First Horizon Corporation (FHN) AI Stock Analysis
FHN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFirst Horizon Corporation is a regional bank holding company operating First Horizon Bank across approximately 900 banking centers. Annual revenue reached $4.99B in FY2025, but quarterly revenue for the period ending September 30, 2026, contracted by 51.7% year-over-year. The bank maintains an operating margin of -20.6% over the trailing twelve months while yielding a 2.97% dividend.
- Market cap
- $10.84B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.04B
- P/E
- 16.6x fwd 10.0x
- 1Y return
- 18.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $27.04 18.2% vs last close
Bull case
- FY2025 net income grew to $983.0M with diluted EPS rising to $1.90.
- Share buybacks totaled $918.0M in FY2025, contributing to a 12.5% decrease in share count over 5 years.
- The forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0x represents a discount to the US-listed Financial Services median of 10.8x.
Bear case
- Quarterly revenue for the period ending September 30, 2026 dropped 51.7% year-over-year.
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin is compressed at -20.6% compared to the peer median of 37.7%.
- The 5-year annualized dividend growth rate remains flat at 0.0%.
What First Horizon does
Established in 1864 and based in Memphis, Tennessee, First Horizon Corporation operates as a bank holding company overseeing First Horizon Bank and FHN Financial. The company operates through three segments: Regional Banking, Specialty Banking, and Corporate. Regional Banking delivers traditional retail and commercial products, including deposits, mortgages, loans, and advisory services. Specialty Banking provides equipment finance, fiduciary, and investment advisory offerings. The Corporate segment covers underwriting bank-eligible securities, selling loans and derivatives, and providing nationwide remittance and check clearing. First Horizon Corporation operates an extensive branch footprint across multiple states with approximately 7,400 employees.
Growth and profitability
First Horizon expanded its annual revenue from $3.15B in FY2021 to $4.99B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 12.2%. In FY2025, net income rose to $983.0M from $775.0M in FY2024, with net margin improving to 19.7% and diluted earnings per share reaching $1.90. However, trailing twelve-month revenue stood at $3.04B with an operating margin of -20.6%. For the quarter ended September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 51.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 20.0% compared to the prior-year period.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2026, First Horizon held $930.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total assets of $84.32B. Total debt was $4.12B, translating to net debt of $3.19B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47 against $8.83B in shareholders' equity. The current ratio stood at 0.33. During FY2025, the firm generated $988.0M in operating cash flow and $955.0M in free cash flow, while directing $33.0M to capital expenditures, $340.0M to dividends, and $918.0M toward share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
First Horizon trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 16.6x, above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0x sits below the peer median of 10.8x, alongside a price-to-book multiple of 1.3x and an enterprise value of $10.24B. The stock delivered a 1-year return of 18.0%, beating the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 61.3% trailed the index return of 83.0%.
FHN dividend
First Horizon pays a quarterly dividend amounting to an annualized forward payout of $0.68 per share, generating a 2.97% dividend yield as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 25.1%. Its annualized dividend growth rate over the past 5 years was 0.0%, and its last ex-dividend date was September 11, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 13 Hold recommendations. The consensus mean price target is $27.04, indicating an 18.2% upside from the October 16, 2026 close of $22.88. Analysts project FY2026 revenue of $3.53B and earnings per share of $2.14. Over the last four quarters, the bank exceeded earnings estimates 3 times.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue volatility is pronounced, evidenced by trailing twelve-month revenue dropping to $3.04B from $4.99B in FY2025.
- Total debt of $4.12B creates ongoing debt service commitments relative to $930.0M in cash and short-term investments.
- The current ratio sits at 0.33, highlighting potential short-term liquidity constraints.
- The stock is trading 4.9% below its 200-day moving average as of October 16, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FHN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of First Horizon Corporation (FHN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FHN income statement, FHN balance sheet, FHN key metrics, FHN analyst forecast, FHN chart. See the FHN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FHN AI stock analysis FAQ
What is First Horizon's dividend yield and payout schedule?
First Horizon pays a quarterly dividend that equals an annualized rate of $0.68 per share, providing a 2.97% dividend yield. The payout ratio stands at 25.1%, and the company has sustained dividend payments for 16 consecutive years.
What are analysts forecasting for First Horizon's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate earnings per share of $2.14 on revenue of $3.53B. For the following fiscal year, 19 analysts project an EPS of $2.32 and revenue of $3.69B.
How much debt does First Horizon hold?
As of September 30, 2026, First Horizon carried $4.12B in total debt and $930.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $3.19B. This represents a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47.
How has FHN stock performed relative to the market?
FHN gained 18.0% over the past year compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year timeframe, the stock gained 61.3%, trailing the broader market index return of 83.0%.