Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. (MEC) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: MECAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MEC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. (MEC) is a US contract manufacturer providing metal fabrication, prototyping, and assembly services to diverse industrial sectors. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $586.3M in revenue but posted a profit margin of -2.9%. With net debt standing at $152.5M, the stock trades at a forward P/E of 22.1x after declining 25.7% year-to-date.

Market cap
$354.5M
Revenue (TTM)
$586.3M
P/E
—
fwd 22.1x
1Y return
10.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$36.80
164.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 23.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Analysts expect EPS to expand 293.2% in the next fiscal year to reach $1.02.
  • The stock carries a consensus mean price target of $36.80, indicating a potential 164.7% premium over the last closing price of $13.90.

Bear case

  • Trailing twelve-month net profit margin is negative at -2.9%, with TTM EPS of -$0.83.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 99.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Cash reserves stood at just $2.2M as of June 30, 2026, compared to total debt of $154.7M.

What Mayville Engineering does

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. is a contract manufacturer based in Mayville, Wisconsin, established in 1945. The company serves heavy and medium-duty commercial vehicle sectors, construction and access equipment, powersports, agriculture, military applications, and other industrial markets. Its operations cover prototyping, tooling, production fabrication, coating, assembly, and aftermarket component supply. In addition, the firm delivers engineered components to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to support customer manufacturing processes, enhance operational efficiency, and deliver tailored manufacturing solutions across key US industrial markets.

Growth and profitability

Over five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a CAGR of 8.9%. In FY2024, revenue stood at $581.6M with a net income of $26.0M and an operating margin of 7.7%. However, FY2025 revenue fell 6.0% to $546.5M, resulting in an operating margin of -0.7% and a net loss of -$8.1M. In the trailing twelve months, revenue was $586.3M with an operating margin of 0.3% and diluted EPS of -$0.83. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 23.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings contracted by 99.4%.

MEC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Mayville Engineering held $2.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $154.7M, resulting in net debt of $152.5M. Total assets stood at $588.6M against shareholders' equity of $325.5M, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48 and a current ratio of 1.70. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $38.6M and free cash flow was $26.9M. Cash deployment during FY2025 included $11.6M in capital expenditures and $4.6M allocated to share buybacks.

MEC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $13.90 per share, Mayville Engineering has a market capitalization of $354.5M and an enterprise value of $597.5M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 22.1x and an EV/EBITDA of 19.0x, compared to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 17.2x forward P/E and 13.9x EV/EBITDA. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.6x sits below the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, MEC shares gained 10.7%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return of -26.7% lagged the S&P 500's 83.0% advance.

MEC key metrics →

What analysts expect

All 5 analysts covering Mayville Engineering rate the stock a Strong Buy. The mean price target is $36.80, representing a 164.7% upside relative to the last close of $13.90. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $636.1M and EPS of $0.26, an expected EPS decline of 16.6%. For the following year, 4 analysts forecast revenue of $725.6M and EPS of $1.02. Over the last four quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 2 times. The next earnings date is November 3, 2026.

MEC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $152.5M alongside cash of $2.2M leaves limited liquidity if operational headwinds persist.
  • The stock exhibits high market volatility with a beta of 1.44 and is trading 39.2% below its 200-day average.
  • Short interest represents 11.8% of the float, reflecting meaningful negative market positioning.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MEC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. (MEC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MEC income statement, MEC balance sheet, MEC key metrics, MEC analyst forecast, MEC chart. See the MEC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MEC AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Mayville Engineering pay a dividend?

Mayville Engineering does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company deployed $4.6M toward share buybacks and $11.6M toward capital expenditures.

What are analysts forecasting for MEC's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect EPS of $0.26 on revenue of $636.1M. For the following fiscal year, 4 analysts estimate EPS will increase 293.2% to $1.02 on revenue of $725.6M.

How does MEC's valuation compare to industrial peers?

MEC trades at a forward P/E of 22.1x and an EV/EBITDA of 19.0x, above the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 17.2x and 13.9x, respectively. However, its price-to-sales multiple of 0.6x is below the peer median of 1.5x.

When does Mayville Engineering report earnings next?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

More Industrials AI stock analysis