Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) AI Stock Analysis
GEL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGenesis Energy, L.P. is a midstream energy partnership specializing in crude oil and natural gas transportation and handling services. In the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.83B in revenue with a profit margin of 4.3%. While its forward P/E stands at 10.1x, the partnership carries $3.20B in total debt and negative shareholders' equity of -$336.8M.
- Market cap
- $1.74B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.83B
- P/E
- 71.2x fwd 10.1x
- 1Y return
- -0.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $18.00 26.4% vs last close
Bull case
- GEL trades at a forward P/E of 10.1x, which represents a discount to the US-listed Energy peer median of 12.7x.
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue surged 41.0% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 58.6%.
- Free cash flow recovered to $88.3M in FY2025, supporting an annual forward dividend yield of 5.62%.
Bear case
- The balance sheet carries significant leverage with total debt of $3.20B and negative shareholders' equity of -$336.8M as of June 30, 2026.
- Annual revenue dropped 45.0% in FY2025 to $1.63B, reflecting an annualized 5-year revenue CAGR of -2.2% from FY2020.
- Over the trailing five years, dividend growth declined at an annualized rate of -8.0%.
What Genesis Energy does
Genesis Energy, L.P. operates in the midstream sector of the crude oil and natural gas industry, offering transportation and handling services. Its Offshore Pipeline Transportation segment operates interests in approximately 1,422 miles of pipelines, primarily in deepwater areas of the Gulf of Mexico. The Sodium Minerals and Sulfur Services segment provides sulfur extraction and supplies sodium hydrosulfide and caustic soda. Through its Onshore Facilities and Transportation segment, the partnership provides purchasing, blending, storage, and marketing across Gulf Coast refineries, managing 4.2 million barrels of storage capacity and 450 miles of onshore pipelines. It also operates marine transportation assets.
Growth and profitability
Genesis Energy's revenue rose from $2.13B in FY2021 to a peak of $3.18B in FY2023, before falling to $2.97B in FY2024 and dropping 45.0% to $1.63B in FY2025. Over the five-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue registered a CAGR of -2.2%. Net income fluctuated significantly, moving from -$165.1M in FY2021 to a high of $117.7M in FY2023, followed by losses of -$63.9M in FY2024 and -$8.2M in FY2025. Gross margin stood at 21.1% in FY2025, with an operating margin of 15.8%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 41.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 58.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Genesis Energy held $44.2M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $3.20B, resulting in net debt of $3.16B. Total assets were $5.41B against shareholders' equity of -$336.8M, with a current ratio of 0.93. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $275.2M and free cash flow turned positive at $88.3M. Capital expenditures totaled $186.9M, while the partnership spent $262.5M on share buybacks and $152.4M on dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Genesis Energy trades at a trailing P/E of 71.2x, above the 15.0x median of its US-listed Energy peers, but its forward P/E of 10.1x is lower than the peer median of 12.7x. The partnership's enterprise value is $4.95B, with an EV/EBITDA of 7.8x compared to the peer group median of 8.0x, and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.9x versus the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, GEL shares returned -0.8%, lagging the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, GEL gained 59.0% compared to 83.0% for the index.
GEL dividend
Genesis Energy offers an annual forward dividend of $0.80 per share, representing a dividend yield of 5.62%. The payout ratio is 4.0%, with distributions paid on a quarterly schedule. The partnership has paid dividends for 30 consecutive years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth is -8.0%. Its last ex-dividend date is listed as October 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts maintain 2 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings on GEL. The mean price target of $18.00 implies an upside of 26.4% compared to the last close of $14.24. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.79B and an EPS of -$0.02. For the following fiscal year, analysts expect revenue of $1.69B and an EPS of $0.08. Over the last four quarters, the partnership beat EPS estimates once. The next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A current ratio of 0.93 indicates current liabilities exceed short-term assets, presenting potential liquidity constraints.
- With net debt of $3.16B against cash of $44.2M, debt service costs could weigh heavily on financial flexibility.
- The company has missed EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, having beaten estimates only 1 time.
- Next fiscal year revenue is estimated to decline 5.6% to $1.69B, indicating potential top-line pressure.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GEL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GEL income statement, GEL balance sheet, GEL key metrics, GEL analyst forecast, GEL chart. See the GEL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GEL AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Genesis Energy's dividend yield and payout schedule?
Genesis Energy pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $0.80 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 5.62%. The partnership has paid distributions for 30 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 4.0%.
What is Genesis Energy's debt profile?
As of June 30, 2026, Genesis Energy held $3.20B in total debt and $44.2M in cash, leaving net debt at $3.16B. The company also reported negative shareholders' equity of -$336.8M.
How do analysts rate Genesis Energy stock?
Analysts hold 2 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and no Hold or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $18.00, which sits 26.4% above the last closing price of $14.24.
When does Genesis Energy report earnings next?
Genesis Energy is scheduled to release its next earnings report on November 5, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates forecast an EPS of -$0.02.