GATX Corporation (GATX) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GATXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GATX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

GATX Corporation is a global railcar and transportation equipment leasing company operating across North America and internationally. In FY2025, revenue grew 9.8% to $1.74B while net income reached $333.3M. However, capital-intensive fleet investments resulted in free cash flow of -$683.6M alongside total debt of $12.48B.

Market cap
$5.84B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.05B
P/E
16.4x
fwd 19.1x
1Y return
-3.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$219.50
32.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 34.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, driven by solid demand across rail segments.
  • All 4 analysts covering the stock rate it a Strong Buy, with a mean price target of $219.50 indicating 32.6% potential upside.
  • The company trades at a PEG ratio of 0.64 and a trailing P/E of 16.4x, below the US-listed Industrials peer median of 24.8x.

Bear case

  • Capital expenditures of $1.33B in FY2025 resulted in negative free cash flow of -$683.6M.
  • Total debt reached $12.48B against shareholders' equity of $2.78B, yielding a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.48.
  • The stock declined 3.7% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

What GATX does

GATX Corporation operates as a railcar leasing company serving clients across the United States and globally. The company operates through three segments: Rail North America, Rail International, and Portfolio Management. It leases tank cars, freight railcars, and locomotives primarily to the petroleum, chemical, food/agriculture, and transportation sectors. Beyond leasing, GATX provides railcar cleaning, maintenance, repairs, regulatory compliance, wheelset replacements, painting, and stenciling. The company also manages third-party asset portfolios, leases aircraft spare engines, and operates five liquefied gas-carrying vessels, maintaining a fleet of approximately 147,000 railcars and hundreds of locomotives.

Growth and profitability

GATX expanded its top line from $1.26B in FY2021 to $1.74B in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.6%. Annual revenue growth climbed from 1.2% in FY2022 to 10.8% in FY2023, 12.4% in FY2024, and 9.8% in FY2025. Operating margin expanded from 23.6% in FY2021 to 30.7% in FY2025, while net margin improved from 11.4% to 19.2%. Over that span, net income rose from $143.1M to $333.3M, lifting EPS from $5.06 to $8.75. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth reached 34.8% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 37.9% year-over-year, generating trailing twelve months revenue of $2.05B and EPS of $10.10.

GATX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, GATX held $747.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $12.48B, resulting in net debt of $11.73B. Shareholders' equity stood at $2.78B, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.48, with a current ratio of 2.68. Operating cash flow reached $648.1M in FY2025, but capital expenditures of $1.33B led to free cash flow of -$683.6M. In FY2025, the company also allocated $65.0M to share buybacks and $89.8M to dividends.

GATX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $165.51 per share, GATX carries a market cap of $5.84B and an enterprise value of $18.29B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 16.4x, below the 24.8x median of its US-listed Industrials peers, while its forward P/E of 19.1x stands above the peer median of 17.2x. GATX has an EV/EBITDA multiple of 13.2x compared to the peer median of 13.9x, and a PEG ratio of 0.64. Over the past year, GATX shares declined 3.7%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 88.5% exceeded the benchmark's 83.0% gain.

GATX key metrics →

GATX dividend

GATX pays an annual forward dividend of $2.64 per share, offering a dividend yield of 1.60% with a payout ratio of 26.6%. Dividends are distributed quarterly, and the company has paid dividends for 43 consecutive years. Over the last five years, GATX achieved an annualized dividend growth rate of 4.9%, with its last ex-dividend date on September 15, 2026.

GATX dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 4 Strong Buy ratings, with zero Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. Analysts set a mean price target of $219.50, implying upside of 32.6% over the last close of $165.51. For FY2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.35B and EPS of $10.23, representing 16.9% EPS growth. GATX has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 29, 2026.

GATX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $11.73B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.48 create financial sensitivity in a capital-intensive leasing model.
  • Free cash flow remained negative through FY2025 at -$683.6M as fleet investments required $1.33B in capital expenditures.
  • A short interest level of 10.9% of float reflects notable market skepticism despite unanimous Strong Buy ratings.
  • The stock trades 7.1% below its 200-day moving average and remains down 1.3% year-to-date.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GATX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of GATX Corporation (GATX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GATX income statement, GATX balance sheet, GATX key metrics, GATX analyst forecast, GATX chart. See the GATX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GATX AI stock analysis FAQ

Does GATX pay a dividend?

Yes, GATX pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $2.64 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 1.60%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 43 years and maintains a payout ratio of 26.6%.

What is GATX's debt level?

As of June 30, 2026, GATX reported total debt of $12.48B and cash and short-term investments of $747.1M, which leaves net debt at $11.73B. This corresponds to a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.48.

How fast is GATX growing?

In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 34.8% and quarterly earnings rose 37.9% year-over-year. For full-year FY2025, revenue increased 9.8% to $1.74B.

What are analysts' targets for GATX stock?

All 4 covering analysts rate GATX as a Strong Buy, with an average price target of $219.50. This represents a 32.6% premium over the October 16, 2026 closing price of $165.51.

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