Ryder System, Inc. (R) AI Stock Analysis
R AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchRyder System, Inc. (NYSE: R) is a provider of logistics, fleet leasing, and supply chain solutions. The company generated $12.82B in trailing twelve-month revenue with an operating margin of 8.5% and diluted earnings per share of $12.31. Over the past five years, the stock gained 220.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark while returning capital through buybacks and dividends.
- Market cap
- $9.14B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.82B
- P/E
- 19.4x fwd 23.1x
- 1Y return
- 32.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $288.33 21.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Ryder has delivered consistent earnings execution, beating analyst EPS estimates in each of the past 4 quarters.
- The company returned substantial capital to shareholders, reducing its share count by 28.0% over 5 years alongside 47 consecutive years of dividend payments.
- Valuation multiples remain discounted to peers, with EV/EBITDA at 5.3x compared to 13.9x for the median US-listed Industrials peer.
Bear case
- The balance sheet carries significant leverage, with total debt of $8.45B against $219.0M in cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.94.
- Top-line growth has been modest, with FY2025 revenue contracting 0.2% to $12.69B and quarterly revenue growth of 5.0% trailing the peer median of 9.1%.
- Capital intensity remains high, as capital expenditures reached $2.13B in FY2025, which has historically caused free cash flow deficits such as -$418.0M in FY2024.
What Ryder does
Ryder System operates globally in logistics and transportation through three segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), Supply Chain Solutions (SCS), and Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS). FMS provides commercial vehicle leasing, flexible maintenance, truck and trailer rentals, and fleet support. DTS offers dedicated vehicle leasing, maintenance, driver staffing, administrative support, and specialized routing and safety compliance. SCS delivers distribution management, warehousing, and transportation coordination for domestic and international shipments, including just-in-time manufacturing support, transportation optimization, e-commerce fulfillment, and last mile delivery.
Growth and profitability
Ryder's revenue reached $12.69B in FY2025, down slightly by 0.2% compared to $12.71B in FY2024, following a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.5% from FY2020. Gross margin stood at 20.3% in FY2025, while operating margin was 8.7%, up from 8.4% in FY2024. Net income for FY2025 was $499.0M with a 3.9% net margin and EPS of $12.94. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 5.0% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 8.6%, lifting trailing twelve-month revenue to $12.82B.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Ryder held $219.0M in cash and short-term investments against $8.45B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $8.23B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.94. Shareholders' equity was $2.88B, and the current ratio was 0.64. In FY2025, Ryder generated $2.59B in operating cash flow and $459.0M in free cash flow after funding $2.13B in capital expenditures. Cash returns included $519.0M in share buybacks and $145.0M in dividends paid, contributing to a 28.0% reduction in share count over five years.
Valuation and performance
At $238.39, Ryder holds a market capitalization of $9.14B and an enterprise value of $17.56B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 19.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 5.3x, both lower than the median of its US-listed Industrials peers at 24.8x and 13.9x, respectively. Ryder's forward P/E of 23.1x sits above the peer median of 17.2x. Over the past year, Ryder gained 32.8% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500, and its 5-year return of 220.9% surpassed the index return of 83.0%.
R dividend
Ryder pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $4.04, reflecting a dividend yield of 1.69% and a payout ratio of 27.9%. The company has paid dividends for 47 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 9.0%. The last ex-dividend date is November 23, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 5 Strong Buys, 3 Buys, and 3 Holds, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target is $288.33, implying an upside of 21.0% from the last close of $238.39. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $14.67 (13.5% growth) on revenue of $13.29B. The company has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The current ratio sits at 0.64, indicating short-term obligations exceed liquid current assets.
- High debt load of $8.45B combined with net debt of $8.23B requires steady operating cash flow to manage service costs and fleet reinvestment.
- Operating margin of 8.5% TTM trails the peer median of 11.7%, leaving profitability sensitive to transportation volume changes.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this R AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Ryder System, Inc. (R). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: R income statement, R balance sheet, R key metrics, R analyst forecast, R chart. See the R stock overview for the latest quote and news.
R AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Ryder's forward dividend yield and payment schedule?
Ryder provides an annual forward dividend of $4.04 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 1.69%. Dividends are paid quarterly with a payout ratio of 27.9%.
How much debt does Ryder System hold?
As of June 30, 2026, Ryder had $8.45B in total debt and $219.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $8.23B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 2.94.
What are analysts forecasting for Ryder's full-year earnings?
Analysts expect EPS of $14.67 on revenue of $13.29B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, representing an estimated annual EPS growth rate of 13.5%.
When does Ryder report its next financial results?
Ryder is scheduled to release its next quarterly earnings report on October 22, 2026.