Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (CVGI) AI Stock Analysis
CVGI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCommercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (CVGI) manufactures components and assemblies for commercial vehicles across four operational segments. While FY2025 revenue fell 10.3% to $649.0M with net income of -$22.8M, the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, delivered quarterly revenue growth of 13.5%. The company holds a market cap of $117.0M with total debt standing at $146.5M.
- Market cap
- $117.0M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $674.0M
- P/E
- — fwd 30.3x
- 1Y return
- 81.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $7.50 160.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow recovered to $34.0M in FY2025, supported by operating cash flow of $44.6M.
- The latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, delivered quarterly revenue growth of 13.5% and quarterly earnings growth of 28.6%.
- Analysts anticipate an operational turnaround next fiscal year, projecting revenue of $773.0M and eps of $0.15.
Bear case
- Revenue contracted over the long term, posting a 5-year CAGR of -2.0% between FY2020 and FY2025.
- The company recorded consecutive annual losses with net income of -$27.9M in FY2024 and -$22.8M in FY2025.
- Total debt of $146.5M exceeds the cash balance of $36.0M as of June 30, 2026, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08.
What Commercial Vehicle does
Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (CVG) designs, manufactures, and sells components and assemblies across North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific regions. It operates through four segments: Vehicle Solutions, Warehouse Automation, Electrical Systems, and Aftermarket & Accessories. The company produces electrical wire harness assemblies, electro-mechanical assemblies, complex automated and robotic systems, and large multi-cabinet control cabinets for power distribution. CVG also provides cabin interior solutions such as vinyl-covered appliques, instrument panels, and sound-reducing insulations, alongside cab structures, seats, and seating systems for medium-and heavy-duty trucks, buses, military vehicles, and specialty recreational vehicles.
Growth and profitability
CVGI has experienced top-line contraction, showing a 5-year revenue CAGR of -2.0% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue decreased from $971.6M in FY2021 to $649.0M in FY2025, falling 10.3% in FY2025 following a 13.4% decline in FY2024. Gross margin compressed to 10.5% in FY2025 from 14.6% in FY2023, while operating margin was -0.1% in both FY2024 and FY2025. Net income was -$22.8M in FY2025, yielding an eps of -$0.49. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $674.0M with a profit margin of -3.4%. However, for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth improved to 13.5% year-over-year and quarterly earnings growth reached 28.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, CVGI held $36.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $146.5M, leaving net debt at $110.6M. Shareholders' equity was $136.1M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08 and a current ratio of 1.98. For FY2025, the company generated $44.6M in operating cash flow and $34.0M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $10.7M, while share buybacks accounted for $238,000. Over the past five years, the total share count increased 6.2%.
Valuation and performance
CVGI trades at a forward P/E of 30.3x, above the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 14.1x. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.2x compared to the peer median of 0.7x, while EV-to-EBITDA is 13.4x against the peer median of 11.1x. At the last close of $2.88 on October 16, 2026, the stock has delivered a 1-year return of 81.1%, outperforming the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, CVGI fell 71.4%, trailing the 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
CVGI has 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 0 Hold or Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $7.50, representing an upside of 160.4% above the last close of $2.88. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $732.8M and an eps estimate of -$0.13. For the following fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $773.0M and eps of $0.15. CVGI beat eps expectations in 1 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is November 9, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A trailing twelve-month return on equity of -15.1% reflects ongoing challenges with profitability.
- With a beta of 1.38, the stock demonstrates higher volatility than the broader equity market.
- The company exceeded earnings expectations in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
- Total debt of $146.5M represents significant leverage relative to a market capitalization of $117.0M.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CVGI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (CVGI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CVGI income statement, CVGI balance sheet, CVGI key metrics, CVGI analyst forecast, CVGI chart. See the CVGI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CVGI AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Commercial Vehicle Group's stock ticker and exchange?
Commercial Vehicle Group trades under the ticker symbol CVGI on the NASDAQ.
Does CVGI pay a dividend?
CVGI does not pay a dividend, and capital returns in FY2025 were limited to $238,000 in share repurchases.
What are analyst estimates for CVGI's earnings?
Analysts project an eps of -$0.13 on revenue of $732.8M for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and an eps of $0.15 on revenue of $773.0M for the following year.
How has CVGI performed relative to the S&P 500?
Over the past year, CVGI gained 81.1% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500, but over five years CVGI fell 71.4% while the index gained 83.0%.