FS Bancorp, Inc. (FSBW) AI Stock Analysis
FSBW AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFS Bancorp, Inc. (FSBW) operates as the bank holding company for 1st Security Bank of Washington, delivering commercial and consumer banking alongside home lending services. The company delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.9% through FY2025, while maintaining a trailing twelve month net profit margin of 23.0%. FSBW trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 10.3x and provides an annualized forward dividend yield of 2.58%.
- Market cap
- $352.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $144.9M
- P/E
- 10.3x fwd 8.9x
- 1Y return
- 23.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $45.00 0.3% vs last close
Bull case
- The company grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 8.9% from FY2020 through FY2025, reaching $217.5M.
- FSBW offers an annualized forward dividend yield of 2.58% supported by a conservative payout ratio of 28.1% and a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 20.3%.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.9x, which is lower than the median of 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers.
Bear case
- Net margin compressed from 28.5% in FY2021 to 15.3% in FY2025, leading net income to decline from $37.4M to $33.3M.
- The bank has exceeded EPS estimates only 1 time across the last 4 quarters.
- Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 2.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, below the peer median quarterly revenue growth of 10.1%.
What FS Bancorp does
FS Bancorp, Inc. functions as the holding company overseeing 1st Security Bank of Washington, catering to local families, businesses, and industry sectors. The company operates through two distinct segments: Commercial and Consumer Banking, and Home Lending. Its deposit offerings include checking accounts, money market deposits, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. In lending, the firm provides residential mortgages for one-to-four-family homes, home equity products, non-mortgage business loans, commercial real estate financing, and construction and development loans. Consumer loans include personal lines of credit, credit cards, automobile financing, home improvement loans, and recreational loans.
Growth and profitability
FS Bancorp grew total revenue from $131.1M in FY2021 to $217.5M in FY2025, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.9%. Annual revenue expanded 38.2% in FY2023, 10.0% in FY2024, and 6.8% in FY2025. However, net margin compressed from 28.5% in FY2021 to 15.3% in FY2025 as net income decreased from $37.4M to $33.3M over the same timeframe. Annual operating margin ended FY2025 at 20.6%, compared with 36.2% in FY2021. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 2.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 5.1% year-over-year, contributing to trailing twelve month revenue of $144.9M and diluted EPS of $4.36.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, FS Bancorp held $282.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $380.9M, resulting in net debt of $98.7M. Total assets stood at $3.18B and shareholders' equity was $319.0M, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19 and a current ratio of 408.48. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $72.3M and free cash flow was $51.9M. The company allocated capital toward $20.4M in capital expenditures, $15.4M in share buybacks, and $10.3M in dividends paid, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -8.7%.
Valuation and performance
With a market cap of $352.6M and an enterprise value of $675.0M, FS Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 10.3x and a forward P/E of 8.9x. These multiples compare to 12.1x and 10.8x for the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. The stock's price-to-sales ratio stands at 2.4x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.1x. Over the past year, FSBW achieved a return of 23.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year timeframe, FSBW returned 51.6% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
FSBW dividend
FS Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.16 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.58%. The payout ratio is 28.1%, and the company has paid dividends for 14 consecutive years. Over the past 5 years, the annualized dividend growth rate was 20.3%. The most recent ex-dividend date occurred on August 7, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 3 analysts, all maintaining a Hold rating with 0 Buy and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $45.00, representing an upside of 0.3% over the last close of $44.85. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $159.6M and EPS of $4.34, representing 15.3% EPS growth. Over the last 4 quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 1 time. The next earnings date is October 20, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $380.9M exceeds cash and short-term investments of $282.3M, leaving net debt at $98.7M.
- Operating margin dropped from 36.2% in FY2021 to 20.6% in FY2025, demonstrating ongoing pressure on operational profitability.
- The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19 leaves it sensitive to credit risk across its $3.18B in total assets.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FSBW AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of FS Bancorp, Inc. (FSBW). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FSBW income statement, FSBW balance sheet, FSBW key metrics, FSBW analyst forecast, FSBW chart. See the FSBW stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FSBW AI stock analysis FAQ
Does FS Bancorp pay a dividend?
FS Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $1.16 per share, yielding 2.58%. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 14 years with a payout ratio of 28.1%.
What are analyst price targets for FSBW?
Analysts have set a mean price target of $45.00 for FSBW, reflecting a 0.3% upside over its last close of $44.85. All 3 covering analysts hold a Hold rating on the stock.
How did FSBW perform in FY2025?
In FY2025, FS Bancorp reported revenue of $217.5M, reflecting 6.8% annual revenue growth, and net income of $33.3M with diluted EPS of $3.82. Free cash flow for the year totaled $51.9M.
When is the next earnings release for FS Bancorp?
The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 20, 2026.
How does FSBW's valuation compare to industry peers?
FSBW trades at a trailing P/E of 10.3x and forward P/E of 8.9x, both below the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively.