Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) AI Stock Analysis

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a homebuilding and land development firm based in Plano, Texas. The company operates through three segments: Builder Operations Central, Builder Operations Southeast, and Land Development. Its operations span land acquisition, entitlements, design, construction, and marketing for townhomes, patio homes, single-family homes, and luxury residences. Green Brick Partners markets residential neighborhoods and master planned communities through sales representatives and independent realtors. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned or controlled approximately 28,600 home sites across markets including Dallas-Forth Worth, the Atlanta metropolitan areas, and the Treasure Coast in Florida.

Green Brick Partners achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 15.9% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $1.40B in FY2021 to a peak of $2.10B in FY2024, before declining 2.8% to $2.04B in FY2025. Diluted EPS followed a similar trajectory, rising from $3.72 in FY2021 to $8.43 in FY2024, and then moderating to $7.07 in FY2025 as net margin contracted from 18.2% to 15.4%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $1.97B with an operating margin of 19.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 8.7% year-over-year while quarterly earnings declined 8.1%.

As of June 30, 2026, Green Brick Partners held $131.6M in cash and short-term investments against $314.5M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $182.9M. The balance sheet reflects a current ratio of 8.29 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16 on $1.98B of shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $213.2M and free cash flow was $208.4M. Capital expenditures totaled $4.8M, while capital returns included $83.8M in share buybacks and $2.9M in dividends paid.

At a closing price of $61.17 on October 16, 2026, Green Brick Partners had a market cap of $2.63B and an enterprise value of $3.10B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 9.2x and a forward P/E of 10.6x, both below the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA of 8.2x also compares to the peer median of 11.1x, though its price-to-sales of 1.3x sits above the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the shares returned -8.7%, lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but outperformed over 5 years with a 186.6% return versus 83.0% for the index.

Wall Street consensus includes 3 Hold ratings, with 0 Buy and 0 Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $62.00, representing 1.4% upside above the last close of $61.17. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.94B and EPS of $6.14, representing an EPS decline of 13.1%. The company has recorded 4 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. The next earnings report is scheduled for October 28, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

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