First Commonwealth Financial Corporation (FCF) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: FCFAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FCF AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

First Commonwealth Financial Corporation is a regional financial institution operating community banking offices in Pennsylvania and Ohio. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $507.1M in revenue with an operating margin of 45.4% and diluted EPS of $1.63. Its balance sheet maintains $1.78B in cash and short-term investments against $263.0M in total debt.

Market cap
$2.06B
Revenue (TTM)
$507.1M
P/E
12.5x
fwd 10.6x
1Y return
35.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$24.07
18.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings expanded 37.5% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company holds $1.78B in cash and short-term investments against $263.0M of total debt, yielding net cash of $1.51B.
  • First Commonwealth maintains a 35-year track record of consecutive dividend payments with a payout ratio of 33.7%.

Bear case

  • Annual net margins dropped from 34.5% in FY2021 to 20.9% in FY2025 as operating margins compressed from 43.1% to 27.2%.
  • The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 4.1x, higher than the median of 3.2x across US-listed Financial Services peers.
  • The company beat EPS estimates in only 2 of the trailing 4 quarters.

What First Commonwealth Financial does

First Commonwealth Financial Corporation is a financial services provider established in 1934 and based in Indiana, Pennsylvania. The company delivers consumer banking services such as checking accounts, savings accounts, mortgage loans, credit cards, and investment solutions. For commercial clients, it provides lending options, cash management solutions, and specialized banking tools. First Commonwealth operates 118 community banking offices across Pennsylvania and Ohio, supplemented by corporate banking centers and dedicated mortgage offices. In addition to its branch network, the institution provides telephone, internet, and mobile banking services to serve its retail and commercial client base.

Growth and profitability

First Commonwealth grew annual revenue from $400.6M in FY2021 to $729.4M in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 13.0%. Over that period, net income rose from $138.3M to $152.3M, although net margin compressed from 34.5% to 20.9% and operating margin dropped from 43.1% to 27.2%. Annual free cash flow peaked at $171.4M in FY2025, up from $113.9M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 9.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 37.5%. On a trailing twelve month basis, revenue stood at $507.1M with an operating margin of 45.4% and a profit margin of 33.2%.

FCF income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.78B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $263.0M, resulting in net cash of $1.51B. Total assets stood at $12.21B while shareholders' equity reached $1.57B. The firm reported a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 and a current ratio of 0.17. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $187.5M, supporting capital expenditures of $16.1M, dividend payments of $55.5M, and share buybacks of $35.8M.

FCF balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

FCF closed at $20.34 on October 16, 2026, giving it a market capitalization of $2.06B and an enterprise value of $2.17B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 12.5x and a forward P/E of 10.6x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peer group. Its price-to-sales ratio of 4.1x sits above the peer group median of 3.2x. Over the past year, FCF shares returned 35.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of 70.3% trailed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

FCF key metrics →

FCF dividend

First Commonwealth pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.56 per share, yielding 2.75%. The dividend is supported by a payout ratio of 33.7%, and payments have been made for 35 consecutive years. Over the past five years, the dividend grew at an annualized rate of 4.0%. The stock's most recent ex-dividend date was August 7, 2026.

FCF dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with zero Sell ratings. The mean analyst price target is $24.07, representing an 18.3% premium over the last close of $20.34. For FY2026 ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect revenue of $556.9M and EPS of $1.73, indicating 12.8% earnings growth. Over the last four quarters, the bank has beaten EPS estimates 2 times. The next earnings date is scheduled for October 27, 2026.

FCF forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Revenue growth slowed from 46.2% in FY2023 to 11.7% in FY2024 and 4.3% in FY2025.
  • Short interest represents 6.5% of the floating shares.
  • The bank's current ratio stands at 0.17 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Over the past 5 years, share count increased by 7.3%, diluting existing ownership.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FCF AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of First Commonwealth Financial Corporation (FCF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FCF income statement, FCF balance sheet, FCF key metrics, FCF analyst forecast, FCF chart. See the FCF stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FCF AI stock analysis FAQ

What is First Commonwealth Financial's dividend yield and payout schedule?

The stock carries a forward annual dividend of $0.56, which equates to a 2.75% dividend yield. Distributions are made quarterly, backed by a 33.7% payout ratio and a 35-year payment history.

When is First Commonwealth Financial's next earnings report?

The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 27, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus expectations project EPS of $1.73 on revenue of $556.9M.

How does First Commonwealth Financial's valuation compare to its peers?

FCF trades at a trailing P/E of 12.5x and a forward P/E of 10.6x, compared to US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 12.1x and 10.8x. Its price-to-sales multiple is 4.1x compared to the peer median of 3.2x.

What is the consensus analyst target price for FCF stock?

The mean analyst price target is $24.07, which is 18.3% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $20.34. The rating breakdown includes 1 Strong Buy, 3 Buys, and 3 Holds.

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