NIKE, Inc. (NKE) AI Stock Analysis
NKE AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNIKE, Inc. (NKE) is a global designer and marketer of athletic footwear, apparel, and sports equipment. In FY2026, the company generated $46.40B in revenue and $3.11B in net income, down from $5.70B in net income in FY2024. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.42% with a payout ratio of 105.1% following a 1-year share price return of -42.6%.
- Market cap
- $55.15B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $45.89B
- P/E
- 17.9x fwd 21.0x
- 1Y return
- -42.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $36.51 -1.7% vs last close
Bull case
- NIKE maintained a 41-year record of consecutive dividend payments with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 9.8% and a forward yield of 4.42%.
- The company holds $8.37B in cash and short-term investments with a current ratio of 2.07 as of August 31, 2026.
- Analysts project EPS growth of 26.0% to $1.57 for the fiscal year ending May 31, 2028, after NIKE beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
Bear case
- NIKE's payout ratio reached 105.1%, as FY2026 dividend payments of $2.41B exceeded free cash flow of $2.18B.
- For the fiscal year ending May 31, 2027, analysts estimate EPS will decline 40.5% to $1.25 on a revenue decline to $42.81B.
- The stock returned -42.6% over the past year and -74.2% over five years, trading 20.4% below its 200-day average.
What Nike does
NIKE, Inc. designs, develops, and globally markets athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories for men, women, and children. Its portfolio includes athletic and casual products under brands like Jumpman, Converse, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell. The company also sells performance equipment such as bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, protective gear, and licensed apparel from collegiate and professional teams. Products are distributed through NIKE-owned retail stores, digital platforms, independent distributors, licensees, specialty athletic retailers, and department stores. Headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon, the company employs 73,000 people.
Growth and profitability
NIKE generated revenue of $46.40B in FY2026, up 0.2% after a 9.8% decline in FY2025 from $51.36B in FY2024. Over five years from FY2021 to FY2026, revenue CAGR was 0.8%. Net income reached $3.11B in FY2026, resulting in a net margin of 6.7% and EPS of $1.57, compared to net income of $6.05B and EPS of $3.76 in FY2022. Gross margin was 42.9% in FY2026, down from 46.0% in FY2022. For the trailing twelve months ended August 31, 2026, revenue stood at $45.89B, with quarterly revenue falling 4.3% and quarterly earnings declining 2.1% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of August 31, 2026, NIKE held $8.37B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $11.07B, yielding net debt of $2.70B. Total assets were $37.79B and shareholders' equity was $15.22B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.73 and a current ratio of 2.07. In FY2026, operating cash flow was $2.87B and free cash flow was $2.18B. During that year, the company allocated $684.0M to capital expenditures, $146.0M to share buybacks, and $2.41B to dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
NIKE carries a market cap of $55.15B and an enterprise value of $55.56B. Its trailing P/E of 17.9x sits below the 20.1x median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers, but its forward P/E of 21.0x trades at a premium to the peer median of 15.6x. The company trades at an EV/EBITDA of 12.1x compared to the peer median of 13.8x, and a price-to-sales of 1.2x versus 2.0x for peers. Over the past year, NKE returned -42.6%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock returned -74.2% while SPY returned 83.0%.
NKE dividend
NIKE pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.64 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 4.42%. The company has paid dividends for 41 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 9.8%. However, its dividend payout ratio stands at 105.1%, and dividends paid totaled $2.41B in FY2026 against free cash flow of $2.18B. Its last ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.
What analysts expect
Analyst ratings on NIKE include 9 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 25 Hold, 3 Sell, and 4 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $36.51, representing a 1.7% discount from the last close of $37.13. For the fiscal year ending May 31, 2027, consensus estimates forecast EPS of $1.25 on revenue of $42.81B. For the following fiscal year, 39 analysts project EPS of $1.57 and revenue of $43.36B. NIKE beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short interest stands at 10.4% of float as the stock trades near its 52-week low of $31.97.
- Quarterly revenue fell 4.3% year-over-year in the period ending August 31, 2026, trailing the peer median growth rate of 6.5%.
- Total debt of $11.07B exceeds cash reserves of $8.37B, resulting in net debt of $2.70B.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NKE AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of NIKE, Inc. (NKE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NKE income statement, NKE balance sheet, NKE key metrics, NKE analyst forecast, NKE chart. See the NKE stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NKE AI stock analysis FAQ
What is NIKE's dividend yield and payout ratio?
NIKE offers a dividend yield of 4.42% with an annual forward dividend of $1.64 per share. Its payout ratio is 105.1%, reflecting FY2026 dividend payments of $2.41B relative to net income of $3.11B.
How did NIKE perform in its most recent fiscal year?
In FY2026, NIKE generated $46.40B in revenue, representing 0.2% growth, while net income was $3.11B and free cash flow reached $2.18B.
What are Wall Street analysts projecting for NIKE's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending May 31, 2027, analysts estimate EPS of $1.25, a 40.5% decline, followed by a projected rebound to $1.57 in the next fiscal year based on estimates from 39 analysts.
How does NIKE's valuation compare to its peer group?
NIKE trades at a trailing P/E of 17.9x, below the S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical median of 20.1x, but its forward P/E of 21.0x exceeds the peer median of 15.6x.