Five Star Bancorp (FSBC) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FSBCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FSBC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Five Star Bancorp (FSBC) is a regional bank holding company based in Rancho Cordova, California. In FY2025, the company generated revenue of $255.5M and net income of $61.6M, representing annual revenue growth of 20.4%. With a market capitalization of $1.05B, the bank delivered a trailing twelve months return on equity of 16.2% through June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$1.05B
Revenue (TTM)
$167.6M
P/E
12.7x
1Y return
39.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$51.40
19.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 27.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 33.8%.
  • The balance sheet reflects net cash of $62.4M as of June 30, 2026, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16.
  • Analysts hold a mean price target of $51.40, which implies 19.6% potential upside from the closing price of $42.98.

Bear case

  • The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 6.3x, nearly double the median of 3.2x for its US-listed Financial Services peers.
  • Revenue fell 93.9% to $7.5M in FY2023, accompanied by an operating margin of -21.4%.
  • The company's total share count expanded by 24.2% over a 5-year period, diluting existing shareholders.

What Five Star Bancorp does

Headquartered in Rancho Cordova, California, Five Star Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Five Star Bank. Established in 1999, the bank serves small and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and individuals. Its deposit offerings include money market accounts, savings accounts, time deposits, and noninterest-bearing and interest-bearing checking accounts. Five Star Bancorp provides loan products such as commercial and residential real estate loans, commercial loans, farmland loans, construction loans, and consumer loans. Customers can access digital solutions including debit card services, remote deposit capture, online banking, mobile banking applications, and direct deposit services.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue increased from $87.8M in FY2021 to $123.8M in FY2022, dropped to $7.5M in FY2023, and rebounded to $212.2M in FY2024 before reaching $255.5M in FY2025. Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue achieved a 5-year CAGR of 25.2%. Net income expanded to $61.6M in FY2025 with an operating margin of 32.8% and net margin of 24.1%, producing EPS of $2.90. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $167.6M with an operating margin of 58.4% and EPS of $3.38. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 27.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 33.8%.

FSBC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Five Star Bancorp held $136.6M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $74.1M, yielding net cash of $62.4M. Shareholders' equity was $473.8M against total assets of $5.38B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16 and a current ratio of 0.03. For FY2025, the company generated operating cash flow of $72.6M and free cash flow of $71.4M. Capital expenditures totaled $1.2M, while dividends paid were $17.1M. Over five years, the bank's share count expanded by 24.2%.

FSBC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Five Star Bancorp trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 12.7x, compared to the median of 12.1x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 6.3x, above the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 2.2x and its enterprise value to revenue is 6.5x. Over the past year, the stock returned 39.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock delivered a 95.4% return compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

FSBC key metrics →

FSBC dividend

Five Star Bancorp pays an annual forward dividend of $1.00 per share, distributed quarterly, yielding 2.33% based on a last close of $42.98. The company has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years. Supported by a payout ratio of 28.1%, the last ex-dividend date occurred on August 3, 2026.

FSBC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $51.40, representing an upside of 19.6% from the last close of $42.98 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.49 and revenue of $197.4M. For FY2027, 5 analysts project revenue of $227.6M and EPS of $3.69. The bank beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 26, 2026.

FSBC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Five Star Bancorp reported a current ratio of 0.03 as of June 30, 2026, reflecting potential short-term liquidity constraints.
  • While FY2025 revenue reached $255.5M, analyst estimates project FY2026 revenue to decline to $197.4M.
  • Short interest stands at 6.4% of float, indicating notable short positioning among market participants.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FSBC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Five Star Bancorp (FSBC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FSBC income statement, FSBC balance sheet, FSBC key metrics, FSBC analyst forecast, FSBC chart. See the FSBC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FSBC AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Five Star Bancorp pay a dividend?

Yes, Five Star Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.00 annually per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 2.33%. The bank maintains a payout ratio of 28.1% and has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years.

What is the analyst price target for FSBC stock?

The mean analyst price target for FSBC is $51.40, suggesting an upside of 19.6% compared to the stock's closing price of $42.98 on October 16, 2026.

How did Five Star Bancorp perform against the broader market?

Over the past year, Five Star Bancorp returned 39.7%, outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, FSBC gained 95.4% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

When does Five Star Bancorp report its next quarterly earnings?

Five Star Bancorp is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 26, 2026, having beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the past 4 quarters.

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