FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) AI Stock Analysis
FTAI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) provides aviation leasing and aerospace products, including aircraft engines and aftermarket components. The company generated $3.11B in trailing twelve months revenue, with a five-year revenue CAGR of 46.6% through FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, FTAI recorded a net profit margin of 15.9% and a return on equity of 174.5%.
- Market cap
- $16.89B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.11B
- P/E
- 35.8x fwd 13.5x
- 1Y return
- -2.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $346.45 110.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue has increased at a 5-year CAGR of 46.6% through FY2025, reaching $2.51B.
- Forward valuation stands at 13.5x P/E, which is lower than the US-listed Industrials peer median of 17.2x.
- Analyst consensus targets $346.45 per share, representing 110.7% upside relative to the closing price of $164.46.
Bear case
- Free cash flow was -$1.06B in FY2025, accompanied by an operating cash flow of -$310.7M.
- Total debt reached $3.45B as of June 30, 2026, leading to a high debt-to-equity ratio of 8.55.
- The company delivered 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and quarterly earnings fell 28.0% year-over-year in the period ending June 30, 2026.
What FTAI Aviation does
FTAI Aviation Ltd. acquires and manages infrastructure and equipment for the global transportation of goods and passengers. It operates through two primary segments: Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products. The Aviation Leasing segment owns and oversees aviation assets, including commercial aircraft and aircraft engines, which are leased and sold worldwide. As of September 30, 2022, this segment managed 325 aviation assets consisting of 96 commercial aircraft and 229 engines, including assets in Ukraine and Russia. The Aerospace Products segment develops, manufactures, repairs, and sells aircraft engines and aftermarket components for commercial and military applications.
Growth and profitability
FTAI Aviation expanded annual revenue from $335.6M in FY2021 to $2.51B in FY2025, reflecting a 43.2% increase in the latest fiscal year. Operating margin stood at 30.7% in FY2025, while gross margin was 31.1%. Net income reached $501.1M in FY2025, up from $8.7M in FY2024 and negative results in FY2021 and FY2022. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $3.11B with an operating margin of 21.0% and EPS of $4.60. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 40.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 28.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, FTAI held $337.2M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $3.45B, resulting in net debt of $3.12B. Total assets stood at $4.49B against shareholders' equity of $404.0M, generating a debt-to-equity ratio of 8.55 and a current ratio of 5.28. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$310.7M and free cash flow was -$1.06B. Capital allocation during FY2025 included $752.4M in capital expenditures, $145.4M in dividends paid, and $124.2M spent on share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
FTAI trades at a trailing P/E of 35.8x, compared to the median of 24.8x for US-listed Industrials peers. Its forward P/E is 13.5x versus the peer median of 17.2x. Enterprise value stands at $22.22B, with an EV/EBITDA of 20.4x compared to the peer median of 13.9x. The stock's price-to-sales ratio is 5.4x, above the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, FTAI shares fell 2.3%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but gained 769.7% over five years versus 83.0% for the index.
FTAI dividend
FTAI pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $2.00, yielding 1.22% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 12 consecutive years, maintaining a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 2.1%. Its payout ratio is 34.1%, and total dividends paid in FY2025 were $145.4M. The last ex-dividend date was August 12, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 7 Strong Buy ratings, 4 Buy ratings, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $346.45, representing an upside of 110.7% over the last close of $164.46. Consensus estimates project FY2026 revenue of $3.90B and EPS of $5.72, followed by FY2027 revenue of $6.49B and EPS of $13.01. Over the last four quarters, FTAI recorded 0 EPS beats. The next earnings date is October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating cash flow remained negative at -$310.7M in FY2025, requiring external capital or financing to support operations and capital investments.
- Net debt of $3.12B against cash of $337.2M creates elevated leverage sensitivity given a debt-to-equity level of 8.55.
- The stock has high price volatility, evidenced by a beta of 1.57 and a 29.9% discount relative to its 200-day moving average.
- A short interest of 8.9% of the float indicates notable market skepticism regarding operational performance.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FTAI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FTAI income statement, FTAI balance sheet, FTAI key metrics, FTAI analyst forecast, FTAI chart. See the FTAI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FTAI AI stock analysis FAQ
What does FTAI Aviation Ltd. do?
FTAI Aviation Ltd. leases and sells commercial aircraft and engines through its Aviation Leasing segment, and develops, manufactures, and repairs aircraft engines and aftermarket components through its Aerospace Products segment.
Does FTAI pay a dividend?
Yes, FTAI pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $2.00 per share, offering a dividend yield of 1.22% with a 34.1% payout ratio.
What is FTAI's debt level?
As of June 30, 2026, FTAI had total debt of $3.45B and cash and short-term investments of $337.2M, resulting in net debt of $3.12B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 8.55.
When is FTAI's next earnings report?
FTAI Aviation Ltd. is scheduled to release its next earnings results on October 29, 2026.
What are analysts forecasting for FTAI's earnings?
Analysts estimate current fiscal year EPS of $5.72 on $3.90B in revenue, and next fiscal year EPS of $13.01 on $6.49B in revenue.