 17.4% in FY2024, and 17.9% in FY2025. After posting an operating loss with an operating margin of -5.1% and net income of -$87.3M in FY2024, profitability rebounded in FY2025 with an operating margin of 6.1% and net income of $49.2M. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $1.46B with a profit margin of 4.5%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 2.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings surged 139.8%.

GRDN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $89.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $35.2M, yielding net cash of $54.6M. Total assets stood at $443.6M with shareholders' equity of $245.6M. Liquidity is supported by a current ratio of 1.65 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $100.3M, funding capital expenditures of $19.6M to generate free cash flow of $80.7M, while share buybacks totaled $29.0M.

GRDN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a market cap of $2.50B and an enterprise value of $2.69B, GRDN trades at a trailing P/E of 38.3x and a forward P/E of 30.2x, both above the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 24.6x and 17.3x, respectively. Its EV to EBITDA ratio is 22.4x compared to the peer median of 12.0x, though its price to sales ratio of 1.7x sits below the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 62.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.

GRDN key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 6 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $49.86, representing upside of 26.3% over the last close of $39.47. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.30 (growth of 21.6%) on revenue of $1.44B. GRDN has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for November 9, 2026.

GRDN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margins remain lean at 3.5% over the trailing twelve months, leaving sensitivity to operational cost shifts.
  • Revenue growth decelerated to 2.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company's EV to EBITDA of 22.4x and trailing P/E of 38.3x present valuation risk if earnings expansion moderates.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GRDN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GRDN income statement, GRDN balance sheet, GRDN key metrics, GRDN analyst forecast, GRDN chart. See the GRDN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GRDN AI stock analysis FAQ

When does Guardian Pharmacy Services report earnings?

GRDN is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 9, 2026.

Does Guardian Pharmacy Services pay a dividend?

GRDN does not currently pay a dividend. In FY2025, it allocated capital toward $19.6M in capital expenditures and $29.0M in share buybacks.

What are analysts forecasting for GRDN in FY2026?

Analysts project full-year EPS of $1.30, reflecting 21.6% growth, on estimated revenue of $1.44B for the year ending December 31, 2026.

How has GRDN stock performed compared to the broader market?

Over the past year, GRDN returned 62.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.

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