Chemung Financial Corporation (CHMG) AI Stock Analysis
CHMG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchChemung Financial Corporation (CHMG) is a regional bank holding company with a market capitalization of $388.2M and total assets of $2.82B. In the trailing twelve months, the company generated $117.0M in revenue with a profit margin of 28.7% and diluted earnings per share of $6.96. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 11.6x and offers a forward dividend yield of 1.79%.
- Market cap
- $388.2M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $117.0M
- P/E
- 11.6x fwd 9.3x
- 1Y return
- 64.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $89.30 10.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 241.7% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside quarterly earnings growth of 51.7%.
- The company carries a solid liquidity profile with $357.0M in cash and short-term investments and net cash of $214.6M as of June 30, 2026.
- Chemung Financial Corporation has paid dividends for 32 consecutive years with a modest payout ratio of 19.8% and a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 4.9%.
Bear case
- Annual net income fell from $26.4M in FY2021 to $15.1M in FY2025 as operating margins narrowed from 36.8% to 14.2%.
- Revenue contracted 6.5% in FY2025 to $139.9M, and analyst consensus projects revenue to decline further to $125.3M in FY2026.
- The company's gross margin compressed significantly from 100.0% in FY2023 to 64.2% in FY2025.
What Chemung Financial does
Chemung Financial Corporation serves as the holding company for Chemung Canal Trust Company, an institution established in 1833 and headquartered in Elmira, New York. The company provides retail and commercial banking services, including demand, savings, and time deposits, checking accounts, and insured money market accounts. Its lending operations focus on commercial and agricultural loans, commercial mortgages, residential mortgages, and consumer financing such as home equity lines of credit. Chemung Financial Corporation also delivers wealth management, fiduciary services, mutual funds, insurance, interest rate swaps, letters of credit, and tax preparation services to individual and business clients.
Growth and profitability
Revenue grew at a five-year compound annual growth rate of 10.0% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $91.8M in FY2021 to $149.6M in FY2024 before falling 6.5% to $139.9M in FY2025. Operating margin narrowed over this span from 36.8% in FY2021 to 14.2% in FY2025, and net income declined from $26.4M to $15.1M. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $117.0M with an operating margin of 37.9% and diluted earnings per share of $6.96. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 241.7% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 51.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Chemung Financial Corporation held $357.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $142.4M, resulting in a net cash position of $214.6M. Shareholders' equity was $270.4M within $2.82B in total assets, and the debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.53. In FY2025, the company generated operating cash flow of $45.5M and free cash flow of $43.8M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $1.7M, dividends paid of $6.3M, and share buybacks of $396,000.
Valuation and performance
At its last close of $80.51, Chemung Financial Corporation had a market capitalization of $388.2M and an enterprise value of $457.5M. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 11.6x and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.3x, both below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple of 3.3x sits slightly above the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.4x. Over the past year, the stock returned 64.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 ETF's return of 16.8%.
CHMG dividend
Chemung Financial Corporation pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.44 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 1.79%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 19.8%, and payments have been maintained for 32 consecutive years. Over the past five years, dividends have grown at an annualized rate of 4.9%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 5 analysts, with 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $89.30 suggests an upside of 10.9% compared to the last close of $80.51. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $125.3M and earnings per share of $7.61, representing 31.2% earnings growth. The company beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for October 20, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The current ratio stood at 0.01 as of June 30, 2026, reflecting bank-specific short-term balance sheet obligations.
- Full-year revenue contracted by 6.5% in FY2025, showing potential top-line volatility following earlier growth.
- Analyst consensus anticipates FY2026 revenue of $125.3M, which remains below the $139.9M achieved in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CHMG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Chemung Financial Corporation (CHMG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CHMG income statement, CHMG balance sheet, CHMG key metrics, CHMG analyst forecast, CHMG chart. See the CHMG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CHMG AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Chemung Financial Corporation's dividend yield and payout history?
CHMG offers a forward dividend yield of 1.79% based on an annual dividend of $1.44 per share. The company has paid dividends for 32 consecutive years and maintains a conservative payout ratio of 19.8%.
When does Chemung Financial Corporation report its next quarterly earnings?
The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 20, 2026. It has beaten consensus earnings per share estimates in 3 of the past 4 quarters.
How has CHMG stock performed relative to the broader market?
Over the past year, CHMG generated a return of 64.5% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Over five years, the stock returned 98.2% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.
What are analysts forecasting for CHMG's earnings in FY2026 and FY2027?
Analysts forecast earnings per share of $7.61 for FY2026, representing 31.2% growth, followed by $8.23 in FY2027, an estimated increase of 8.1%.