GPGI, Inc. (GPGI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GPGIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GPGI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

GPGI, Inc. (formerly CompoSecure, Inc.) provides sustainable injection molding solutions and metal payment cards. The company has experienced significant top-line volatility, with FY2025 revenue declining 85.8% to $59.8M and trailing twelve month revenue at $24,000. It carries a market cap of $3.61B, a forward P/E of 11.0x, and $7.7M in cash as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$3.61B
Revenue (TTM)
$24,000
P/E
—
fwd 11.0x
1Y return
-35.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$15.00
20.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Analyst consensus projects a sharp top-line recovery to $2.02B in revenue and EPS of $0.99 for FY2026.
  • The stock trades at a discount to peers with a forward P/E of 11.0x and an EV/EBITDA of 8.8x compared to US-listed Industrials medians of 17.2x and 13.9x.
  • The single analyst covering the stock sets a mean price target of $15.00, representing 20.3% upside from the recent close of $12.47.

Bear case

  • Revenue fell 85.8% in FY2025 to $59.8M, and quarterly revenue fell 100.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow deteriorated from $120.0M in FY2024 to -$23.3M in FY2025, leaving cash and short-term investments at just $7.7M as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock has declined 35.8% over the past year and trades 23.4% below its 200-day moving average.

What GPGI does

GPGI, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides sustainable injection molding solutions worldwide. The company's CompoSecure business provides metal payment cards, security, and authentication solutions. It offers engineered injection molding equipment and aftermarket tooling and services focused on developing highly technical precision technologies instrumental in the delivery of food, beverages, medical devices, and other applications including general packaging and closures, thinwall packaging, and consumer products. Formerly known as CompoSecure, Inc., the company changed its name to GPGI, Inc. in January 2026. Founded in 2000, it is headquartered in Somerset, New Jersey, and employs 971 people.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2024, revenue grew from $267.9M to $420.6M before dropping 85.8% to $59.8M in FY2025, bringing the 5-year revenue CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025 to -25.5%. Operating margins fell from 30.4% in FY2021 and 25.6% in FY2024 to -23.0% in FY2025. Net income dropped from $3.2M in FY2021 to a loss of -$136.0M in FY2025, with a net margin of -227.3%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was -100.0% year-over-year, leading to trailing twelve month revenue of $24,000 and an operating margin of -342212.5%.

GPGI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, GPGI held $7.7M in cash and short-term investments, with total assets of $3.46B and shareholders' equity of $3.17B. Its current ratio stood at 1.14. In FY2025, operating cash flow turned negative at -$22.9M and free cash flow was -$23.3M, down from positive free cash flow of $120.0M in FY2024. For capital allocation in FY2025, capital expenditures were $387,000, while the company directed $12.2M toward share buybacks. Its share count expanded by 209.1% over 5 years.

GPGI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

GPGI trades at a forward P/E of 11.0x and an EV/EBITDA of 8.8x, both below the median of its US-listed Industrials peers, which post a forward P/E of 17.2x and an EV/EBITDA of 13.9x. The company's price-to-book ratio is 1.1x. Over the past year, GPGI's stock fell 35.8% compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, the stock returned 55.2% against 83.0% for the index. The shares closed at $12.47 on October 16, 2026, which is 23.4% below their 200-day moving average.

GPGI key metrics →

GPGI dividend

GPGI pays a forward annual dividend of $0.01 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.08% based on its $12.47 share price. Dividends are paid on a quarterly schedule, with a payout ratio of 1.1%. The stock's last ex-dividend date was August 17, 2026.

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 analyst with a Hold rating, and no Buy or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $15.00, which is 20.3% above the last close of $12.47. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.02B and EPS of $0.99. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst expects revenue of $2.33B and EPS of $1.26. The company has beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 2, 2026.

GPGI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Liquidity is constrained with only $7.7M in cash and short-term investments following -$22.9M in operating cash flow in FY2025.
  • Short interest represents 18.2% of the float, reflecting elevated negative sentiment among market participants.
  • Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with the share count increasing 209.1% over a 5-year period.
  • Profitability has turned negative, indicated by a trailing twelve month return on equity of -20.6% and an EPS of -$1.77.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GPGI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of GPGI, Inc. (GPGI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GPGI income statement, GPGI balance sheet, GPGI key metrics, GPGI analyst forecast, GPGI chart. See the GPGI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GPGI AI stock analysis FAQ

Why did CompoSecure change its name to GPGI?

The company was formerly known as CompoSecure, Inc. and officially changed its name to GPGI, Inc. in January 2026 as part of its operations providing sustainable injection molding solutions alongside its CompoSecure payment card business.

Does GPGI pay a dividend?

Yes, GPGI pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $0.01 per share. This represents a dividend yield of 0.08% and a payout ratio of 1.1%.

What is the consensus price target for GPGI?

The mean analyst price target is $15.00, which sits 20.3% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $12.47. The stock currently has 1 Hold rating and no Buy or Sell ratings.

When does GPGI report its next earnings?

GPGI is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on November 2, 2026. The company has beaten EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

More Industrials AI stock analysis