Commercial Metals Company (CMC) AI Stock Analysis
CMC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCommercial Metals Company (CMC) is an Irving, Texas-based manufacturer, recycler, and fabricator of steel and metal products. In FY2026, revenue rebounded 20.5% to $9.39B, driven by a 25.7% year-over-year revenue increase in the quarter ended August 31, 2026. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 11.1x while maintaining a dividend yield of 1.23%.
- Market cap
- $7.19B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $9.39B
- P/E
- 11.1x fwd 10.4x
- 1Y return
- 18.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $79.27 22.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 25.7% year-over-year in the period ended August 31, 2026, while quarterly earnings surged 42.2%.
- Valuation multiples remain discounted compared to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers, with a trailing P/E of 11.1x versus 24.8x and EV/EBITDA of 8.7x versus 13.9x.
- Free cash flow improved to $479.1M in FY2026, supporting an 11.4% dividend payout ratio alongside 43 consecutive years of dividend payments.
Bear case
- Analysts project FY2027 EPS will fall 3.6% to $6.58 compared to FY2026 EPS of $6.82.
- Net debt stands at $2.61B as of August 31, 2026, with total debt of $3.38B against $775.7M in cash and short-term investments.
- The stock has a beta of 1.53, reflecting higher volatility than the broader market, and was down 5.3% year-to-date as of October 16, 2026.
What Commercial Metals does
Commercial Metals Company manufactures, recycles, and fabricates steel and metal products across the United States, Poland, China, and internationally. The company processes and supplies ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals to steel mills, foundries, aluminum manufacturers, specialty steel producers, copper refineries, and smelters. In addition, it manufactures finished long steel products including reinforcing bars, merchant bars, light structural sections, and special profiles for construction, infrastructure, and industrial markets. Commercial Metals Company also produces semi-finished billets, fabricates steel for concrete reinforcement, and provides construction-related products and equipment for rent and sale.
Growth and profitability
Commercial Metals Company grew revenue from $8.91B in FY2022 to $9.39B in FY2026, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.9%. After three consecutive years of top-line declines—including a 9.9% drop in FY2024 to $7.93B and a 1.6% dip in FY2025 to $7.80B—revenue rose 20.5% in FY2026. Net income reached $655.8M in FY2026, recovering from $84.7M in FY2025, while gross margin expanded to 18.6% and operating margin rose to 9.1%. For the latest quarter ended August 31, 2026, quarterly revenue climbed 25.7% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 42.2%, contributing to full-year diluted EPS of $6.82.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of August 31, 2026, Commercial Metals Company held $775.7M in cash and short-term investments against $3.38B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $2.61B. Shareholders' equity stood at $4.70B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72 and a current ratio of 2.34. The business generated $1.06B in operating cash flow and $479.1M in free cash flow in FY2026. Cash deployment included $579.8M in capital expenditures, $105.9M in share buybacks, and $84.2M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Commercial Metals Company closed at $64.98 on October 16, 2026, representing a market capitalization of $7.19B and an enterprise value of $9.99B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 11.1x and forward P/E of 10.4x, below the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple of 8.7x also compares to the peer median of 13.9x. Over the past year, CMC posted a return of 18.8%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and delivered a 5-year return of 119.4% versus 83.0% for the index.
CMC dividend
Commercial Metals Company pays an annual forward dividend of $0.80 per share, distributed quarterly, yielding 1.23% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 43 years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 8.4%. Its payout ratio is 11.4%, and the last ex-dividend date was October 28, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 4 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings. The consensus mean price target is $79.27, representing a 22.0% premium over the last close of $64.98. For the fiscal year ending August 31, 2027, consensus estimates forecast revenue of $10.30B and EPS of $6.58, indicating a projected 3.6% EPS decline. Commercial Metals Company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- Historical financial performance displays earnings cyclicality, illustrated by net income falling from $1.22B in FY2022 to $84.7M in FY2025 before rebounding to $655.8M in FY2026.
- Capital expenditures reached $579.8M in FY2026, consuming more than half of the $1.06B generated in operating cash flow.
- A high short interest of 7.5% of float indicates lingering negative market sentiment despite recent revenue expansion.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CMC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Commercial Metals Company (CMC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CMC income statement, CMC balance sheet, CMC key metrics, CMC analyst forecast, CMC chart. See the CMC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CMC AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Commercial Metals Company pay?
Commercial Metals Company pays a quarterly dividend totaling $0.80 annually per share, which equates to a 1.23% dividend yield. The payout ratio is 11.4%, and the company has paid dividends for 43 consecutive years.
What are analysts' price targets for CMC?
The mean analyst price target is $79.27, which is 22.0% above its closing price of $64.98 on October 16, 2026. The analyst consensus consists of 5 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 4 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings.
How did CMC perform financially in FY2026?
In FY2026, Commercial Metals Company grew revenue by 20.5% to $9.39B and generated net income of $655.8M, or $6.82 in EPS. Free cash flow came in at $479.1M, up from $312.2M in FY2025.
How does CMC's valuation compare to its peer group?
CMC trades at a trailing P/E of 11.1x and forward P/E of 10.4x, lower than the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 17.2x. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA of 8.7x is also below the peer median of 13.9x.