Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) AI Stock Analysis

Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes fashionable consumer accessories across global markets. Its product portfolio spans traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. The company owns proprietary brands such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC, and manages licensed brands including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, DKNY, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, PUMA, TORY BURCH, Skechers, and BMW. Products are distributed through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department stores, specialty shops, mass-market retailers, e-commerce, concessions, airlines, and cruise ships. As of January 2, 2022, Fossil Group operated a worldwide network of 370 stores.

Revenue decreased from $1.87B in FY2021 to $1.00B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -9.0%. Gross margin expanded from 51.7% in FY2021 to 56.1% in FY2025, while operating margin recovered to 2.3% following -9.1% in FY2024. The company recorded net losses in four consecutive years, finishing FY2025 at -$78.3M compared to net income of $25.4M in FY2021. Across the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $985.2M with a profit margin of -7.1% and an operating margin of 3.5%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 4.9% and quarterly earnings declined 81.7% year-over-year.

As of June 30, 2026, Fossil Group held $79.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $341.9M, leaving net debt at $263.0M. Shareholders' equity was $89.9M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.80 and a current ratio of 1.76. Total assets were $653.1M. Operating cash flow stood at -$57.9M in FY2025, and free cash flow was -$60.5M. Capital expenditures reached $2.6M and share buybacks were $164,000 in FY2025, while the share count rose 11.5% over five years.

Fossil Group trades at a forward P/E of 166.7x, compared to the 14.1x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV to EBITDA multiple of 110.4x sits well above the peer median of 11.1x, whereas its price-to-sales ratio of 0.4x is below the peer median of 0.7x. The stock recorded a 1-year return of 162.1%, exceeding the S&P 500 SPY return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, its return of -44.5% lagged the S&P 500 SPY return of 83.0%.

Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $9.25, representing a 33.7% premium over the last close of $6.92. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$1.60 and revenue of $965.5M. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project an EPS of $0.13 and revenue of $978.9M. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date set for November 12, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FOSL income statement, FOSL balance sheet, FOSL key metrics, FOSL analyst forecast, FOSL chart. See the FOSL stock overview for the latest quote and news.