Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) AI Stock Analysis
BIRK AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchBirkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) is a global footwear manufacturer and retailer that grew revenue from $962.1M in FY2021 to $2.10B in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.27B in revenue with an operating margin of 29.0%. However, BIRK shares declined 20.0% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- Market cap
- $5.59B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.27B
- P/E
- 15.9x fwd 11.5x
- 1Y return
- -20.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $49.51 46.3% vs last close
Bull case
- BIRK delivered strong top-line momentum with a 5-year revenue CAGR of 23.6% from FY2020 to FY2025, reaching $2.10B in FY2025 revenue.
- The company generated $288.3M in free cash flow in FY2025 while maintaining an operating margin of 26.2%.
- Valuation multiples trade at a discount to peers, with BIRK at a forward P/E of 11.5x compared to the median of 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
Bear case
- BIRK shares have dropped 20.0% over the past year, lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 13.0% year-over-year despite revenue growth.
- Total debt reached $1.92B as of June 30, 2026, leaving net debt at $1.23B.
What Birkenstock does
Birkenstock Holding plc is a manufacturer and retailer specializing in footwear products, including sandals, shoes, closed-toe silhouettes, skincare items, and accessories. Founded in 1774 and headquartered in London, United Kingdom, the company operates globally across regions including the United States, Brazil, Canada, Mexico, Europe, and APMA. Birkenstock distributes its products through e-commerce platforms, a network of proprietary retail stores, and business-to-business avenues. The company employs 6,800 people and operates as a subsidiary of BK LC Lux MidCo S.r.l.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue expanded from $962.1M to $2.10B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 23.6% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual net income increased from $116.4M in FY2021 to $348.3M in FY2025, while gross margin improved from 56.7% to 59.1% over the same period. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $2.27B with a net profit margin of 14.8% and EPS of $2.13. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 13.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 13.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Birkenstock held $693.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.92B, resulting in net debt of $1.23B. Total assets stood at $5.66B and shareholders' equity was $2.80B, giving a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69 and a current ratio of 3.78. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $373.2M and free cash flow was $288.3M. The company directed cash toward $85.0M in capital expenditures and $194.7M in share buybacks during FY2025.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $33.85, Birkenstock has a market capitalization of $5.59B and an enterprise value of $6.60B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 15.9x, compared to 18.0x for the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its forward P/E is 11.5x against the peer median of 14.1x, and its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 8.6x versus 11.1x for peers. Over the past year, BIRK fell 20.0%, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment reflects 13 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $49.51, representing a 46.3% upside to the last close of $33.85. For the current fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.35B and EPS of $1.96, representing 5.7% earnings growth. Over the last 4 quarters, Birkenstock beat EPS estimates 2 times.
Key risks and what to watch
- Birkenstock carries $1.92B in total debt and $1.23B in net debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Short interest represents 13.4% of float, indicating elevated short seller activity.
- Birkenstock has beaten EPS estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
- Quarterly earnings declined 13.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BIRK AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BIRK income statement, BIRK balance sheet, BIRK key metrics, BIRK analyst forecast, BIRK chart. See the BIRK stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BIRK AI stock analysis FAQ
What was Birkenstock's revenue in FY2025?
Birkenstock reported revenue of $2.10B in FY2025, representing a 16.2% increase from $1.80B in FY2024.
What is the analyst price target for BIRK?
The mean analyst price target is $49.51, which is 46.3% above its last close of $33.85. Analysts have issued 13 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings.
How much debt does Birkenstock carry?
As of June 30, 2026, Birkenstock held $1.92B in total debt and $693.3M in cash and short-term investments, leaving net debt at $1.23B.
Does Birkenstock pay a dividend?
Birkenstock does not pay a dividend, but it returned capital through $194.7M in share buybacks during FY2025.