Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ) AI Stock Analysis
HTZ AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ) is a global vehicle rental company operating under brands like Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty. The business reported trailing twelve month revenue of $8.91B alongside a profit margin of -3.1%. Its balance sheet carries $20.46B in net debt and negative shareholders' equity of -$628.0M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $616.7M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.91B
- P/E
- — fwd 9.7x
- 1Y return
- -70.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $2.13 23.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 9.7% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Analyst consensus projects losses to narrow toward an EPS of -$0.14 on revenue of $9.55B in the next fiscal year.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 9.7x, a discount to the US-listed Industrials median of 17.2x.
Bear case
- The company holds $20.46B in net debt against negative shareholders' equity of -$628.0M as of June 30, 2026.
- Free cash flow in FY2025 was -$8.65B due to heavy capital expenditures of $10.28B.
- Trailing twelve month profitability remains negative, with a profit margin of -3.1% and EPS of -$1.09.
What Hertz Global does
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. is a prominent vehicle rental provider serving travelers across the Americas and internationally. Its operations are organized into two core segments: Americas Rental Car and International Rental Car. It operates globally through company-owned locations, licensee outlets, and franchise partnerships under primary brands including Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty. Beyond standard car rentals, the company manages vehicle sales, operates the Firefly rental brand for international mobility demands, and runs the Hertz 24/7 car-sharing service. Established in 1918 and based in Estero, Florida, Hertz serves both business and leisure travel markets.
Growth and profitability
Hertz grew its top line from $7.34B in FY2021 to a peak of $9.37B in FY2023, before contracting to $9.05B in FY2024 and $8.50B in FY2025. Margins experienced pressure over this period, with net margin falling from 23.7% in FY2022 to -31.6% in FY2024 and -8.8% in FY2025, which saw a net income of -$747.0M. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $8.91B with an operating margin of 7.1% and diluted EPS of -$1.09. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 30.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Hertz held $631.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $21.09B, resulting in net debt of $20.46B. Total assets stood at $23.87B with a current ratio of 1.53, while shareholders' equity was -$628.0M. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $1.62B, but elevated capital expenditures of $10.28B led to a free cash flow of -$8.65B. The share count was reduced 10.7% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Hertz trades at a forward P/E of 9.7x, compared to 17.2x for the median of its US-listed Industrials peers. The company's enterprise value is $21.08B, reflecting an EV/EBITDA of 7.1x versus the peer median of 13.9x, and an EV/revenue of 2.4x. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.1x against the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock fell 70.1%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 93.3% while the SPY gained 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 0 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 6 Hold, 2 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings on HTZ. The mean price target is $2.13, which is 23.3% above the October 16, 2026 close of $1.73. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$0.81 on revenue of $9.19B. For the following fiscal year, 8 analysts project revenue of $9.55B and an EPS of -$0.14. Hertz has beaten EPS expectations in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High debt load, with total debt of $21.09B exceeding total cash of $631.0M.
- Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float at 71.4%.
- The company maintains negative shareholders' equity of -$628.0M as of June 30, 2026.
- Stock volatility is high, demonstrated by a beta of 2.48.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HTZ AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HTZ income statement, HTZ balance sheet, HTZ key metrics, HTZ analyst forecast, HTZ chart. See the HTZ stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HTZ AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Hertz's net debt?
As of June 30, 2026, Hertz reported total debt of $21.09B and cash of $631.0M, resulting in net debt of $20.46B.
Does Hertz pay a dividend?
Hertz does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.
What are analysts forecasting for Hertz's earnings?
Analysts forecast an EPS of -$0.81 on revenue of $9.19B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and an EPS of -$0.14 on revenue of $9.55B for the following year.
When is Hertz's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings release is scheduled for November 5, 2026.